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49ers vs. Seahawks Most Valuable Prop Bets: Geno Smith, Brock Purdy

49ers vs. Seahawks Most Valuable Prop Bets: Geno Smith, Brock Purdy article feature image

The Action Network's proprietary betting algorithms have targeted three top selections for the Thanksgiving night 49ers vs. Seahawks NFC West showdown.

The betting models have netted a roughly 10% ROI on the year from a predictive analytics team that has created popular benchmark statistics like the Luck Rankings, among others.

The algorithms are targeting props for both quarterbacks in this game, including two for Geno Smith.


  1. Geno Smith to throw less than 35.5 pass attempts (-115)
  2. Geno Smith to run for over 6.5 yards (-100)
  3. Brock Purdy to run for over 9.5 yards (-105)

Where’s the Value?

Smith is projected to attempt 31.5 passes, providing a 23.2% edge to a line of 35.5. BetMGM offers the best odds with a juice of -115.

The algorithms strata out thousands of permutations of this game to come up with an average number for each player stat line on the day.

Meanwhile, Smith is projected run for 10 yards, providing a 20.2% edge over the set line. The best market for this prop is at Bet365.

Finally, the algorithm gives Purdy a 14.3% advantage to eclipse 9.5 yards on the ground. They project him to run for 12.0, and the best market for this prop is at Bet365, as well.

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