The Baltimore Ravens (6-5) host the Cincinnati Bengals (3-8) to close the Week 13 NFL Thanksgiving tripleheader on Nov. 27. Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Md., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast on NBC and Peacock.
The Ravens are 7-point favorites over the Bengals on the spread (Ravens -7; -120), with the over/under set at 52 total points. Baltimore is a -370 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Cincinnati is +290 to pull off the upset.
Below, you can find our Bengals vs Ravens picks for NFL Thanksgiving, which include predictions for the spread, game total and two player props.
Bengals vs Ravens Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Bengals vs Ravens Odds
- Bengals vs Ravens Moneyline: Bengals +290, Ravens -370
- Bengals vs Ravens Spread: Bengals +7 (+100), Ravens -7 (-120)
- Bengals vs Ravens Total: 52
NFL Thanksgiving odds via bet365
Bengals vs Ravens Spread Prediction
Thanksgiving night will be headlined by the return of Joe Burrow, and I do believe it will make the difference for this team. The Ravens have righted the ship once again defensively by shoring up their rush defense, boasting one of the league’s best since their week 7 bye, but that won’t make much of a difference here against the passing attack of Burrow.
There is no way to defend the Cincinnati defense, but they are not going to be facing a fully healthy Lamar Jackson. Jackson has topped 15 rushing yards just once in his last four games, and Baltimore’s offensive performance versus the Jets solidified that he is simply not himself at this point.
The Jets averaged 4.9 yards per play last week behind Tyrod Taylor’s commendable 7.9 yards per pass attempt. The Ravens offense averaged an abysmal 4.2 yards per play in their win versus New York.
Even without Tee Higgins, the Bengals offense should be able to keep them in this game. Baltimore’s defensive efforts have been impressive in recent weeks, albeit it was against the Jets, Vikings and Browns – offenses ranking 27th, 29th, and 32nd in DVOA, respectively.
Take the points with the road underdogs at anything better than 6 points.
Pick: Bengals +7.5 (-115)
Bengals vs Ravens Over/Under Pick
By Billy Ward
While I understand the enthusiasm, I’m not entirely convinced that Joe Burrow’s return will be a massive boost to the Bengals offense.
For starters, he hasn’t played since Week 2, and in his last full game he went 14-for-23 for 113 yards. While that was against a tough Browns defense, it’s not like he was lighting the world on fire when he left.
More importantly, he’ll be without Tee Higgins tonight, allowing the Ravens to shift their coverage heavily to Ja'Marr Chase. While Chase can certainly beat double coverage, it will be a tough ask, especially in obvious passing situations.
On the other side of the ball, this feels like the perfect game for Derrick Henry to take over. The Bengals run defense is terrible, and the game script likely works against them.
A Henry-centric approach from Baltimore would speed up the game and limit the number of possessions, keeping the clock running as “Dehember” starts early this year.
All of which makes it hard to see this game turning into a shootout, despite the projected big total. That number has climbed all the way to 52.5.
Pick: Under 52.5 (-106)
Bengals vs Ravens Player Props: Joe Burrow
This line for Joe Burrow is far too low given the spot.
Joe Flacco hit the over at this number in 5-of-6 games, and I expect Burrow to pass at the same (or a higher) rate in his return tonight.
Burrow has passed the ball a ton in prior matchups vs. the Ravens, with 56, 39, and 45 attempts in their three prior matchups.
The total in this game is high, and with the Bengals being a 7-point underdog, they should be throwing early and often.
I have Burrow projected for 40 pass attempts.
Pick: Joe Burrow Over 36.5 Pass Attempts (-113)
Bengals vs Ravens Player Props: Isaiah Likely
By Grant Neiffer
It's hard to truly convey how bad the Bengals have been at defending TEs this season, but I'll just give you the numbers.
They've allowed nearly double the amount of TDs to TEs (13) than the next-closest team (7). Opponents have thrown to their TEs on over 30% of passes against the Bengals, and they just gave up over 100 yards to Hunter Henry on Sunday.
I the true odds here around +200, making this a great bet.
Pick: Isaiah Likely Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+240)
