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Bills vs. Patriots Prediction: The Elite Moneyline, Against-the-Spread Trend Since 2018 (Thursday, Dec. 1)

Bills vs. Patriots Prediction: The Elite Moneyline, Against-the-Spread Trend Since 2018 (Thursday, Dec. 1) article feature image
Credit:

Jim McIsaac/Getty Images. Pictured: Jakobi Meyers.

There are two betting trends developed by Action Network that have yielded elite returns since 2018.

While this has been a relatively small sample size — our betting algorithms typically glean data from 2005 onwards — it’s enough to present value for Thursday Night Football’s Bills vs. Patriots.

The first betting system targets the moneyline and has returned 27% on investment for every dollar spent since 2018. A $500 bettor would be up $8,500 in total if they had bet each of the 63 games that have fit this system over the last five seasons.

For the against-the-spread (ATS) trend, a $500 bettor would have returned $3,250 in profit.

Both systems align with one team’s spread and moneyline, under very specific parameters that only target about 12 NFL games per season.

Elite Moneyline, Against-the-Spread Since 2008 for Bills vs. Patriots