Bills-Dolphins Betting Preview: Can You Count on Buffalo’s Defense to Get Another Win?

Dec 02, 2018 12:00 AM EST

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ryan Tannehill (17), Lorenzo Alexander (57).

Betting odds: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins 

  • Spread: Dolphins -3.5 
  • Over/Under: 40
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: Buffalo a trendy dog, who woulda thunk it? With 55% of bets, Buffalo is getting a hardy share of public love (see the updated odds here).

There are even some sharp bettors included in there, as multiple bet signals have helped them move from +6 to +3.5. — Mark Gallant

Weather report: Warm and breezy weather will make this December game at the Hard Rock feel like September. Dating back to 2003, we’ve tracked just 10 games in December with temperatures of at least 80 degrees, with the record being 83.

This game is forecasted to average between 83 and 84 degrees, so it could end up breaking the record. — Gallant

Trends to know: You probably aren’t watching this game unless you’re betting on it. One tip: follow the tickets. Since 2003, in games featuring division opponents with losing records it has been profitable to follow the crowd, according to Bet Labs:

  • Teams getting more than 50% of bets: 138-123-8 (53%) against the spread
  • 60% or more of bets: 96-78-7 (55%) ATS
  • 70% or more of bets: 44-29-3 (60%) ATS John Ewing

Ryan Tannehill returned for the Dolphins after missing five games last week against the Colts. Miami lost the game straight up, but covered the lofty nine-point spread.

With Tannehill at quarterback, the Dolphins have struggled against the spread vs. AFC East opponents, but are actually five games over .500 ATS vs. non-divisional opponents.

  • vs. AFC East: 10-18-1 ATS (35.7%, -8.4 units)
  • vs. Non-Divisional Opp: 29-24-1 ATS (54.7%, +4.4 units) — Evan Abrams