The Carolina Panthers (4-4) and Green Bay Packers (5-1-1) meet on Sunday, Nov. 2, for NFL Week 9 action. Kickoff is set for in 1 p.m. ET from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. The game will broadcast on FOX.
The Packers are 12.5-point favorites on the spread over the Panthers (Packers -12.5; -118); the game total is 43.5 points (-105o / -115u). The Packers are -1000 moneyline favorites; the Panthers are +650 underdogs.
Let's get into my Week 9 preview and Panthers vs Packers predictions for today's game.
Panthers vs Packers Prediction, Picks
- Panthers vs Packers pick: Packers -12.5; bet to -13
My Panthers vs Packers best bet is the Packers to cover the spread (-12.5 to -13). Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Panthers vs Packers Odds
| Panthers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+12.5 -102 | 43.5 -105o / -115u | +650 |
| Packers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-12.5 -118 | 43.5 -105o / -115u | -1000 |
Panthers vs Packers Week 9 Preview, Prediction
Panthers Betting Preview
Andy Dalton drew the start against the Bills a week ago and played very poorly. Regardless of who the starting quarterback is for Carolina, its offense has an extremely difficult task here, although I expect Bryce Young to return to the lineup given the practice reports throughout the week.
The Panthers' offense thrives when they can run the ball effectively, particularly with Rico Dowdle.
Panthers head coach Dave Canales hinted that Dowdle's play has earned him more opportunities, but gaining yardage on the ground will not come easy — the Packers rank sixth in yards per carry allowed at just 3.8 yards per rush.
If Carolina falls behind early, that will spell disaster. The Packers boast a pressure rate of 40% and surrender the fewest yards per pass attempt in the NFL this season.
The Panthers' offensive line ranks 22nd in pass block win rate, which aligns with their 21st ranking in adjusted sack rate, a metric that considers factors such as down and distance and intentional grounding penalties.
Packers Betting Preview
Jordan Love completed 20 consecutive passes in the Packers' comeback victory in Pittsburgh on Sunday night.
Love ranks as the league’s top quarterback in EPA/play (expected points added), top five in completion percentage over expectation and sixth-best in success rate.
Moving forward, I expect head coach Matt LaFleur to call plays in a manner closer to what we saw from Love and the Packers down the stretch in 2023, compared to the 2024 run-heavy version of this offense.
Against the Steelers, Green Bay was +8.7% in pass rate over expectation, a significant mark considering it had not reached 3% over expectation since Week 7 of last season.
The return of Tucker Kraft to full health, combined with the explosive element Christian Watson adds to the Packers' passing attack, creates a beautiful marriage.
Kraft has led the NFL in yards after the catch for three straight seasons and should enjoy even more room to work underneath with Watson returning from the torn ACL he suffered a season ago.
Watson played 36 snaps in his return, but his impact was noticeable as he averaged over 20 yards per reception on his four catches. Love can confidently attack all areas of the field, making it even more difficult for a struggling Carolina pass defense.
The Panthers have not been able to generate a pass rush this season, ranking last in the league in pressure rate at just 26%. Love’s passer rating this season from a clean pocket is a remarkable 135.8.
The Panthers do not have the personnel to match up with the Packers' receivers, as all three of their top cornerbacks rank outside the top 40 in coverage grade at the position, per Pro Football Focus.
Panthers vs Packers Prediction, Spread Betting Analysis
In the Packers' three previous home games this season, they have controlled the action from start to finish.
No opponent has come within one possession at Lambeau field. LaFleur’s team has performed very well at home outside the division, covering at a 64.8% rate against non-division opponents during his tenure as Packers head coach.
The Packers defense is allowing just 16.3 points per game at home this season, and in my estimation, that's close to the ceiling for the Panthers offense in this spot.
Carolina already has two blowout losses on the road, and I expect this game to snowball into a third as the Packers win comfortably on Sunday.
Pick: Packers -13
Panthers vs Packers Spread Prediction
My bet for this game is on the Packers to cover the spread (-12.5; bet to -13).
Moneyline
I'm not betting either side of the moneyline.
Over/Under
I have no play on the game total.
Panthers vs Packers Betting Trends
Panthers vs Packers Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming
| Location: | Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. |
| Date: | Sunday, Nov. 2 |
| Time: | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming Options: | FOX |
