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Chiefs vs Eagles Player Prop: Fade D’Andre Swift In This Market

Chiefs vs Eagles Player Prop: Fade D’Andre Swift In This Market article feature image

Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: D’Andre Swift.

Chiefs vs Eagles Player Prop: D'Andre Swift

Monday, Nov. 20
8:15 p.m. ET
D'Andre Swift Longest Reception Under 10.5 Yards (-110)

This isn't a market that Swift typically clears. He's only gone over this line in three of nine games this season. He's only caught one pass for more than 11 yards all season.

In the Eagles' last game in Week 9, Kenneth Gainwell saw an increase in usage in the passing game. Swift’s 44% routes run rate was also his lowest rate since Week 1, which is a concern for his receiving usage moving forward.

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This is also a very tough matchup since Kansas City is very good at slowing down opposing RBs in the passing game. The Chiefs have allowed 4.5 yards per reception to RBs, which is the second-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Chiefs have only allowed one running back to clear 21 receiving yards in a game this season. Part of that is that they use man coverage at the sixth-highest rate in the league. Swift only has one reception against man coverage this season and 22 against zone.

I'm projecting Swift's median closer to nine yards for his longest reception with around a 61% chance he stays under this.

As of 2:50 p.m. ET, BetMGM has this at -110 and BetRivers had -108.

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