Every week in the NFL season, there’s an angle or matchup bettors can exploit with the spread, total or player props. I'm here specifically to talk about the NFL anytime touchdown scorers market for NFL Week 2 on Sunday, September 20.
Each week, I go through every game on the slate to try and identify the players you should be considering in the ATD market and if the betting odds are worth the investment.
In 2025, I picked Anytime TD props for every Sunday afternoon game and finished 123-269 (31.4% win rate) with +44.1 units in profit for a 11% ROI. Although there was some regression in 2026, we still had decent results at 101-265 (27.5% win rate) with +36.4 units in profit for 9.9% ROI.
If you plan to tail all these bets, please use proper bankroll management. In each of the last two seasons, I was profitable in 13 of 18 weeks (26 of 36 overall) but there’s still an average of five weeks of the season where it wasn’t great.
For players listed in “VERDICT,” those are one-unit bets for each pick. But if a player is listed in “VERDICT” as a “sprinkle," then it is a 0.2-unit wager, as those are typically long-shot odds.
Let's break down my NFL anytime touchdown picks for Sunday of Week 2.
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NFL Week 2 Anytime Touchdown Scorers
Packers vs. Jets
I know he didn’t score in Week 1, but I’m going right back to WR Garrett Wilson for the Jets. He had a 30% target share in the opener against the Titans, and I don’t expect that to drop anytime soon.
The Packers were crushed last week by Vikings WR1 Justin Jefferson, and the defense hasn’t been the same since Micah Parsons got injured.
Still, I have high hopes for the Packers offense to put up some points in this matchup, which could lead the Jets into a trailing game script by halftime.
If the passing attempt frequency increases for QB Geno Smith, that means Wilson could see another week with the lion's share of the targets.
At +220, I will continue to bet Wilson if he’s over +200.
I wanted to bet on WR Jayden Reed so badly in this matchup, but my fear is he won’t be on the field when we need him.
The reason why I tend to avoid Reed is because when the Packers go into heavy personnel or two-WR sets, he typically isn’t on the field. That makes me second guess myself, so I’d rather go with the guy they clearly want to succeed, and that’s WR Matthew Golden.
While he didn’t get the touchdowns like WR Christian Watson did to open the season, Golden led all Packers pass-catchers in snaps and targets per route run while running the most routes.
With three red-zone targets and two in the end zone, I’m still shocked his TD odds are hovering around +290.
Let’s see if the Packers can get him the ball when they’re not being blitzed over 70% of the time.
VERDICT: Garrett Wilson +210 | Matthew Golden +235
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Vikings vs. Bears
I said it was absurd that Vikings WR Justin Jefferson was +180 to score in Week 1, and he rewarded us with two touchdowns against the Packers.
Entering Week 2, more absurdity awaits as sportsbooks have priced JJettas at +180 to score again.
Did we not see the Panthers and Bryce Young absolutely dice up this Bears secondary in Week 1 for 370 pass yards and three touchdowns?
I simply can’t pass up the opportunity to bet Jefferson at this price given the positive matchup and having to play in Chicago BEFORE the cold snap in late November.
Jefferson has routinely had a 30% target share in this offense since coming into the NFL, and it was more of the same in Week 1 with nine targets and a 37% target share.
Unless the TD odds drop significantly, we’ll be taking Jefferson to score.
This will probably be my chalkiest bet of the week, but I think WR Luther Burden will have a statement game in Week 2 against the Vikings.
Burden has been hyped up all offseason about the breakout he was primed to have, and while he didn’t score last week, he looked electric against the Panthers with five catches and 63 yards receiving.
He ran the most routes of any Bears wide receiver, and now will face a Vikings team that will likely force QB Caleb Williams to scramble and make improvised throws or get rid of the ball quickly, which should line up well for Burden to break one and take it to the end zone.
If the Burden breakout is coming, this is a game I want him.
VERDICT: Justin Jefferson +180 | Luther Burden +170
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Steelers vs. Patriots
Both of these offenses looked terrible in Week 1, and even though the Steelers gutted out a win, it was ugly.
Aaron Rodgers looked passive and his yards per attempt were way down despite the Steelers investing in WRs this past offseason.
I know DK Metcalf still yielded a decent target share, but I expect the Patriots to shadow him with CB Christian Gonzalez as much as possible after getting burned by Jaxon Smith-Njigba in Week 1.
Instead, I think we go with a long shot and look to WR Roman Wilson. He scored two touchdowns last season and ran routes at a 61% clip in Week 1, which was nearly double his rate from last season.
Wilson was second on the team in targets per route run while seeing an end zone target on a deep shot from Rodgers.
At +700, I think Wilson could be a sneaky pick to score this week
On the Patriots side, with A.J. Brown is out for the foreseeable future, then give me WR Kyle Williams. The second-year WR scored three TDs last year, all coming in the second half of the season and all coming on passes of 30 yards or more.
I know QB Drake Maye looked shaky with his deep ball against the Seahawks last week, but I think the Patriots will be better prepared to utilize that skill this week after stinking it up in their previous outing.
If you want to take WR Romeo Doubs at +300 instead, that’s ok too because he’s also showing value for me, but I’ll ride with Williams to make a splash.
VERDICT: Roman Wilson +700 | Kyle Williams +950
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Panthers vs. Falcons
I’m not sure there’s an offense I’m down more on than the Falcons right now. The quarterback situation is bleak and it’s so bad, people are pining for QB Jack Strand, who was undrafted and didn’t even play Division 1.
Given the circumstances, it’s difficult to feel great about betting any Falcon to score a TD, and the odds should be much higher for the likes of WR Drake London or TE Kyle Pitts.
Avoid Falcons TD scorers until further notice!
I’m also showing pretty thin value for Panthers TD scorers overall, but the one guy I’ll keep betting is WR Jalen Coker at +265.
Coker picked up right where he left off from last season with two touchdowns in the opener against the Bears, and is going into Week 2 without an injury designation after being on the report with an ankle injury.
Running a route on 95% of dropbacks and playing in the slot at a 40% rate in Week 1, the Panthers have shown they like to move him around on offense to find the best matchup.
VERDICT: Pass on Falcons | Jalen Coker +265
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Browns vs. Buccaneers
There’s not a lot to be inspired by with the Browns these days, but rookie WR KC Concepcion jumped off the screen in Week 1. He was all over the field with four targets while also getting three carries out of the backfield, and you can see the explosiveness when he gets the ball.
Now, he had a fumble in the opener, but I think the Browns will find ways to get him the ball in space, and at +450, this is the perfect time to grab him before he reels off another explosive play against the Bucs.
I’ll be upfront: Bucs TD scorers this week show very little value.
I wanted to take WR Emeka Egbuka, but his TD odds have been steamed down to +160, and then I thought about taking RB3 Sean Tucker in chances of a blowout, but the oddsmakers are also dialed into that angle with Tucker’s TD odds down to +190.
It’s a boring pick, but I'll pivot to WR Chris Godwin at +205.
The Bucs mostly played him in the slot last week, and they might lean on him even more against a Browns pass defense that went heavy zone (87%) in Week 1.
The Browns gave up two TDs to the slot last week against the Jaguars, and that should benefit Godwin, who ran the most routes of any Buccaneer in the opener.
VERDICT: KC Concepcion +500 | Chris Godwin +205
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Bengals vs. Texans
The Bengals didn’t have to do as much offensively in Week 1 after Bucs QB Baker Mayfield continuously turned the ball over. Now, the Bengals are facing a Texans defense that could be licking their chops at this Cincy offensive line.
Historically, when facing a team that plays heavy zone like the Texans, I would typically avoid WR Tee Higgins because QB Joe Burrow tends to favor WR Ja’Marr Chase in this spot. But I’m going to go with Higgins at +190 because I think the Texans will sell out to stop Chase and let Higgins have 1-on-1 matchups on the outside.
Another encouraging part for both Chase and Higgins is the Texans ran single-high safety at 78% clip in Week 1, and both receivers see their metrics and targets per route run skyrocket when seeing those coverages.
I can make the case for both receivers, so I’m going to take the one with longer odds.
Everyone was Thottin’ for Otton in the Buccaneers' Week 1 matchup against Cincy because the Bengals defense was rotten against tight ends last year, but he was limited to only three catches and 25 yards.
This time, I think it's the right time to play the TE against the Bengals, so we go with Texans' mainstay, TE Dalton Schultz.
Since his arrival in Houston, Schultz has been the TE1 in this offense while typically running routes at a 70% clip. The Bills held him to only four catches last week, but he still saw eight targets.
Schultz will likely have a huge role in this offense this week due to the lack of receiving depth (Nico Collins is out). This should be a great spot for him to score his first TD of the year.
VERDICT: Tee Higgins +190 | Dalton Schultz +250
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Saints vs. Ravens
It was a tale of two halves for the Saints in Week 1 because if you only watched the first half, you would have thought QB QB Tyler Shough was the worst quarterback in the NFL.
However, Shough and the Saints rallied the troops to take it to overtime while getting TD scores from WR Devaughn Vele and TE Juwan Johnson.
Of the two, I prefer Johnson, but my worry is MLB Roquan Smith may erase Johnson’s productivity, even though I love his odds.
Instead, I’m pivoting to Shough to use his legs to score.
The Ravens' run defense had some troubles with RB Jonathan Taylor in Week 1, and Shough is infinitely more mobile than what QB Daniel Jones is at this stage of his career.
If the Saints get inside the 10-yard line, there’s no definitive goal-line back nor a random Taysom Hill carry to poach a TD, so I like Shough at +550 to call his own number and run one in.
The receiving options on the Ravens side are dwindling fast with WR Zay Flowers (doubtful) dealing with a hamstring injury and WR Ja'Kobi Lane on IR with injury.
Unfortunately, the Ravens' TD scorer options are completely steamed in this matchup. That’s what happens when you put up 39 points in the previous week — the market will overreact.
If you wanted to take a flier on a WR like Chris Moore at +550 or Devontez Walker at +550, be my guest, but these are both unproven receivers with very little production in the NFL.
Even TE2 Durham Smythe, who ran a route at a 30% rate, hasn’t scored a TD since the 2022 season.
This reeks of a game that will heavily feature RB Derrick Henry and TE Mark Andrews. I’ll pass on Ravens this week.
VERDICT: Tyler Shough +575 | Pass on Ravens
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Eagles vs. Titans
If you score two touchdowns in the previous week, typically the player’s TD odds would plummet, but for Eagles TE Dallas Goedert, that doesn’t seem to be the case.
Goedert was immediately a red-zone threat for the Eagles in Week 1, and we’ve seen his role in the offense grow exponentially over the years when WR A.J. Brown or WR DeVonta Smith missed time.
I think WR Dontayvion Wicks fits in well, but at the end of the day, Goedert has earned the full trust of Jalen Hurts, which is the main reason why he scored 11 times in 2025.
Another angle for Goedert is the Eagles have historically used the shovel pass or misdirect when lining up for the Tush Push, and then they give it to their TE to walk in untouched.
The only issue with taking an Eagles TD scorer this week is Philly might be leading by 20+ at halftime, which would stall the scoring in the second half.
If the Titans can be a little competitive and keep this in a neutral game script, we have to keep taking Goedert when he’s +200 or better.
Also, keep an eye on rookie WR Makai Lemon at +500. He ran nearly as many routes as Wicks in Week 1 and was their first round pick for a reason.
The Titans offense looked mostly broken in Week 1, but I was encouraged by the fact that they were targeting second-year TE Gunnar Helm.
We took him last week against the Jets, and he led the team in targets per route run while also seeing an end-zone target.
When taking TD scorers against the Eagles, if you can avoid taking wide receivers who mostly line up on the outside, it’s in your best interest because CB Quinyon Mitchell will be shadowing them.
Just look at how Terry McLaurin fared in Week 1 with Mitchell in coverage. That’s why I’m out on WR Carnell Tate for this one, and would maybe prefer WR Wan’Dale Robinson since he mostly runs out of the slot and the Titans paid him big money in the offseason.
For me, it’s Helm, but if you want to pivot to Robinson, I’m ok with that too.
VERDICT: Dallas Goedert +210 | Gunnar Helm +600
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Raiders vs. Chargers
After an absolutely disgusting display in Week 1, I expect the Chargers offense to get back on track against the Raiders, especially the run game.
The Chargers could be without WR Ladd McConkey, and that has made all Chargers pass-catcher TD odds vary widely by sportsbook as they struggle to price each player.
The player being overlooked in this spot is QB Justin Herbert, who may have more riding on this game than most.
If the Chargers drop to 0-2 with losses to two teams expected to be in the basement, the analytical pitchforks could be coming for Big Herb.
Another reason I want to invest in a Herbert TD is the odds are now as high as +500, and while there may be injuries for McConkey, the Chargers still have both of their All-Pro tackles to assist in the run game.
We know Herbert has the ability to scramble, and we just watched QB Malik Willis score on this Raiders defense last week, so I’ll take a swing on Herbert calling his own number on a play-fake near the goal line to score a TD and lead the way.
Last week, we took WR Jack Bech at +850 to score and he cashed for us in the first quarter. His odds still show value for me this week at +800.
However, my concern is Bech is now on the Chargers' radar, and they’ll game plan to neutralize him.
At these odds, it still worth a sprinkle, but I’m going to pivot and take WR Jalen Nailor at +450. It’s not sexy, but Nailor was quietly a decent TD alternative in Minnesota, scoring 10 touchdowns over the last two seasons, while playing third fiddle behind Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison.
In Las Vegas, he doesn’t have nearly the competition at wide receiver and should have a few opportunities to catch a TD, as he played the third-most snaps of any Raiders pass-catcher in Week 1, while also seeing five targets.
For the most part, It’s bleak for Raiders TDs, but I think Nailor scores one this week.
VERDICT: Justin Herbert +500 | Jalen Nailor +450
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Jaguars vs. Broncos
The Jaguars offense absolutely cooked Cleveland in Week 1, and once I saw they were playing the Broncos in Week 2, my eyes locked in on QB Trevor Lawrence immediately.
Lawrence didn’t have to run much against the Browns, but I think he’ll need to use his legs in this one, and this is matchup where he should be able to exploit Denver’s heavy man-coverage schemes.
We just saw QB Patrick Mahomes run for a TD to open the game against this same Broncos defense, and he was coming off a torn ACL. Even last year when these teams faced each other, Lawrence ran for a TD when the Jaguars got near the goal line.
Considering Lawrence had three games where he ran for two touchdowns last year, I’d even be interested in laddering his TD props to 2+ at +4000.
For the Broncos, I heavily considered wide receiver Courtland Sutton, but this time, I think it’s RB RJ Harvey’s turn to score a TD. It feels almost forgotten, but the second-year back scored 12 TDs last year, with seven on the ground and five via the pass.
RB JK Dobbins is basically a non-factor when it comes to the passing game compared to Harvey, and the Broncos may need him to offset the Jaguars pass-rush that generated a 41% pressure rate per dropback against the Browns.
Harvey practiced on a limited basis all week — if he plays, that’s where we go. But if he’s inactive, we’ll pivot back to Sutton instead.
VERDICT: Trevor Lawrence +380 | RJ Harvey +255 (if he is active) | Courtland Sutton +230 (if Harvey isn’t active)
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Commanders vs. Cowboys
If you didn’t look up snaps and routes run, you’d think Commanders WR Terry McLaurin got hurt or barely played in Week 1. Unfortunately, he was shadowed by CB Quinyon Mitchell for most of the game, which made McLaurin a non-factor.
The Cowboys don’t have All-Pro cornerbacks, which makes me excited to go back to Scary Terry.
McLaurin still operates as the WR1 in this offense, even if the boxscore tells a different story. He played the most snaps and ran the most routes of any Commanders pass-catcher, and he has shown he can be effective against both man and zone coverages.
With the Cowboys defense giving up passing yards across the board in Week 1, almost any Commanders pass-catcher is live to score.
The Cowboys passing offense should continue to see positive results against the majority of pass defenses, and the Commanders should be one of them.
Washington only allowed 182 passing yards in Week 1, but once the Eagles got into scoring territory, they buried the Commies’ secondary.
If Dak Prescott can find some more time in the pocket, I like him to spread the ball around, which is why I like WR3 Ryan Flournoy at +390.
He played 71% of snaps in Week 1 and ran just as many routes as TE1 Jake Ferguson. Flournoy scored four TDs last season in a lesser role, but they moved on from WR Jalen Tolbert and moved Flournoy into the starting WR rotation.
The Commanders also played zone at a 85% rate against the Eagles with the third-highest rate of two-high safety.
To me, that’s encouraging for Flournoy, who has historically seen an uptick in targets when facing zone or two-high, and I expect the Commanders to be so focussed on stopping WRs CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens that it could open up Flournoy to get his first TD of the year.
VERDICT: Terry McLaurin +220 | Ryan Flournoy +390
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Seahawks vs. Cardinals
The Drew Lock trickle-down effect is very real for this Seahawks offense.
Nearly all Seahawks starters have inflated odds despite the fact they are starting a backup quarterback, and while I’m not the biggest Lock fan, I think he should have some moderate success in this matchup against the Cardinals.
However, that doesn’t mean to get cute and try and take Lock to score but instead, just take his top target in Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He was listed with minus-odds to score a TD in both games against the Cardinals last year, and his ability to get open or create after the catch is a reason why we can’t pass on him.
With another week of practice with the starters, look for the Lock-JSN connection to keep it going in Week 1.
Again, Cardinals TE Trey McBride is being completely disrespected in the Anytime TD market.
The Chargers were supposed to be a tougher matchup for the All-Pro, and he completely embarrassed them with nine catches and a touchdown in Week 1.
Ever since Jacoby Brissett took over at quarterback (14 games), McBride is averaging nearly a TD per game while ranking first amongst all TE in end-zone targets in that stretch.
We’re getting the best TE in the NFL priced over +200 against a defense that already allowed a TD to a TE in Week 1.
I will run this into the ground until the odds shift.
VERDICT: Trey McBride +245 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba +140
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Dolphins vs. 49ers
Look, if WR Deebo Samuel is healthy and his role is intact with the 49ers, I’m going to bet on him almost every game if he’s over +200.
The 49ers offense was humming in Week 1, and Samuel made his presence known with a TD in the second half.
When he was at the peak of his powers in this offense a few years ago, you would have been lucky to get +150 for him to score a TD. So at +210, it’s hard to pass on him.
The Niners are creative in how they use him with carries out of the backfield or short screen passes. Hell, they even had him on kickoff duty in the opener.
Facing a Dolphins defense that should be easily run over, give me Deebo to score another TD.
Last week with the Dolphins, we went with QB Malik Willis because the Raiders' front-seven was soft against the run and he rewarded us with a TD.
For this game, I’ll be worried if he can even finish it because the 49ers defense might pulverize him if he tries to beat a defender to the first-down line.
That’s why I’m targeting rookie WR Caleb Douglas this time around.
The Dolphins' receiver room doesn’t really have much blue-chip talent, but Douglas might be the best they have. He's 6-foot-4 and can make contested catches in traffic. He was also a TD threat in college with Texas Tech.
If the Dolphins are expected to be trailing for a good portion of this game, I want a pass-catcher that can win in a 1-on-1 scenario.
If you prefer Malik Washington instead, I won’t discourage you because betting Dolphins TD scorers is discouraging in general. So, do whatever makes you happy!
VERDICT: Deebo Samuel +210 | Caleb Douglas +500
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