The Cleveland Browns (2-8) and Las Vegas Raiders (2-8) will face off in NFL Week 12 on Sunday, November 23. Kickoff is set for 4:05 p.m. ET from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nev. Browns vs Raiders will broadcast live on CBS.
The Raiders are 3.5-point favorites over the Browns on the spread (Raiders -3.5), with the over/under set at 36 total points. Las Vegas is a -210 moneyline favorite to win outright, while Cleveland is +175 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Week 12 preview and Browns vs Raiders prediction.
Browns vs Raiders Prediction
- Browns vs Raiders pick: Raiders -3.5 (-115)
My Browns vs Raiders best bet is on Las Vegas to cover the spread. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Browns vs Raiders Odds
| Browns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -105 | 36 -110o / -110u | +175 |
| Raiders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -115 | 36 -110o / -110u | -210 |
Browns vs Raiders Week 12 Preview
Laying 3.5 points with the Raiders in a game where the total has dropped all the way to 35.5 indoors is insane — but I'm doing it.
First and foremost, this is purely a fade of Browns rookie QB Shedeur Sanders. I simply don’t think he’s ready to be an NFL quarterback right now.
From everything I’ve heard from people close to the team, that’s exactly the case. And from everything I’ve seen — especially everything I saw last week — that appeared to be true.
Sanders posted a -35% completion percentage over expectation last week. He was 0-for-8 against the blitz with a 100% pressure rate. He holds onto the ball too long, he’s not athletic enough to make up for it, and he can’t read defenses.
The Browns are also dealing with injuries at tackle. We don’t know yet at the time of writing, but they might have KT Leveston in there again. They might have two backup tackles. Both starters (Jack Conklin, Cam Robinson have only practiced in a limited capacity.
I'm joking, but Maxx Crosby might set an NFL record for sacks in a game in this one given the uncertainties on the offensive line and Sanders not being ready for primetime.
Additionally, the Browns defense isn’t the same on the road. As I've said before, when the Browns are playing at home, bet them. When they are on the road, you fade them.
Over the past three seasons, the Browns have been the most profitable home team in the NFL at 63.6% against the spread (ATS). On the road, they’re the least profitable at 5-17 ATS (22.7%), failing to cover by almost a touchdown per game.
Browns vs Raiders Prediction, Betting Analysis
Geno Smith and the Raiders’ offensive line have been a disaster, too. It has been horrendous, and that worries me against the Cleveland defensive line.
But again, the Browns defense isn’t the same on the road. At the end of the day, Smith is a professional, starting-caliber quarterback, and as far as we know, Sanders is not.
Dillon Gabriel has been one of the three worst quarterbacks in the NFL this season, but there’s a reason Gabriel was in there. Maybe one day Sanders will be a good NFL quarterback, but he simply isn't ready right now.
There are going to be short fields, turnovers and lots of sacks in this game, and I expect the Raiders to take full advantage and get the job done at home.
Pick: Raiders -3.5 (-115)
Spread
My Raiders vs Browns betting prediction is on Las Vegas to cover the spread at -3.5.
Moneyline
I have no bet for either moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm not betting either side of the total in this contest.
