Our Favorite Cowboys vs. Giants Picks for Monday Night Football
USA Today Sports. Pictured: Ezekiel Elliott
- Our experts reveal how they're betting Monday Night Football.
- Find their spread and prop bet picks for the Cowboys at Giants below.
Cowboys at Giants Odds & Picks
- Odds: Cowboys -6.5
- Over/Under: 48.5
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
Odds as of early Monday afternoon and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
The Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants bring their NFC East rivalry to primetime with a Monday Night Football showdown to wrap Week 9.
Dak Prescott and Co. are near touchdown favorites on the road, but is that where the best betting value is? Our staff highlights how they’re betting this game, complete with a spread pick and two props.
Matthew Freedman: Cowboys -6.5
The passing game is what matters most in the NFL. The Cowboys offense is No. 1 in pass success rate (56%, per Sharp Football Stats), while the Giants defense is No. 27 (50%).
On the other side of the ball, the Giants offense and Cowboys defense basically cancel each other out: Both are No. 22 in pass success (44%, 48%).
Given the large edge they have in the passing game — which you can read more about in our official game preview — as well as the benefit they should get from their 15-day break, I like the Cowboys, even on the road.
I’d bet them to -7. [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]
Sean Koerner: Aldrick Rosas Under 7.5 Kicking Points (-125)
Let’s take a shot at a kicker prop.
I have Rosas projected to score 6.14 kicking points tonight — that’s 1.4 field goals made and 1.94 extra points made — which is well below the 7.5 line.
This is a market I haven’t dabbled in much to date, so I’ll sharpen up over time, but my initial guesstimate is this has about a 70-75% chance of hitting. Rosas has averaged 3.75 points a game and has yet to even clear 7.5 points in a game — in fact, the most points he’s scored is 6, so I’m technically projecting him for more than his season-high.
The Giants’ average points per game (19.8) is fairly close to their team total for tonight (20.5), so there really isn’t a strong indicator that Rosas’ fortunes will drastically change.
All of this, of course, is already factored into my kicking model and it clearly shows value on this bet, so let’s take it. This has value up to -200 odds.
Justin Bailey: Randall Cobb Under 3.0 Receptions (+110)
Over the past six weeks, Cobb is fourth on the team in target share (15%) and is averaging a paltry 4.8 targets and 2.5 receptions per game over that time frame.
Additionally, over his last four games, he’s caught just two, three, three and two passes. Given that Cobb is arguably the fourth or fifth option on this offense behind Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, Ezekiel Elliott and Jason Witten, I’ll take a shot at the under.
Even though it has a good chance to push since the current line is sitting at 3.0, I’ll gladly take the plus-money odds. I’d bet this to +100.