The New England Patriots (7-2) host the New York Giants (2-6) to close NFL Week 13 on Monday Night Football on December 1. Kickoff from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. MNF will broadcast on ESPN.
The Patriots are 7-point favorites over the Giants on the spread (Patriots -7), with the over/under set at 46.5 points. New England is a -370 moneyline favorite; New York is a +290 underdog.
Below, you can find our Giants vs Patriots picks for Monday Night Football, which include predictions for the spread, game total and two player props.
Giants vs Patriots Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Monday Night Football Odds
- Giants vs Patriots Moneyline: Giants +290, Patriots -370
- Giants vs Patriots Spread: Giants +7, Patriots -7
- Giants vs Patriots Total: 46.5
Giants vs Patriots odds via bet365
Giants vs Patriots Spread Prediction
Jaxson Dart returns tonight, and as excited for his future as I am, I am expecting a gameplan that revolves around him remaining healthy for the duration of the season.
The Giants’ coaching staff won’t be able to stop Dart from scrambling and making plays with his legs, but the conversation surely revolves around him avoiding unnecessary hits.
That is a long-winded way of saying he is not going to be as effective playing cautiously. New York may try to lean on the running backs in the ground game, but that is unlikely to succeed versus a Patriots defense limiting running backs to just 3.6 yards per carry. If New York struggles to run the ball and asks Dart to play predominantly from the pocket, the Giants will struggle to get to 17 points scored.
The Giants fired their defensive coordinator Shane Bowen, but I cannot see them righting the ship in 2025. This defense is allowing an astounding 6.2 yards per rush and has been beaten by the downfield passing attack this entire season. Drake Maye completes a league-best 63% of passes 10 or more yards downfield.
I like the Patriots to win with margin tonight as the passing game will get them the lead and the running game will be effective enough to protect the lead in the 2nd half.
Pick: Patriots -7; bet to -7.5 (-110)
Giants vs Patriots Over/Under Pick
By Billy Ward
The Giants haven’t been held under 20 points in a game since Jaxson Dart’s second NFL start, even with the loss of their top wide receiver Malik Nabers, and rookie sensation running back Cam Skattebo. While some of those games were played with Jameis Winston under center, they’ve had similar success no matter who is playing QB.
This bodes well for their scoring potential against the Patriots, who will be the worst defense (by DVOA) the Giants have faced since Week 2, when Russell Wilson was the starting QB. New England is due for some major defensive regression, ranking fourth in points allowed but 27th in DVOA.
On the other side, the Giants defense is bad by any measure, ranking 28th in DVOA and 30th in points allowed. That could be a problem against an exciting young Patriots offense led by Drake Maye.
Maye is reminiscent of a young Josh Allen, in that he makes a few too many mistakes but can also take over a game with his arm or his legs when need be.
I’m expecting the Giants offense to do enough to force that aggression from New England and Maye, which should lead to points – either for the Patriots offense or the Giants defense if Maye presses too hard.
Either way, this should be a high-scoring game despite being played outside in New England. While it’s expected to be cold, there’s no wind or precipitation in the forecast, which typically doesn’t have much of an impact on scoring.
Pick: Over 46.5 (-108)
Giants vs Patriots Player Props: Jaxson Dart
Jaxson Dart is confirmed back for this game after missing two games with a concussion, and the odds on him to score a touchdown are far too high.
Even coming back from a concussion, Dart should still be running at a high rate, especially in the red zone. Despite missing several weeks, Dart is fourth in the NFL among QBs in red-zone rushes and has scored in each of the last five games he's played.
I have the true odds here around +250.
Pick: Jaxson Dart Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+330)
Giants vs Patriots Player Props: Rhamondre Stevenson
By Nick Galaida
We have seen time and time again this season that the Patriots prefer players other than TreVeyon Henderson in short-yardage and goal-line situations.
Since Antonio Gibson suffered a season-ending injury in Week 5, there have been four games in which Henderson, Rhamondre Stevenson, and Terrell Jennings have all been active – Stevenson has received 6-of-8 goal-line attempts that have gone to the running back position in those games.
Entering play, the Giants' rush defense ranks 32nd in EPA/play and 32nd in success rate. If New England is going to score on the ground, there is a decent chance that Stevenson is the one carrying the ball into the end zone.
Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+220)
