Schwartz’s Trench Report: Week 3 NFL Bets Based on Offensive Line Play

Sep 20, 2018 1:58 PM EDT
  • Former NFL lineman Geoff Schwartz offers his two best Week 3 bets based on the battles up front.
  • Patrick Mahomes has thrown for a record 10 touchdowns behind an offensive line that has allowed just two sacks.
  • So what does that mean for Sunday's highest projected total in the 49ers-Chiefs matchup? That's one of two picks for this week's slate.

The Week 3 Trench Report is here! We went 1-1 last week, bringing the season total to 3-1 with some great-looking games this weekend.

Below are a pair of picks for this week based on the battles up front. We’ll start with the guys protecting Patrick Mahomes against the 49ers in Kansas City, then look at the New York Giants-Houston Texans matchup.


>> All odds as of 2 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.


San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs

  • Spread: Chiefs -6.5
  • Over/Under: 55.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

I know this is a trench report, but we need to examine what the Chiefs do on offense: They find ways to exploit matchups and they will do the same against the 49ers.

Mahomes has a record 10 touchdown passes to zero interceptions through the first two weeks. He’ll rightfully get a ton of attention, but his offensive line has been doing work. They’ve allowed only two sacks, giving Mahomes time to break down a defense.

Meanwhile, the 49ers are 19th in Football Outsiders’ Adjusted Sack Rate and have struggled against the pass as a whole.

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Credit:

Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (third from left) and the Chiefs offensive linemen

Follow Geoff Schwartz on Twitter
@geoffschwartz

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
KC
LA
63.5
-1
63
-3