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NFL Divisional Round Betting Trends, Stats, Notes: Action Network Betting Primer

NFL Divisional Round Betting Trends, Stats, Notes: Action Network Betting Primer article feature image

For the first time since 1997, three teams from the same division have made it to the Divisional Round of the playoffs. This season, the NFC East is currently 29-16-1 ATS vs. non-divisional opponents, the best division ATS this season and the best year for the NFC East in the last 20 years.

Let’s look at this week’s slate with the betting trends, stats and notes you need to know. Welcome to the Divisional Round version of Action Network’s NFL betting primer.

All data, stats and trends are updated as of Saturday, Jan. 21, 12 p.m. ET.


1. The Ultimate Longshots

The Jaguars and Giants entered the regular season at 150-1 odds to win the Super Bowl and are now playing in the Divisional Round.

The Giants and Jaguars are the first duo at 100-1 Super Bowl odds or longer to in the preseason to make the Divisional Round since 1987, when the Oilers (120-1) and Colts (150-1) did (only other time last 40 years).

Houston and Indianapolis both lost by 17+ and failed to cover the spread in the Divisional Round.

2. The Road Dog, Daniel Jones!

Daniel Jones has excelled on the road and as an underdog in his career.

  • Road: 18-7 ATS (9th-best of 258 QBs last 20 years as dog)
  • Dog: 27-15 ATS (8th-best of 265 QBs last 20 years as dog)
  • Road Dog: 17-5 ATS (5th-best of 254 QBs last 20 years as road dog)

Best ATS Season as Underdogs Last 20 Years (incl. playoffs)

2022 Giants 11-2 ATS (+$809)

3. A Unique Situation

The Cowboys are playing their fourth consecutive road game this weekend in the Divisional Round at San Francisco. Over the last 20 years, only two other teams have entered a playoff game on four consecutive road games:

  • 2015-16 Steelers – PIT +7, Lost 23-16
  • 2009-10 Ravens – BAL +6.5, Lost 20-3

The 49ers have won 11 consecutive games straight up entering their Divisional Round game. In the last 20 years, 16 teams have played a playoff game on a 10+ game SU win streak. Those teams are 8-8 SU and 3-13 ATS (including a 49ers win last week).

When the game is played in the Divisional Round or later, those teams are 6-8 SU and 1-13 ATS, failing to cover the spread by 7.7 PPG.

Every NFL Game For Divisional Round 

Click on one of the matchups below to navigate to a specific game.


Click on a topic to skip ahead
Market Movers
Biggest Divisional Round Moves
Sharp Report
How the Pros Are Betting Divisional Round
The Big Picture
Referee Trends, Futures, Coaches & More
Action Audio
Divisional Round Podcasts
What’s Next?
Conference Championship Trends

Game-By-Game Breakdown

Jaguars at Chiefs 
Channel: NBC | 4:30 p.m. ET (Sat.)
Line: KC (-9.5) | O/U: 53
Trevor Lawrence, JAC
2022 Career Playoffs (Career)
9-9 ATS
10-8 SU
14-21 ATS
13-22 SU
1-0 ATS
1-0 SU
Patrick Mahomes, KC
2022 Career Playoffs (Career)
6-11 ATS
14-3 SU
47-42-2 ATS
72-19 SU
7-4 ATS
8-3 SU


+ Referee: Shawn Hochuli

  • Hochuli’s fourth playoff game. In his three playoff games, average of 63 PPG combined by both teams.
  • Under is 43-33-3 (56.6%) in all his games (fifth-best ref to under since his first game in 2018)

Hochuli splits:

  • Road teams: 44-33-2 ATS
  • Underdogs: 43-33-2 ATS

+ Jaguars have won six consecutive games for the first time since winning 11 consecutive games back in November and December of 1999 and for just the third time in franchise history.

+ Trevor Lawrence is 13-22 SU, 14-21 ATS in his career.

His second start vs Chiefs: Lost 27-17 in KC earlier this season as 9.5-pt dogs (line opened +10) — What happened in the game:

  • The Jaguars opened the game recovering an onside kick.
  • The Jaguars won the turnover battle 3-0 and still lost 27-17.
  • First game (reg or playoffs) team had +3 TO diff and lost by double-digits since 2018 and just the 4th game since 2010.

+ Lawrence is 8-5 SU/ATS this season as an underdog. He was 3-12 SU and 5-10 ATS as an underdog last season.

+ Lawrence is 9-1 against the second half spread since November 1, tied with Jared Goff for best 2H ATS record since Nov. 1.

+ Arrowhead is projected to be around 37 degrees Saturday afternoon. Trevor Lawrence has played three NFL games at 40 degrees or less and the Jaguars are 0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS, averaging 18.3 PPG. In college at Clemson, Lawrence was 3-0 SU/ATS in 40 degrees or less, averaging 42.3 PPG.

+ The Jaguars have struggled as road underdogs under Lawrence: 3-12 SU and 5-10 ATS. Lawrence started his career 1-12 SU in this spot, but has won two in a row now (@TEN, @NYJ).

+ Jaguars are 8-5 SU and ATS this season. That is tied for the most straight up underdog wins in a single season in the Super Bowl era, including playoffs.

  • 2022 – Jaguars, 8 (8-5 SU)
  • 2021 – Raiders, 8 (8-5 SU)
  • 2015 – Washington, 8 (8-6 SU)
  • 2007 – Giants, 8 (8-2 SU)
  • 2006 – Saints, 8 (8-4 SU)
  • 2001 – Patriots 8, (8-4 SU)
  • 2022 – Giants, 7 (7-5-1 SU)

+ Jaguars completed the third-biggest comeback in NFL playoff history, trailing 27-0 and coming back to beat the Chargers. How do teams perform the week after pulling off a massive comeback?

  • Playoffs: There have been six comebacks of 24 pts or more in the playoffs, including Jacksonville. The previous four teams that had to play a game the following week are an even 2-2 SU/ATS.
  • Regular Season: There have been five comebacks of 25 pts or more in the regular season. Those teams are 2-2 SU, but 1-3 ATS (one team had bye week after).

+ Trevor Lawrence has never lost a game in NFL, college or HS on a Saturday:

  • 2-0 NFL
  • 32-0 CFB
  • 3-0 HS

+ Jaguars entered the regular season at 150-1 odds to win the Super Bowl and are now playing in the Divisional Round.

  • Giants and Jaguars are the first duo at 100-1 Super Bowl odds or longer in the preseason to make the Divisional Round since 1987, when the Oilers (120-1) and Colts (150-1) did (only other time last 40 years).
  • Houston and Indianapolis both lost by 17+ and failed to cover the spread in the Divisional Round.

+ Jaguars have lost six consecutive games SU vs. Chiefs dating back to 2010 (Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. KC last 15 years).

+ Jaguars became the first team in playoff history to win a game with a -5 turnover differential (teams were 1-85 SU in the playoffs with a -4 or greater turnover differential entering this weekend).

Since 2011, six teams have entered the Divisional Round or later after losing the turnover differential by 4 or more in their previous game — those teams are 0-6 SU.

+ Jaguars are 15-3 on a 6-point teaser this season (the third-best record in the NFL with Falcons and Chargers).

Best Record in 6-Pt Teaser This Season:

  • Chargers 16-2
  • Falcons 15-2
  • Jaguars 15-3
  • Eagles, Bengals 14-3
  • 49ers, Giants 14-4

+ Jaguars failed to make the playoffs last year. Chiefs did. Teams who failed to make the playoffs the previous season, facing a team who did, are 25-15 ATS in the Divisional Round over the last 20 years (same teams are 14-29-1 ATS in the Wild Card round.

Road teams that missed the playoffs last year are 26-12 ATS (68%) in the Divisional Round over the last 20 years. Those same teams are 36-39-1 ATS (48%) in all other rounds of the playoffs.

+ Jaguars began the season having issues getting to the QB with more than one sack in just four of their first 11 games. Since Week 13, they have two sacks or more in seven straight games and are T-3rd most sacks in the NFL. Jags entered the playoffs ranked 29th in adjusted sack rate according to Football Outsiders.

+ Jaguars are 7-22 SU when allowing 14 pts or more under Trevor Lawrence (6-7 this season, including 5-1 in their last 6 games in the spot)

+ Jaguars are 6-3 to the under at home and 6-3 to the over on the road this season.



+ Patrick Mahomes: 8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS in the playoffs; only loss SU to Brady & Burrow.

  • 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS at home in the playoffs.
  • 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS in Divisional and Wild Card round, covering the spread by 6.9 PPG.

In the last 20 years, Mahomes is the fourth QB to be undefeated SU in the Divisional and Wild Card rounds (min 3 starts)

  • Patrick Mahomes: 5-0 SU
  • Mark Sanchez: 4-0 SU
  • Colin Kaepernick: 3-0 SU
  • Jimmy Garoppolo: 3-0 SU

+ Mahomes: 19-3 SU at home in December or later in his career (only losses? Burrow, Brady, Rivers)

+ After the Patriots finished 8-9 SU this season, their streak of 19 consecutive years over .500 SU comes to an end. The current active streak? Kansas City with 10, the ninth franchise and 10th team ever to accomplish that feat in the NFL.

At the moment, the Chiefs only have one title in the 10 years, which would be tied with Giants (1954-63) and Browns (1957-69) with the fewest titles for teams to have at least a 10+ year streak of winning seasons.

+ The Chiefs are looking to advance to their fifth consecutive Conference Championship game.

The Patriots own the longest streak of consecutive Conference Championship game appearances with 8 (2011-18). 1973-77 Raiders are only other team with five consecutive appearances. The NFC record is four by Cowboys (1970–73, 1992–95) and Eagles (2001-04).

+ Chiefs led the NFL in scoring this year with 29.3 PPG.

  • Teams to avg 29 PPG or more are 35-43 ATS in the playoffs, including 15-18 ATS in the Divisional Round, least profitable round of the playoffs.
  • When those scoring teams are listed as the favorite, they are 26-35 ATS in the playoffs.

+ Chiefs are favored in their 14th straight playoff game, the longest streak in the Super Bowl era.

Their last playoff game as an underdog? 2016 Divisional at Patriots. Alex Smith vs. Tom Brady. Patriots won 27-20.

+ Andy Reid has been a favorite of a TD or more eight times with the Chiefs and Eagles, he is 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS (including 6-2 in a 6-pt teaser).

+ Reid faces one of his former assistants this week in Doug Pederson. Reid is 19-8 SU and 16-11 ATS vs. his former assistants, including 2-0 SU/ATS vs. Doug Pederson.

+ Reid off bye: 28-6 SU, 21-13 ATS.

Reid at home off bye: 18-2 SU, 12-8 ATS.

+ The Chiefs trailed the Bengals 14-10 at the half in Week 13 and lost. In Week 15, they trailed the Texans 14-13 at half and won.

Kansas City has won six of their last seven games in which they trailed at halftime. The six straight wins was the longest streak by any NFL team (reg & post) since the 49ers won 7 straight from 1989-90.

+ Mahomes is just 3-10 ATS this season after a SU win and 17-25 ATS after a win since 2020.

+ Mahomes is 9-1 SU on at least 13 days rest in his career. One loss? Super Bowl vs. Bucs.

+ Mahomes performs better ATS away from home

  • Home: 22-24-1 ATS
  • Road/Neutral: 25-18-1 ATS

+ Both the Chiefs and Bills enter the Divisional Round with a negative turnover differential average this season. When those teams are favored in the Divisional Round, they are 31-20 SU, but 20-31 ATS over the last 20 years.

+ It has been profitable to fade No. 1 seeds in the Divisional Round. 1 seeds are 13-25-1 ATS (34.2%) over the last 20 years. When those teams are favored by less than 10 pts, they are 8-22-1 ATS (26.7%)

+ Patrick Mahomes career against the spread:

  • As favorite of 3.5 or more: 30-36-1 ATS
  • As favorite of 3 or less (or underdog): 17-6-1 ATS

+ Mahomes’ 16th start in January or later. He’s been favored in all 16 starts: 11-4 SU, 8-7 ATS.

+ Mahomes on 13+ days rest – or a bye – in his career: 9-1 SU and 5-5 ATS (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS in playoffs) – 6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS when that game is at home.

+ Under is now 54-38-1 (58.7%) at Arrowhead with Andy Reid in KC.

When the Chiefs are 7-pt favorites or higher, under is 31-14-1 (69%).

Last 20 years, unders are 49-24-4 (67.1%) in Andy Reid home games when his team is favored by 7 or more (31-14-1 to under last decade).

+ Travis Kelce is 99 receiving yards shy of breaking the record for most receiving yards for a TE in the playoffs in history.

  1. Rob Gronkowski: 1,389
  2. Travis Kelce: 1,291

+ Travis Kelce has 95+ rec yds in six consecutive playoff games.

Longest playoff streak of 95+ rec in playoff history (prev. record was 4)

His 54 catches are the most in any 6-game span in playoff history

+ Chiefs are 2-10 ATS in conference games this season, the worst mark in the league.

+ The Chiefs, Eagles and Bills currently have an 80%+ win pct entering their Divisional Round game this week. In the last 20 years, teams with 80%+ win pct in the playoffs are just 38-58 ATS (39.6%), including the Bills ATS loss vs. Dolphins last week.

  • Those teams are 18-27 ATS in the Divisional Round, including 19-30 ATS in the Divisional Round or earlier in the playoffs.
  • Teams with over a 75% win pct, when listed as favorites, are 15-30 ATS in the Divisional Round in the last 20 years

+ Chiefs are 7-2 to the under at home this season and 6-2 to the over on the road.

+ Jerick McKinnon is the first running back since 1970 to record a touchdown reception in five consecutive games. He’s now done it in 6 straight games.

Most Rec TD Single Season by RB Last 40 Years

  • 9 – Jerick McKinnon (2022)
  • 9 – Marshall Faulk (2001)

+ Patrick Mahomes is expected to win the NFL MVP this season after receiving 49 of the 50 possible first-place votes for the AP All-Pro team. How has the MVP historically fared in the playoffs?

  • Won Super Bowl: 10
  • Lost Super Bowl: 15
  • Conference Champ: 9
  • Divisional Round: 13
  • Wild Card: 3
  • Lost 1st playoff game: 16
  • Last NFL MVP to win a Super Bowl? Kurt Warner in 1999

Giants at Eagles 
Channel: FOX | 8:15 p.m. ET (Sat.)
Line: PHI (-8) | O/U: 48.5
Daniel Jones, NYG
2022 Career Playoffs (Career)
13-4 ATS
10-6-1 SU
32-22 ATS
21-31-1 SU
1-0 ATS
1-0 SU
Jalen Hurts, PHI
2022 Career Playoffs (Career)
8-7 ATS
14-1 SU
17-17-1 ATS
23-12 SU
0-1 ATS
0-1 SU


+ Referee: Clete Blakeman

Blakeman’s 12th playoff game. Underdogs are 9-2 ATS in his previous 11 playoff games, including road teams going 8-2 ATS.

The Eagles are dominant at home and vs. the Giants when Clete Blakeman is the head official:

  • 11-4 SU, 9-6 ATS overall
  • 5-1 SU/ATS at home
  • 3-0 SU/ATS vs. NYG

+ The under is 33-16-2 (67.3%) in Giants games since the start of the 2020 season, the most profitable team to the under.

+ Giants are 4-0 ATS this season in the second meeting vs. opposing teams:

  • Cowboys: Lost 28-20 (+10)
  • Commanders: Won 20-12 (+4)
  • Eagles: Lost 22-16 (+17)
  • Vikings: Won 31-24 (+2.5)

+ Since the Eagles last lost to the Giants in the 2001 playoffs, New York is 13-33 SU, 20-26 ATS vs. Eagles. The Eagles are 2-0 SU/ATS vs. Giants in playoffs since then and overall, Philly has won 9 consecutive home games SU vs. Giants dating back to 2014 — Eli Manning beat Michael Vick.

Since 2014, Giants are 23-50 SU on the road. 1-17 SU vs. Eagles and Cowboys, 22-33 SU vs. everyone else.

+ Giants and Eagles have the two best rush offenses left in the playoffs and were both top-5 in the regular season (rush yards/game).

In the last 20 years, when two teams averaging at least 130 rush yds/game face off in the playoffs — which has only happened four times — the under is 4-0, going under the total by 18.6 PPG

+ In playoff games between No. 1 and No. 6 seeds, the under is 17-5 (77.3%) over the last 20 years, going under the total by 6.1 PPG.

+ In the Wild Card era (since 1990), this is the 17th matchup of division foes in the Divisional Round.

  • Favorites are 10-5 SU and 8-7 ATS in those in-division, Divisional Round games (one closed as a PK).
  • Since 2000, favorites of 7 or more in-division, Divisional Round games, are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS.
  • Last 20 years, in-division favorites in Divisional Round games are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS

+ Giants entered the regular season at 150-1 odds to win the Super Bowl and are now playing in the Divisional Round.

  • Giants and Jaguars are the first duo at 100-1 Super Bowl odds or longer in the preseason to make the Divisional Round since 1987, when the Oilers (120-1) and Colts (150-1) did (only other time last 40 years).
  • Houston and Indianapolis both lost by 17+ and failed to cover the spread in the Divisional Round.

+ Daniel Jones and Jalen Hurts combined for 1,468 rushing yards during the regular season. It’s the most combined rush yards ever for a playoff QB matchup, surpassing Lamar Jackson vs. Josh Allen in the 2020 divisional round (1,426).

+ Games at night are 37-21 to the under so far this season.

  • Overs at night went 1-2 in Wild Card Round
  • Under is 16-3 in last 19 night games
  • Under is 17-4 in night games since Dec. 1

+ The six seed is 10-1 ATS in the Wild Card round since 2017. Those same teams are just 4-4 ATS in the Divisional Round.

Overall, 6 seeds are 12-8-1 ATS in the Divisional Round in the last 20 years, but in a divisional matchup in the Divisional Round, 6 seeds are 3-0 ATS all as underdogs.

+ Giants failed to make the playoffs last year. Eagles did. Teams who failed to make the playoffs the previous season, facing a team who did, are 25-15 ATS in the Divisional Round over the last 20 years (same teams are 14-29-1 ATS in the Wild Card round.

Road teams that missed the playoffs last year are 26-12 ATS (68%) in the Divisional Round over the last 20 years. Those same teams are 36-39-1 ATS (48%) in all other rounds of the playoffs.

+ Giants finished the regular season 13-4 ATS, the most profitable team ATS in the NFL. At 14-4 ATS entering the Divisional Round, they’ve made a $100 bettor $887 this season.

Boom or Bust: Five teams since 2000 have led NFL in ATS profitability w/ 13 ATS wins. Two won Super Bowl (2003, 16 Patriots) and three lost in Wild Card (21 Cowboys, 2015 Vikings, 2004 Chargers).

Since 2000, here are the playoff results of the 22 teams to finish atop the ATS standings in the regular season. Since 2018, three lost in WC and one missed playoffs.

  • Won SB: 3
  • Lost SB: 1
  • Conf Champ: 6
  • Divisional: 1
  • Missed Playoffs: 3

+ Giants are 7-5-1 SU and 11-2 ATS as underdogs this season, they were 6-10 ATS as underdogs last season (NY is most profitable team this season ATS as underdogs).

Best ATS Season as Underdogs Last 20 Years (incl. playoffs)

  • 2022 Giants 11-2 ATS (+$809)
  • 2012 Rams 11-3 ATS (+$756) == Missed playoffs
  • 2007 Giants 9-2 ATS (+$700) == Won Super Bowl
  • 2006 Titans 10-3 ATS (+$675) == Missed playoffs
  • 2004 Chargers 8-1-1 ATS (+$641) == L, Wild Card
  • 2006 Saints 9-3 ATS (+$604) == L, Conf Champ

+ Giants are the most profitable team SU in the NFL this season. 10-7-1 SU, a $100 bettor up $727.



+ Jalen Hurts has played one playoff game in his NFL career: 31-15 loss to Tom Brady and Bucs as a 7-pt underdog.

+ Hurts is second youngest QB in NFL history to win 14+ games in a season behind Dan Marino in 1984

+ Nick Sirianni is just the second Eagles coach to make the playoffs in his first two seasons — Ray Rhodes in 1995-96 (never made it past Divisional Round).

+ Eagles have won 13 games or more in the regular season three times in franchise history. The previous two times they made the Super Bowl.

  • 2022 – 14-3 SU
  • 2017 – 13-3 SU (Won SB)
  • 2004 – 13-3 SU (Lost SB)

+ Eagles swept the Giants during the regular season. How do those teams perform in the playoffs?

  • The team that accomplished the sweep has a record of 21-14 SU in the playoff game all-time. When playing at home, the team that swept that opponent has a record of 19-8 SU.
  • In the Divisional Round, the team that went 2-0 has a record of only 6-5 when trying to get to 3-0.
  • Eagles will be the 21st team in the Wild Card era (since 1990) to face an opponent a third time after a SU sweep in the regular season. Those teams are 13-7 SU (10-9-1 ATS).
  • Since the 1970 AFL-NFL Merger, 24 teams that swept an opponent in the regular season then faced that same opponent in the playoffs. The team that won both regular season games has gone 15-9 SU in the playoffs.

+ Eagles have failed to cover the spread in four straight games entering the Divisional Round:

  • Eagles haven’t lost five straight ATS since 2012
  • Eagles are just the fourth team in the last 20 years to lose 4+ games ATS entering the Divisional Round and first since 2009-10 Saints.
  • Teams on at least a 2-game ATS losing streak entering the Divisional Round are 13-5 SU and 9-8-1 ATS in the last 20 years.

+ The Chiefs, Eagles and Bills currently have an 80%+ win pct entering their Divisional Round game this week. In the last 20 years, teams with 80%+ win pct in the playoffs are just 38-58 ATS (39.6%), including the Bills ATS loss vs. Dolphins last week.

Those teams are 18-27 ATS in the Divisional Round, including 19-30 ATS in the Divisional Round or earlier in the playoffs.

+ Boston Scott has scored 18 total TD in his NFL career, 10 of those TDs have come against the Giants. Scott has only scored against five other teams in his career (eight total TDs). Four of his last seven TDs dating back to the start of last season vs. Giants.

+ Hurts has had success vs. playoff teams this season, going 5-0 SU vs. playoff teams.

+ This season, the Eagles are 14-1 SU with Jalen Hurts and 0-2 SU without him.

+ Eagles enter the playoffs allowing 179.8 pass yards per game on defense, best mark in the NFL. Elite pass defenses haven’t boded too well at home this late into the playoffs (Divisional Round or later), going 6-12 ATS, failing to cover the number by 3.7 PPG.

+ The Eagles have a sack pct of 6.2% this season — the percentage of plays that end up as a sack for the defense — in the last 20 years of the playoffs, no team has had a sack % of over 5.6% (Bears in 2010-11).

+ Eagles defense had 70 sacks this season, tied for the third-most in NFL history. Historically, teams with high-sack regular seasons have struggled in the playoffs.

Most Sacks by Team Single Season since NFL Merger (1970) (Playoff Result)

  • 1984 Bears 72 – Conference Champ
  • 1989 Vikings 71 – Divisional Round
  • 2022 Eagles 70
  • 1987 Bears 70 – Divisional Round
  • 1985 Giants 68 – Divisional Round
  • 2000 Saints 67 – Divisional Round
  • 1984 Washington 66 – Divisional Round
  • 1981 Jets 66 – Wild Card
  • 1985 Raiders 65 – Divisional Round

+ Seven OL have played over 550 pass blocking snaps with zero sacks allowed this season — Two of those linemen were Eagles: Jason Kelce & Lane Johnson.

+ Eagles last four playoff games as a favorite (0-4 SU):

  • 2019-20: PHI (-1) vs. SEA (SEA 17-9)
  • 2013-14: PHI (-3) vs. NO (NO 26-24)
  • 2010-11: PHI (-1) vs. GB (GB 21-16)
  • 2008-09: PHI (-3.5) at ARI (ARI 32-25)

+ Eagles as home favorite in playoffs last 15 years (0-4 ATS):

  • 2019-20: PHI (-1) vs. SEA (SEA 17-9)
  • 2013-14: PHI (-3) vs. NO (NO 26-24)
  • 2010-11: PHI (-1) vs. GB (GB 21-16)
  • 2006-07: PHI (-6.5) vs. NYG (PHI 23-20)

+ Historically, the Eagles have excelled in the playoffs as underdogs and really struggled as favorites.

  • Favorites: 3-7 ATS last 20 years (9-11 SU, 7-13 ATS in the Super Bowl era)
  • Underdogs: 8-2 ATS last 20 years (15-7 ATS in the Super Bowl era)
  • Since 2000, Eagles are 11-3 against the spread as underdogs in the playoffs.

+ It has been profitable to fade No. 1 seeds in the Divisional Round. 1 seeds are 13-25-1 ATS (34.2%) over the last 20 years. When those teams are favored by less than 10 pts, they are 8-22-1 ATS (26.7%).

+ Eagles without Lane Johnson since 2020: 4-11 SU.

Over the last two seasons, Johnson has played exactly 1,000 pass plays and he hasn’t given up a sack and only one QB hit.

+ Teams with an 80%+ win pct are 29-16 SU and 18-27 ATS (40%) in the Divisional Round over the last 20 years, the least profitable round ATS for such teams in the playoffs.

  • In the last decade, those teams are 16-4 SU in the Divisional Round. Here are the 4 losses: 2019-20 Ravens (vs. TEN), 2017-18 Steelers (vs. JAC), 2016-17 Cowboys (vs. GB), 2012-13 Broncos (vs. BAL)
  • Teams with over a 75% win pct, when listed as favorites, are 15-30 ATS in the Divisional Round in the last 20 years

+ Eagles are 14-3 on a 6-point teaser this season (the 4th-best record in the NFL with Falcons, Jaguars and Chargers)

Best Record in 6-Pt Teaser This Season

  • Chargers 16-2
  • Falcons 15-2
  • Jaguars 15-3
  • Eagles, Bengals 14-3
  • 49ers, Giants 14-4

+ Jalen Hurts is 19-4 (82.6%) straight up in games in which his team is favored (11-11-1 ATS).

Best SU win pct as favorite (min 15 starts) since 1985: Jim McMahon (36-6, .857) and Steve Bono (24-4, .857)

Most Profitable QBs SU as Favorites Last 2 Seasons

  • Cousins 17-4, +$467
  • Hurts 19-3, +$367
  • Dalton 6-1, +$258
  • Burrow 18-6, +$241
    (Purdy 6-0, +$188)

+ Hurts needs two rushing TDs to break Cam Newton’s single-season record (including playoffs).

+ Jalen Hurts has performed much better at home vs. road ATS in his career.

  • Home: 11-5-1 ATS – He’s 9-3 ATS at home as an underdog or a favorite of 7 pts or less
  • Road: 6-12 ATS – He’s been under .500 ATS on the road each of his 3 seasons in the NFL.

» Return to the table of contents «


Bengals at Bills 
Channel: CBS | 3:00 p.m. ET (Sun.)
Line: BUF (-5.5) | O/U: 48.5
Joe Burrow, CIN
2022 Career Playoffs (Career)
12-5 ATS
13-4 SU
31-16 ATS
28-18-1 SU
4-1 ATS
4-1 SU
Josh Allen, BUF
2022 Career Playoffs (Career)
7-9-1 ATS
14-3 SU
44-34-5 ATS
56-27 SU
2-5 ATS
4-3 SU


+ Referee: Carl Cheffers

  • Cheffers has refed 11 playoff games since 2010, the under is 10-1, going under the total by 13.1 PPG. In that same span, all other referees are 62-68-2 to the under.
  • Cheffers refereed the Bills-Ravens playoff game in 2021. 17-3 final, total was 50.
  • Since 2019, Cheffers has leaned to the dog, with underdogs 41-24-2 ATS (63.1%). $100 bettor would be up $1,411 (second-best of 21 referees).
  • Cheffers has been a good luck charm for the Bills. Buffalo has won five straight games on the moneyline with Cheffers (covered four straight) and they are 9-2 SU since 2011.

+ Burrow career: 28-18-1 SU, 31-16 ATS (+$1,246). Most profitable QB ATS since 2020.

+ Burrow is 19-5 ATS in his last 23 starts.

+ Burrow is 9-7 ATS vs. AFC North and 22-9 ATS vs. non-divisional opponents

+ Burrow is 14-2 SU and 15-1 ATS in his last 16 games vs. non-divisional opponents

+ Bengals are 20-5 ATS in their last 25 games. They are the most profitable team ATS in the NFL over the last two seasons, including the playoffs (26-12 ATS).

Bengals failed to cover the spread by a half point in their last two games.

+ Joe Burrow prefers the road to home when it comes to covering the number.

  • Road/Neutral: 18-7 ATS
  • Home: 13-9 ATS

+ Bengals and Cowboys both have a 70%+ win percentage entering their Divisional Round game this week. Road teams with a 70%+ win pct are 21-11 ATS in the Divisional Round in the last 20 years and are 15-20-1 ATS in all other rounds of the playoffs.

+ Bengals have covered eight straight games as underdogs, longest active streak in the NFL.

+ Burrow as an underdog in his career:

  • 9-12-1 SU, 15-7 ATS. Burrow has covered seven straight games as an underdog.
  • Burrow is 19-3 (86%) in a 6-pt teaser as an underdog.
  • Since the start of last season, Burrow is 13-0 in a 6-pt teaser when listed as an underdog.
  • As an underdog of 3 or more pts, Burrow is 13-2 ATS in the NFL and was 5-1 ATS in college (18-3 ATS overall).
  • At LSU, Burrow was 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS as an underdog (5-1 in pt teaser).

+ Joe Mixon has scored five first quarter TDs for the Bengals this season, tied with Jamaal Williams for most in the NFL.

+ Total playoff wins in Bengals franchise history:

  • Joe Burrow: 4
  • Before Burrow: 5

Before Burrow, the Bengals were 5-14 SU in the playoffs, since Burrow they are 4-1 SU.

+ Bengals won and covered seven consecutive games before not covering by a half point vs. Ravens in the last two weeks. The third time the Bengals have won and covered at least six straight in a single season: 2022, 1988 (L SB), 1970 (L Div).

+ Burrow is 15-7 SU, 16-6 ATS vs. teams above .500 SU. In the last 20 years, he’s the 8th-most profitable QB ATS vs. teams above .500 SU of 252 QBs.

Brady, Rodgers, Brees, Ben, Russ, Peyton, Jimmy G, Burrow

  • Burrow is 14-2 SU in his last 16 games vs. above .500 SU opponents.
  • Burrow at LSU was 15-3 SU and 13-5 ATS vs. above .500 SU opponents.
  • NFL and college combined: 30-10 SU, 29-11 ATS vs. above .500 SU opponents.

+ In Joe Burrow’s career, he is 32-14-1 (70%) against the second half spread, including 13-4 this season and 28-8-1 (78%) over the last two seasons.

+ Bengals OL were 31st in adjusted sack rate last season via Football Outsiders (55 sacks; 3rd-most). This season, they are 15th, middle of the pack (allowed 44 sacks).

  • Bengals lost G Alex Cappa in Week 18 and lost Jonah Williams in the Wild Card round.
  • Cappa was in for 724 pass plays during the regular season blocking Burrow, 13th-most of any OL and his 20 pressures allowed was tied for 2nd-fewest among 700+ pass plays this year.
  • Williams was in for 748 pass plays (reg + playoffs) blocking Burrow, 13th-most of any OL. Williams allowed 13 sacks of Burrow this year, most of any OL in the NFL.
  • Burrow will play his first game without Jonah Williams since the end of the 2020 season.

Most Pass Plays Blocking Joe Burrow This Season

  • Cordell Volson 771
  • Ted Karras 770
  • Jonah Williams 748 – Injured
  • Alex Cappa 724 – Injured
  • La’el Collins 618 – Injured


+ Bills were scheduled to face the Bengals back in Cincinnati in Week 17.

  • Bills were 2.5-pt road favorites, with a total of 50.5
  • This week Buffalo is -4 at home, total a total of 50.5

+ Bills are 13-0 SU when safety Jordan Poyer plays this season, including 18-1 SU in their last 19 games (lost vs. KC in playoffs last year).

+ The Bills are 13-2 straight up all-time at home in the playoffs. The two QBs to defeat the Bills in Buffalo in the playoffs? Mark Brunell and Len Dawson.

+ Between Week 14 and Week 18, the Bills were favorites to win the Super Bowl ahead of the Chiefs. Since entering the playoffs, the Chiefs have been favorites to win it all.

+ Bills were favored in all 17 games this season (including their Wild Card and Divisional round game). They are the 8th team in the last 20 years to be favored in every regular season game. 4 of the previous 7 made the Super Bowl, but none of the last three since 2019. Bills are also just the 3rd team of the bunch to have to play in the Wild Card weekend in this spot: 2019 NE, 2021 TB, 2022 BUF.

  • 2022 Bills: 6-8-1 ATS
  • 2021 Chiefs: 8-9 ATS == Conf Championship (favored in all 20 games)
  • 2021 Bucs: 9-8 ATS == Divisional (WC) (favored in all 19 games)
  • 2019 Patriots: 8-7-1 ATS == Wild Card (WC) (favored in all 17 games)
  • 2018 Patriots: 9-7 ATS == W Super Bowl (underdog in 2nd playoff game)
  • 2018 Rams: 7-8-1 ATS == L Super Bowl (underdog in 2nd playoff game)
  • 2017 Patriots: 11-5 ATS == L Super Bowl (favored in every game)
  • 2007 Patriots: 10-6 ATS == L Super Bowl (favored in every game)

+ The temperature for the CIN-BUF game is projected to be around 32 degrees and freezing in Buffalo.

+ Both the Bills and Chiefs enter the Divisional Round with a negative turnover differential average this season. When those teams are favored in the Divisional Round, they are 31-20 SU, but 20-31 ATS over the last 20 years.

+ Bengals are allowing only 19.9 PPG during the regular season (5th in NFL) and allowed just 17 points in the Wild Card Round. Josh Allen has excelled vs. good defenses and struggled against bad defenses in terms of covering the spread.

  • Vs. teams allowing 24 PPG or more: 16-16-4 ATS
  • Vs. teams allowing less than 20 PPG: 15-4-1 ATS

Allen is the fourth-most profitable QB vs. teams allowing less than 20 PPG in the last 20 years: 1. Brady: 68-51-5 ATS, 2. Peyton: 48-34-6 ATS, Luck 17-4 ATS, Allen 15-4-1 ATS.

+ The Chiefs, Eagles and Bills currently have an 80%+ win pct entering their Divisional Round game this week. In the last 20 years, teams with 80%+ win pct in the playoffs are just 38-58 ATS (39.6%), including the Bills ATS loss vs. Dolphins last week.

Those teams are 18-27 ATS in the Divisional Round, including 19-30 ATS in the Divisional Round or earlier in the playoffs.

+ Josh Allen has really succeeded on normal rest in his career. Bills played the Wild Card round on Sunday, same with his Divisional Round matchup.

  • Allen is 29-15-3 ATS on seven days rest.
  • He’s 6-8-1 ATS on short rest and 6-10-1 ATS on extended rest.

+ One of the biggest issues with Josh Allen is his turnovers, he had three in the Wild Card Round vs. the Dolphins and overall this year, he has 16 total interceptions and 16 fumbles on the season.

  • His 16 fumbles is the third-most for a QB with at least 10 INT, including the playoffs, in a single season over the last 15 years: 2019 Daniel Jones, 2007 Jon Kitna.
  • Bengals have an INT in four of their last five games.

+ The biggest advantage in Buffalo? Might just be the Bills second half. Under Josh Allen, the Bills are 50-30-3 against the second half spread.

  • Allen is 10-5 2H ATS in December or later in his career.
  • Bills were -7.5 2H vs. Dolphins last week and lost 2H ATS (14-14 score).
  • Allen is 48-25-3 2H ATS in the regular season but just 2-5 2H ATS in the playoffs.

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Cowboys at 49ers 
Channel: FOX | 6:30 p.m. ET (Sun.)
Line: SF (-4) | O/U: 46.5
Dak Prescott, DAL
2022 Career Playoffs (Career)
7-6 ATS
9-4 SU
55-45-2 ATS
63-39 SU
1-4 ATS
2-3 SU
Brock Purdy, SF
2022 Career Playoffs (Career)
5-1 ATS
6-0 SU
5-1 ATS
6-0 SU
1-0 ATS
1-0 SU


+ Referee: Bill Vinovich

  • Underdogs are 11-5 ATS in Vinovich games this season, making him the most profitable ref for underdogs this year. Since 2018, dogs are 50-32-1 ATS (61%) in Vinovich games.
  • In the last decade, road teams are 83-64-3 ATS (56.5%) in Vinovich games.
  • Vinovich hasn’t been a good sign for the 49ers. They’ve lost 3 in a row SU with Vinovich and 4 of their last 5, including 2020 Super Bowl vs. Bucs.
  • In the last decade, Vinovich games are 89-62-1 (58.9%) to the under, making a $100 bettor $2,159, for a 14.2% ROI. The under is 62-37 (62.6%) in Vinovich games since 2017 – 21.1% ROI.

+ This will be the ninth playoff meeting between the Cowboys and 49ers

  • Cowboys are 5-3 SU/ATS; winner has covered all eight games.
  • Only second time meeting in Divisional Round: 1972, DAL beat SF, 30-28 behind 17-0 4th quarter from Roger Staubach and Dallas (trailed by 15).

+ Dak Prescott is 1-4 against the spread in his career in the playoffs.

  • Prescott has played one playoff game as an underdog. +7.5 at Rams in 2019. Lost 30-22.
  • Least profitable QB ATS since 2016: 1. Josh Allen 2-5 ATS, 2. Drew Brees 2-5 ATS, 3. Prescott 1-4 ATS

+ Prescott has thrown an interception in seven of his last eight games. He didn’t throw a pick in the Wild Card Round.

  • Prescott has an INT in three of his five playoff games. No INT on road in playoffs (65 pass att).
  • Prescott tied for the lead in INT this season. He is the first player in NFL history to lead (or share lead of) the NFL in interceptions despite missing 5+ games.
  • Anyone betting Prescott each game to throw an INT would be up 7.6 units.

+ Mike McCarthy is 12-7-1 ATS in the playoffs as a head coach over the last 20 years, making him the 3rd-most profitable coach ATS in the playoffs.

  1. Tom Coughlin: 9-2 ATS
  2. John Harbaugh: 13-7 ATS
  3. Mike McCarthy: 12-7-1 ATS

McCarthy is 9-3 ATS away from home in the playoffs (road/neutral) and 3-4-1 ATS at home.

+ Teams to win by double-digits in the Wild Card Round are 25-19 ATS (57%) in the Divisional Round over the last 20 years, including 24-14 ATS (63.2%) as underdogs.

49ers also beat the Seahawks by double-digits in the Wild Card Round.

+ Cowboys and Bengals both have a 70%+ win percentage entering their Divisional Round game this week. Road teams with a 70%+ win pct are 21-11 ATS in the Divisional Round in the last 20 years and are 15-20-1 ATS in all other rounds of the playoffs.

+ Cowboys opened +4.5 and have now moved down to +3.5. NFL playoff teams that become smaller underdogs (+4 to +3) have gone 44-18-2 (71%) ATS over the last 20 years, including 52-12 (81%) in 6-pt teasers.

+ Ezekiel Elliott has scored the Cowboys first team TD in eight games this season, most of any player for any team in the NFL

+ Cowboys kicker Brett Maher missed four XP in their Wild Card game. Maher is the only player in any NFL game since 1932 to miss four extra points in one game, regular season or playoffs.

+ Cowboys went over their preseason win total (10) this past season. Dallas went over last season, too. Dallas hasn’t gone over their win total in consecutive years since 1994-95, ending with their last Super Bowl win.

+ The 49ers ended their game vs. the Seahawks on Saturday late afternoon. The Cowboys finished their game against the Bucs late Monday night.

This will be the fourth playoff game in the last 20 years where both teams aren’t off a bye week, but one team has a “rest advantage”. The team with the rest disadvantage is 1-2 SU/ATS — one example is the Chargers/Jaguars game last week.

  • 2023: Jaguars (7) beat Chargers (6), 31-30 as 2.5-pt underdogs
  • 2022: Rams (6) beat Bucs (7), 30-27 as 3-pt underdogs
  • 2021: Bills (7) beat Ravens (6), 17-3 as 2.5-pt favorites

+ Cowboys travel west to face the 49ers in San Francisco this week.

EST or CST teams playing in PST in the playoffs are 6-16 SU and 8-13-1 ATS over the last 20 years — when the game is played in the Wild Card or Divisional Round, they are 5-13 SU and 6-11-1 ATS

+ Prior to Monday night, the Cowboys hadn’t won a road playoff game since January 17, 1993 (Aikman vs. Steve Young) — losing eight straight road playoff games since.

Last time Cowboys won a road playoff game, they won the Super Bowl.

+ Dak Prescott is 12-15 SU and 15-12 ATS as an underdog

As a 3-pt favorite or higher, Prescott is 9-9 SU (fourth-most profitable QB in NFL of 127 QBs)

+ Dak Prescott is 55-45-2 ATS (55%) in his career.

26-12-2 ATS (68.4%) vs. opponents below .500 SU

  • +$1,259 – 2nd to Brady since 2005

16-24 ATS (40%) vs. opponents above .500 SU

  • -$895 – 244th of 252 QBs since 2005

+ Cowboys games have gone under the total in three straight entering the Divisional Round, the longest active streak to the under for active playoff teams.

Over the last 20 years, when a team has gone under in 3+ straight games entering any playoff game, the over is 36-23-1 (61%), including 20-9-1 (69%) when that team streaking is on the road.

+ Cowboys face the 49ers in San Francisco this week. 49ers field is grass vs. the Cowboys usual turf. Cowboys are 2-4 SU/ATS this season on grass (TB, PHI, GB, JAC, TEN, WAS) and they could face the Eagles as well in the NFC Championship Game.



+ 49ers have won 11 consecutive games SU entering their Divisional Round game. In the last 20 years, 16 teams have played a playoff game on a 10+ game SU win streak. Those teams are 8-8 SU and 3-13 ATS, failing to cover the spread by 4.5 PPG.

  • When the game is played in the Divisional Round or later, those teams are 6-8 SU and 1-13 ATS, failing to cover the spread by 7.7 PPG.
  • The 49ers have won 11 games in a row and have positive DVOA in each one of those wins.

+ Christian McCaffrey has scored the 49ers first team TD in San Francisco’s last two games. 

+ 49ers enter this game with a 77.8% win pct. Teams with over a 75% win pct, when listed as favorites, are 15-30 ATS in the Divisional Round in the last 20 years

+ Brock Purdy has won his first six starts straight up with the 49ers, a San Francisco record.

  • No rookie starting quarterback has ever made the Super Bowl, let alone won it.
  • Purdy is the second rookie quarterback since the NFL-AFL merger in 1970 to win each of his first six career starts.

Rookie QB to win first six career starts

  • 2022 Brock Purdy (6)
  • 2004 Ben Roethlisberger (13)

Rookie QBs are 21-11 SU, 23-9 ATS entering the Divisional Round — Pickett, Ridder, Willis, Zappe, Howell, Skyler, Purdy, A. Brown

Since 1990, rookie QBs are 11-18 SU in the playoffs, including 4-11 SU over the last decade.

+ 49ers and Cowboys have the two best rush offenses left in the playoffs behind the Giants/Eagles and were both top-10 in the regular season (rush yards/game).

In the last 20 years, when two teams averaging at least 130 rush yds/game face off in the playoffs – which has only happened four times — the under is 4-0, going under the total by 18.6 PPG.

+ The 49ers offense played close to a perfect game against the Seahawks, scoring 40+ pts with 500+ total yards.

In the last 20 years, the 49ers are just the fifth team to score 40+ pts with 500+ total yards entering a playoff game – the previous four are 0-4 SU and ATS in their next game, failing to cover the spread by 13.9 PPG.

+ Purdy in October or later at Iowa State and with 49ers: 25-12 SU at Iowa St and 6-0 SU with the 49ers (31-12 SU).

+ Prior to this year, the 49ers have won playoff games without their QBs recently. They were 8-4 SU in the last decade in the playoffs with 11 pass TD and 11 interceptions. 6 of the 12 games they threw for under 200 yards. 7 of the 12 games they had under 60% completion pct.

Purdy in the Wild Card round had 3 TD, 300+ yards and no INT, the youngest player in NFL postseason history to throw for 300 yards and 3 TDs in a game.

+ 49ers record when Deebo Samuel is involved in the action and when he isn’t.

49ers Record When Deebo Gets at Least One Target:

  • With: 34-16 SU
  • Without: 8-8 SU

+ In the second half of the season, both Kittle and CMC have been TD machines:

Most Total TD Since Week 10

  • Austin Ekeler  – 10
  • George Kittle – 9
  • Christian McCaffrey – 9
  • Jerick McKinnon – 9

+ 49ers are now 10-8 to the over this season, second-best over pct for remaining playoff teams. First time with 10+ overs in a season since 2016.

The 49ers last four games have gone over the total (six of their last seven). 49ers haven’t gone over the total in four straight since 2019. Last time with five straight overs was in 2018.

+ Cowboys defense allows 19.8 PPG this season, which ranks fifth in the NFL.

Kyle Shanahan is 16-27-1 ATS vs. teams that allow 24 PPG or more and 39-16 ATS vs. teams who allow under 24 PPG for the season.

+ Shanahan likes to stay west. With the 49ers, he is 25-11 SU, 23-12-1 ATS when San Francisco plays in the Pacific Time Zone after playing in the PST in their previous game as well.

+ The 49ers defense have outscored their opponents 182-60 in second halves of their last 11 games.

+ Purdy starts his career 6-0 SU with multiple pass TD in his first six starts. Only one other QB has done that even four times since 1950: Kurt Warner (four straight).

+ The 49ers are 42-19 straight up and 35-25-1 against the spread with Jimmy Garoppolo as QB. With all other QB in that span? They are 15-29 SU and 21-23 ATS.

+ 49ers are 11-30 SU when trailing at the half under Kyle Shanahan.

SF has won 4 straight games when trailing at the half: Seahawks, Rams, Chargers, Raiders.

+ 49ers since getting Christian McCaffrey full time in Week 8: 11-0 SU, 9-2 ATS.


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Market Movers 


For more information on betting percentages, line moves and ticket counts, access our Action Network odds dashboard.

Biggest NFL Divisional Public Side
(The most popular spread bet for Divisional Weekend)

(+5.5)
68% of bets at Bills

Most Bet Game by Ticket Count on Divisional Weekend
(The most popular bet game for Divisional Weekend)

(-9.5)
290,000 betting tickets

Biggest Line or Total Move on Divisional Weekend
Spread & Total Movers (lines compared to lookahead lines)

(50.5 to 53)
2.5-pt move — Bengals/Bills O/U

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The Sharp Report


PRO Report

Sharp bet
Jaguars +9.5 | Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET
Bet %
JAC: 51% of Bets
Handle %
JAC: 72% of Handle

If you want to make betting decisions for yourself but don’t have the time to collect all the data, check out our NFL PRO Report. This analysis highlights five key betting signals: big money, sharp action, expert projections, expert picks and historical betting systems.


Divisional Totals Bet Labs System: Divisional picks -> PRO Access

PRO Projections

Cowboys at 49ers Projections

Moneyline Edge
DAL +165 DAL +130 +5.7% (B Grade)

Our model’s odds are compared to the consensus odds. We recommend at least a B Grade 3.5% edge before considering a bet based solely on projections.


Player: Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
Prop: Over 15.5 Rushing Yards

Prop projections and grades for every NFL player in the Action App.

How to use the Action Network’s PRO Report to make your betting decisions easier.


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The Big Picture

Playoff QBs: Here are how each of the potential QBs in the 2022-23 playoffs have fared in the postseason in their careers…

Super Bowl Movers: Entering the playoffs, here are the biggest movers in the Super Bowl futures at BetMGM…

SB: 8-1 (7-1 last week — only team to have odds get worse from last week)


SB: 25-1 (NYG were 150-1 entering Week 15)


Super Bowl Futures: Let’s look into Super Bowl futures at BetMGM and how they have moved since the beginning of the season.


Divisional Trends
1.
Look To The Under
In playoff games between No. 1 and No. 6 seeds, the under is 17-5 (77.3%) over the last 20 years, going under the total by 6.1 PPG.
2.
It Pays To Fade No. 1
It has been profitable to fade No. 1 seeds in the Divisional Round. 1 seeds are 13-25-1 ATS (34.2%) over the last 20 years. When those teams are favored by less than 10 pts, they are 8-22-1 ATS (26.7%)
3.
Tough To Repeat
Teams to win as an underdog in the Wild Card round are 6-23 SU and 13-16 ATS in the Divisional Round over the last 20 years. Since 2011, those teams are 1-15 SU and 7-9 ATS.
4.
New Script
The Jaguars failed to make the playoffs last year. Chiefs did. Teams who failed to make the playoffs the previous season, facing a team who did, are 25-15 ATS in the Divisional Round over the last 20 years (same teams are 14-29-1 ATS in the Wild Card round.
5.
What Day Is it?
Divisional Round by day of week
Saturday: home teams are 21-5 SU, 18-8 ATS since 2010
Sunday: road teams are 10-16 SU (+27% ROI), 17-8-1 ATS since 2010

For more content on NFL betting stats and notes check out our recap page on Action Network.


Coaching Experience

Here are how each of the 14 coaches in the 2022-23 playoffs have fared in the postseason in their careers…


The NFC Beast

Giants, Cowboys and Eagles in Divisional Round

+ NFC East becomes first division since 1997 to have three teams make Divisional Round

+ First time since NFL realignment in 2002 that three teams from the same division made the divisional round.

+ Not since 1997 in the old NFC Central had three teams from the same division made it this far into the playoffs. That season the Green Bay Packers, Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Bay Buccaneers all made the Divisional Round (the NFC Central had four teams in the postseason, with the Bucs beating the Lions in the Wild Card Round).

+ This season, the NFC East is currently 29-16-1 ATS vs. non-divisional opponents, the best division ATS this season and the best year for the NFC East in the last 20 years.


To Bye Or Not To Bye?

How valuable is the bye week in the NFL playoffs?

+ In the regular season, teams coming off of a bye have gone 324-300-17 (51.9%) ATS for a 1.1% ROI, covering by an average margin of 0.26 points.

+ However, in the divisional round, teams that benefited from the bye have gone just 31-40-1 (43.7%) ATS for a subpar -15.3% ROI. Those 72 teams have failed to cover by an average margin on -1.27 points.

+ The numbers get even worse for favorites, which have gone just 28-40-1 (41.2%) for a -19.9% ROI, failing to cover by 1.79 points per game.

+ Home teams in Divisional Round since 2011: 32-12 SU, 21-22-1 ATS


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Action Audio 

  • The Favorites Podcast: The Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals escaped with Wild Card victories last weekend, and they join the surging Cowboys, plucky Jaguars and more in the the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. Often the most exciting weekend of NFL betting action of the season, this slate promises to be a thrilling series of matchups from start to finish. Here to break it all down are Chad Millman and Simon Hunter of Action Network. Together they make a few of their favorite early picks on sides and totals, and dive into the launch of Action’s new New York City studio

  • Action Network Podcast: An exhilarating slate of NFL playoff action is in store this weekend, so hosts Chris Raybon and Stuckey of Action Network return to preview every game. Together they lay out their Sunday Six Pack of picks across sides, totals and prop bets. Plus, we hear a moneyline underdog parlay, some interesting referee trends, and why the Chiefs may be better off on the road if they make the AFC Championship game.

For more Action Network podcasts, check out our page with a portfolio of 10 different options across eight different sports.


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What’s Next?


Conference Championship Notes: COMING SOON!


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