2020 NFL Draft Odds & Prop Picks: All the Best Betting Values
Michael Hickey/Getty Images. Pictured: Tua Tagovailoa
The Action Network’s resident prop betting expert and NFL draft enthusiast, Matthew Freedman, went 54-29 (+17.7 units) on draft props last year. Now he’s breaking down all his picks ahead of the 2020 NFL Draft.
You’ll find a quick guide to all his picks and links to in-depth analysis below.
2020 NFL Draft Odds & Prop Picks
Odds via various legal sportsbooks and current at the time of writing of each pick. Find offers and reviews for the best online books here.
Props for the Top 10 Picks: Freedman has updated his mock draft and has corresponding props for the first 10 picks, including Tua Tagovailoa’s destination, the Giants addressing their offensive line and Isaiah Simmons to the Panthers.
Second QB Drafted: Tua Tagovailoa (-400 at DraftKings). These odds give Tua an 80% implied probability of being the second QB off the board, but Freedman would put the true odds closer to 90%. Read more.
Second Offensive Player Drafted: Mekhi Becton (+750 at PointsBet) and/or Tristan Wirfs (+850 at PointsBet). They’re by far the likeliest players to be drafted as the No. 1 offensive lineman, which means even though Tua is the betting favorite, either could be the second offensive player selected. Read more.
First Running Back Drafted: Jonathan Taylor (+155 at FanDuel). Taylor looks like a real challenger to D’Andre Swift — they’re basically a coin flip, which means there’s significant value on Taylor at plus-money. Read more.
First Tight End Drafted: Albert Okwuegbunam (+1400 at BetMGM). These odds give him a 6.7% implied odds of being the first TE off the board, but Freedman thinks the true probability is almost double. Read more.
First Offensive Lineman Drafted: Tristan Wirfs (+200 at BetMGM), Mekhi Becton (+200 at BetMGM) and Jedrick Wills (+260 at FanDuel). If you risk one unit on each player, you would break even if Wirfs or Becton are the first, or profit +0.6 units if it’s Wills. Read more.
The Giants’ First Pick: OT Mekhi Becton (+300 at FanDuel), LB Isaiah Simmons (+400 at BetMGM), OT Jedrick Wills (+400 at BetMGM) and/or OT Tristan Wirfs (+400 at BetMGM). If you were to bet one unit on each player, you would profit one unit if Wirfs, Wills or Simmons are the pick, or break even if it’s Becton. Read more.
Offense vs. Defense Picks 1-5: Which side of the ball will the first five picks represent? Freedman makes his picks.
Offense vs. Defense Picks 6-10: Which side of the ball will picks 6-10 represent? Freedman makes his picks.