NFL Expert Picks: Seahawks-Panthers, Patriots-Jets, More Week 12 Bets


Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Panthers quarterback Cam Newton and Seahawks linebacker K.J. Wright

Nov 25, 2018, 08:00 AM EST
  • The Action Network experts break down their favorite Week 12 NFL bets, including Seahawks at Panthers (-3) and Patriots at Jets (+10.5).
  • Plus against-the-spread and over/under picks for Dolphins at Colts (-7.5), Patriots at Jets (+10.5), Jaguars at Bills (+3) and more.

Our staff has angles on a number of the most highly-anticipated Week 12 matchups, including a game with huge NFC playoff implications when the Seahawks visit the Panthers (-3.5).

We also have two on the same side of the Jaguars-Bills game in Orchard Park. For even more in-depth analysis, check out our betting guides for every single game.

Let’s get into our 10 favorite bets for Week 12, which can hopefully help you find a winner or two you otherwise wouldn’t have. Our staff picks now sit at 87-91-12 (48.9%) for the season.

>> All odds pulled overnight on Friday, so line variations are possible. Download The Action Network app to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets.

Evan Abrams: Panthers -2.5 (First Half)

1 pm ET on FOX

The Panthers dropped two straight games, and return home to face the Seahawks, who are coming off of a win against the Packers and well-rested due to playing on Thursday night last week.

Let’s start with Carolina. Losing to the Steelers in primetime was excusable, but the loss to Lions, who were down multiple weapons, was not.

I think Carolina will bounce back nicely in this spot at home facing a Seattle team on extra rest, which oddly enough has not been a great thing for Wilson. He is 9-15-1 against the spread (37.5%) in his career with extended rest, including 2-10-1 ATS (16.7%) in his past 13 games.

Newton is 40-22-1 (64.5%) against the first half spread at home, including 15-7-1 (68.2%) when he is coming off a loss in his last game. Since 2015, Cam is 6-0-1 against the first half spread at home off a loss, covering the spread by 9.7 PPG.

And from a pure matchup perspective, Like Carolina’s advantage in the run game. Seattle ranks 19th against the rush and the Panthers’ offensive line run-blocking (ninth) should have a large advantage over the Seahawks’ D-line (23rd).