We have you covered with a total of seven NFL player prop picks for Sunday of Week 7.
Our staff has locked in prop bets for almost all of Sunday's big games, starting with Vikings vs. Eagles, Patriots vs. Titans, among others, at 1:00 p.m. ET. Then, we have a trio of picks for later in the day for Colts vs. Chargers and Commanders vs. Cowboys. We also have bets for Browns vs. Dolphins, Panthers vs Jets, and more.
Let's dig into our NFL player props and best bets for Week 7 of the NFL season on October 19.
NFL Player Props Week 7
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 1:00 p.m. | |
| 1:00 p.m. | |
| 1:00 p.m. | |
| 1:00 p.m. | |
| 4:25 p.m. | |
| 4:05 p.m. | |
| 4:25 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Dolphins vs. Browns
Quinshon Judkins Over 93.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Judkins scuffled in a tough matchup last week. Pittsburgh bottled him up for just 36 yards on 12 carries.
It was easily the worst game of his brief career. This is the ideal bounce-back spot for him.
Miami has the worst run defense in the league. The Dolphins have allowed over 1,000 yards on the ground through six games.
Buffalo is the only other team above 900 rushing yards allowed.
While the Browns have allowed 3.1 yards per carry, the Dolphins have given up 3.0 yards per carry AFTER contact.
Rico Dowdle hung 206 rushing yards on Miami in Week 5. Kimani Vidal went for 124 yards last week. Judkins is far more talented than those backs.
Cleveland is also a slight favorite at home this week. The game script should be in Judkins' favor.
Last week's pass-heavy approach was almost certainly an outlier based on the scoreboard.
Pick: Quinshon Judkins Over 93.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Eagles vs. Vikings
Jordan Addison Anytime TD Scorer (+260)
This is probably my favorite anytime touchdown bet on the board this weekend.
Addison has looked great in the two games he's played this season, with 114 yards in the first game, and he scored a TD in the second game.
He's been a massive TD threat in his career, with 21 TDs in just 34 games played.
The matchup is mediocre, but these odds more than make up for it.
I have the true odds under +200, making this a great bet.
Pick: Jordan Addison Anytime TD Scorer (+260)
Panthers vs. Jets
Bryce Young Under 205.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Carolina started the season throwing at a substantial level. They ranked third in pass rate through two games.
Young was tied for the league lead at 90 attempts. Carolina's passing numbers were somewhat skewed by a Week 2 game against Arizona, when they stormed back from a big deficit and nearly pulled off a crazy comeback. Young chucked it 55 times in that game.
But, even in normal situations, Carolina was still leaning into the aerial attack. They were fourth in neutral pass rate through Week 2.
The offensive approach changed starting in Week 3. Carolina ranks 29th in pass rate and 28th in neutral pass rate over the past four games. They have the 2nd-lowest pass rate over expectation.
Young has averaged 27.3 attempts over this stretch, and he hasn't topped 30 passes in any game.
The crucial factor here is that the change has actually worked. Carolina is 3-1 since emphasizing the run game.
The Panthers' run-blocking scheme has made Rico Dowdle look like the best running back in the league over the past two weeks.
Carolina is actually favored this week against the Jets.
The Jets' defense is top-10 in passing yards allowed per game and bottom-10 in rushing yards allowed per game.
Carolina should be able to focus on the ground game once again this week.
Pick: Bryce Young Under 205.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Patriots vs. Titans
Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer (+105)
This is a revenge game for Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel, who was fired by the Titans despite making the most out of the poor rosters that management gave him year after year.
I fully expect the Patriots to run up the score in this one.
Stevenson has only scored in one game this season, but he has tallied 56% of the team's carries inside the 5-yard line.
He should have some positive touchdown regression coming, especially if he can fix his ball-security issues.
It's a great matchup on paper, as the Titans are 24th in EPA against the run, and have allowed a league-high nine rushing touchdowns.
Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer (+105)
Commanders vs. Cowboys
Dak Prescott Over 266.5 Passing Yards (-115)
By Chris Prince
This is a great spot for some offensive fireworks, as this game features a massive 54.5-point total with no weather concerns to worry about indoors at AT&T Stadium.
I don't generally put a ton of weight into home/road splits, but I'll make an exception here, as Dak has been much more productive in his home stadium.
Dak has gone over this number in 10 of his last 11 home games (dating back to 2023), and in his two home games this season, he has thrown for 361 and 319 yards.
Washington has struggled against the pass this season, allowing the 9th-most passing yards per game.
I'll be laddering this play as well, as I believe we'll see Dak go over 300 passing yards in this spot (with upside for even more).
Pick: Dak Prescott Over 266.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Colts vs. Chargers
Daniel Jones Over 14.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
By Kyle Murray
Jones' rushing production has been about as hit-or-miss as it gets.
He has postred three games with 20+ rushing yards this season, and three games with two or fewer rushing yards.
However, this sets up as a good spot for Jones' rushing, as the Colts are road underdogs against the Chargers this week.
So, we could see Jones in more passing situations, which would lead to more potential scrambles.
Additionally, this Chargers defense has been beaten by mobile QBs several times this season, as they have allowed the second-most rushing yards to opposing QBs.
Pick: Daniel Jones Over 14.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Commanders vs. Cowboys
George Pickens Anytime TD Scorer (+150)
I know that CeeDee Lamb is coming back into the offense, but these odds are far too high.
The total in this game is massive (54.5), and with a tight spread, this has every indication of a barn burner.
Pickens is near the top of the league in red-zone targets (10), which was kind of expected for a Cowboys' team that has struggled in the red zone in the past.
Even with Lamb in the lineup, Pickens has secured himself as a huge part of this offense, and should continue to get heavy usage and serve as the main target in the red zone.
I have the true odds here around +110, making this another great bet.
