NFL Power Rankings for Week 10: Finally, Some Stability at the Top
Sunday was D-Day in the NFL, with eight of the top 11 teams in the Power Rankings facing off.
And at the end of the day, all four favorites prevailed and the NFL Power Rankings Week 10 finally showed some stability at the top. The Eagles even defeated The Curse of the Power Rankings, becoming the first No. 1 team to win the following game in six weeks — though not without some late drama against the Cowboys.
Sunday night's winner was one of the most important risers, with the Cincinnati Bengals rising to a season-best No. 4 in the ranks. The biggest actual riser was the Las Vegas Raiders, leaping 10 spots after firing Josh McDaniels and winning their first game under Antonio Pierce.
So who else is rising, who is falling, and will anyone in the NFC outside of those top few teams actually make a run at the postseason? Here are your Week 10 NFL Power Rankings.
(To skip directly to a specific team, click on the team's name in the table below!)
NFL Week 10 Power Rankings
TIER I — THE KINGS STAY KINGS
1. Philadelphia Eagles (Last week ranking: 1)
The Eagles got the win Sunday, but holy cow did The Curse of the Power Rankings rear its ugly head late.
With Philadelphia protecting a five-point lead in the final minutes, D'Andre Swift ran into his own teammate and fumbled deep in Eagles territory, but Philly recovered and punted on the next play. The Eagles then picked up 56 yards of penalty on three of the next four plays and saw both starting corners leave injured with Dallas driving.
But in the end, the Cowboys were still the Cowboys and came up short like always. Meanwhile the Eagles just did what they do, winning games with Jalen Hurts, who is now 22-2 over the past two regular seasons.
Up next? A badly needed bye week with Hurts ailing and a daunting stretch against the Chiefs, Bills, 49ers, and Cowboys again after the week off.
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2. Baltimore Ravens (2)
The Ravens were absolutely dominant a second time in three weeks and now have two of the NFL's most convincing wins of the season, first against the Lions and now the Seahawks by a combined score of 75-9.
What's the right word for what Baltimore is doing to these teams? The Ravens throttled, demolished, destroyed, eviscerated, utterly erased the Seahawks. They ran for 298 yards on 7.3 yards per carry and outgained Seattle 515 to 151 yards, holding one of the league's most creative offenses to just six first downs and 1-of-12 on third down. By EPA, Baltimore gained almost a full expected point every time each team ran the ball, for an entire game. Total domination.
As we've said for weeks now, there's still value on Ravens futures, thanks to a tight division that would all qualify for the playoffs if they started today. But Baltimore remains a tier above in quality. FTN has the Ravens projected at 12.6 wins and 76% to win the division, still providing value on the over 11.5 and -130 division odds (DraftKings) as well as postseason futures.
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3. Kansas City Chiefs (3)
So which number stuck out to you more on Sunday, the 21 points the Chiefs scored or the 14 they held the Dolphins to? The national conversation seems stuck on concerns about the offense and the 21 — really just 14 since the defensive touchdown was the winning score — but I'm more impressed with Miami's 14.
This Chiefs defense is the real deal, and Trent McDuffie is playing as well as any corner in the league right now. He created that defensive score, and he and this defense held Miami to under 300 yards, just three third-down conversions, and only one explosive play. The Chiefs offense basically matched those numbers, but I trust Mahomes to find enough answers by January.
Kansas City is in great position for the AFC 1-seed now, with tiebreaker wins over division leaders Miami and Jacksonville. The Chiefs play the Eagles out of the bye, then have mostly easy games left other than the Bills and Bengals. Looks like another 13-4 season and time to buy some futures stock if you haven't already.
TIER II — THE YEAR OF THE CAT
4. Cincinnati Bengals (7)
The Bengals entered the season among the Super Bowl favorites and finally looked the part Sunday night. Joe Burrow and the passing game dominated with two long TD drives to start the game and two key first downs late to kill it off. The Bengals had a clear plan, attacking the soft middle of the field with their tight ends and running, even inefficiently, to keep Josh Allen and Buffalo's offense sidelined.
Should we be concerned about the defense? The Bills effectively matched the Bengals in yards per play, third-down, and red-zone conversions, but the Bengals got 12 more plays because Lou Anarumo's opportunistic defense forced two key turnovers. Still, the defense remains a concern, and the run game isn't doing much. For all the talk about the team being "back," is it just that Burrow is finally healthy?
The Bengals appear out of the woods at 5-3 and certainly look the part, but they still face the NFL's toughest remaining schedule (even after Buffalo) and will lose a lot of tiebreakers at 1-3 in the AFC and 0-2 in the division. They face the Texans, Ravens, Steelers, and Jaguars the next four games and close the season against the Steelers, Chiefs, and Browns. The margin is still pretty thin, and it's all on Burrow.
It's tough to bet against the Bengals with how good they look right now, but fading Cincinnati looks like the best futures play on the board. FTN projects the Bengals at 10.2 wins with a 59% chance of the playoffs. That might be surprising, but Cincy is still last in its own division! Caesars has Cincinnati +240 to miss the playoffs, an implied 29% versus 41% for FTN. It's time to swallow hard and make that bet.
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5. Detroit Lions (4)
While most of the other contenders around the league face a brutal schedule the back half of the season, the Lions go the other way. A soft division leaves Detroit coasting toward the finish line with just two likely playoff opponents remaining, one of them the Saints.
That's great news for a team that should finally get healthy coming out of the bye, and anything short of the NFC 2-seed would be a disappointment at this point.
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6. Jacksonville Jaguars (5)
No rest for the weary with the Jaguars emerging from their week away to face the rested and now healthy 49ers, quite the reward after the brutal month-long schedule Jacksonville just faced.
There's been a lot of deserved talk about elite Cleveland and Baltimore defenses this season, but Jacksonville's defense ranks just as well by many numbers and comes as a complete shock, and that includes games against the Chiefs and Bills. San Francisco will be the toughest test yet.
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TIER III — THE FALLEN GIANTS
7. San Francisco 49ers (10)
San Francisco has lost three in a row and scored 17 in each since that dominant win over the Cowboys that feels so long ago now, but that just means the bye week came at the perfect time. Did the 49ers get worse, or did they just get banged up? Injuries to Deebo Samuel, Christian McCaffrey, and especially Trent Williams answer for the offensive woes, but the defense is another question.
Don't forget, the 49ers add a new name on that front. Could Chase Young be this team's Von Miller in a push toward the Super Bowl? Young has been healthy and electric, and adding him opposite Nick Bosa with Javon Hargrave inside will be an absolute nightmare for opposing offenses.
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8. Dallas Cowboys (6)
You truly could not have scripted a more perfect Cowboys ending, like watching every other big Dallas game or playoff appearance for the last decade or two. The Cowboys were the better team in many ways, outgained the Eagles by 114 yards, converted three aggressive fourth downs, had every chance late, and couldn't finish the job — coming up short again, just like always.
All is not lost for Dallas as it's still comfortably sailing toward the playoffs, but the path is much harder now. Either the Cowboys need to mostly win out, including beating the Eagles in the rematch, or the playoffs will take place on the road from the 5- or 6-seed.
The Cowboys have the highest variance of any team in the league. When they're on, they demolish teams, but it's those other moments in between that remain problematic.
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9. Miami Dolphins (8)
The easy narrative after Miami's loss to a third great team is that the Dolphins are front runners that can't hold up against the league's best competition. But I actually came away feeling better about Miami.
The Dolphins basically played the Chiefs to a draw, losing because of a fluky defensive touchdown. Miami's offense found some answers in the run game after halftime, and the defense had one of its best games of the season, mostly stifling Mahomes after the first drive. Miami drove into scoring territory twice in the fourth quarter but couldn't finish the job. It happens. This was a good Dolphins game.
Still counts in the loss column though — a damaging loss on a day the team could've opened up a real lead in the division with everyone else losing and a tiebreaker loss to the Chiefs. Miami's offense rates below league average the past three weeks, but the defense has quietly made up ground in a hurry.
The Dolphins are still a very dangerous team if they can get both sides humming at once, but the schedule stays tough going forward after those easy wins early. Miami still has as much upside as any team.
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10. Buffalo Bills (11)
I'm not sure the Bills should still land in the top 10, but I'm not sure they really looked that bad in a pretty even-handed loss to Cincinnati that mostly came down to turnovers. It just feels like Buffalo is searching for an identity right now.
The offense barely even pretended to run the ball outside of Josh Allen, but that strategy may have kept the team in the game. Rookie TE Dalton Kincaid had another huge game despite a fumble in a key moment late in scoring position, but featuring him in 11 personnel has accidentally unlocked the Bills offense. Buffalo's defense shut down Cincinnati's run game but was helpless against the pass.
Believe it or not, the Bills defense ranks dead last by DVOA since Week 5 — that's five weeks of games! This team is clearly missing those injured players, but it's also missing an identity, a confidence about what it's trying to do week to week. And with remaining games against the Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys, and Dolphins, with three of those four on the road, it's starting to get very worrisome.
If the playoffs started today, the Bills would be home watching. Will they be in January too?
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TIER IV — THE FUN, PLUCKY CINDERELLAS
11. Minnesota Vikings (12)
On a Sunday without so many marquee matchups, Joshua Dobbs would have been the story. He might have been anyway.
Dobbs was traded to Minnesota on Tuesday. He got zero first-team reps this week with an offense preparing to start rookie QB Jaren Hall, who would go out hurt on the first drive. He hadn't even learned teammates' names yet, let alone playbooks, to the point that Minnesota coaches were literally explaining plays to Dobbs as he lined up to snap the ball.
Good thing he's an actual rocket scientist.
Dobbs processed it all in real time and met his teammates along the way, leading his first ever game-winning drive as a pro and scoring three touchdowns, plus a handful of huge game-saving scrambles. This is a dude who got benched by the one-win Cardinals less than a week before, playing for his fifth team in two seasons!
Dobbs was not perfect by any stretch, but he and Minnesota's coaching staff were good enough, along with another excellent defensive performance. By the way, Dobbs did all that with Minnesota's stud WR and LT sidelined. Absolutely remarkable.
The Vikings are now on a four-game win streak at 5-4 with the Saints, Broncos, Bears, and Raiders up next. This team could easily get to 7-6 or even 8-5, especially with Justin Jefferson and Christian Darrisaw back soon. Minnesota is now about a 50/50 proposition to make the playoffs in the wide-open NFC. The Vikings are +140 to make the postseason if you believe — and if you don't, you better dig deep and dial up a sleeper.
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12. Seattle Seahawks (9)
There's little sugarcoating Seattle's loss to Baltimore. It was ugly. I'm not sure it was even as close as 37-3 made it look. The offense was bad, while the defense was even worse and got a rude awakening after a pretty easy opening stretch of opponents.
The good news for Seattle is that it only counts as one L, and every team gets a bad day. The bad news is that the way the Seahawks just lost is the exact formula the 49ers can use to beat them in the division and the one San Francisco and Philadelphia can use to knock them out of the playoffs.
Sunday was more about Baltimore than Seattle, but the Seahawks might be capped as a wild-card team if they can't find some answers against the league's best.
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13. Cleveland Browns (13)
The Browns defense was absolutely ridiculous yet again, shutting out Arizona 27-0 to cash our +1300 shutout ticket. Cleveland allowed Arizona to gain 56 yards on 48 plays. The Cardinals converted 1-of-12 third down, turned it over three times, got sacked seven times, and finished at 1.2 yards per play. They ran three plays all game in Cleveland territory, for -2 yards. Complete and total domination.
Good thing, too, because the Browns offense was pretty uninspiring. Considering how easy the defense made the game, it's pretty disappointing to run for 2.8 YPC and finish with 326 yards and yet another blah Deshaun Watson performance against a defense this bad.
Cleveland also lost LT Jedrick Wills. The Browns are already missing RT Jack Conklin and star RB Nick Chubb. This team is supposed to be built around its run game, and its three QBs rank second-, third- and, fourth-worst by EPA + CPOE for the season.
It's super cute that this elite defense can beat up on Clayton Tune, but if Cleveland's offense plays every game like it's facing its own defense, does it really even matter?
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14. Houston Texans (17)
C.J. Stroud likely wrapped up Rookie of the Year with an all-time great rookie game, leading four second-half TDs, including a 75-yard TD drive in 40 seconds with his back against the wall and under a minute left. He finished with a ridiculous 470 yards and five scores while helping Houston rack up three 100-yard receivers, none of whom were even Nico Collins.
Stroud is absolute magic, and he might be a top-10 QB the rest of the season, already. Houston has zero run game — and zero is being kind, with every run play 0.79 EPA per play worse than a pass on Sunday — and the pass defense hasn't been good enough. It's all on Stroud, but he's been so good that it doesn't matter.
Houston is a pair of late two-point losses away from a six-game winning streak, and we didn't even mention the team losing its kicker in this game and subsequently bleeding field position and extra points all game before RB Dare Ogunbowale kicked a go-ahead fourth-quarter field goal. Houston is quickly becoming the feel-good story of the 2023 NFL season.
I just can't quit Texans Island, and they won't quit us either. This team can beat anyone, and they might start in Cincinnati next week.
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TIER V — HONESTLY, WHAT IN THE WORLD ARE YOU?!
15. Los Angeles Chargers (15)
Careful that you don't get too overconfident in the Chargers after comfortable wins against Tyson Bagent and Zach Wilson. If it's possible to downgrade a team after a 27-6 win, that's what Monday night did.
L.A. managed just 3.4 yards per play, lower than the Jets, finishing with just 191 yards. Justin Herbert completed barely half his passes and ate five sacks, and the Chargers only won by as much as they did because they had a punt return TD and what was effectively a defensive TD late. Three Chargers had multiple sacks and defense counts too, but this was a Jets loss more than a Chargers win.
The Chargers are 4-4, the AFC 10-seed, with the Lions, Ravens, Bills, and Chiefs still on the schedule — and you know this team can lose to any opponent at any time. LA is -115 to miss the playoffs at Caesar's, 53% implied. FTN gives the Chargers a 2-in-3 chance (66%) of missing the postseason. It'll be a sweat before the inevitable 9-8 finish, but that's an easy ticket to hedge out of later if needed.
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16. Pittsburgh Steelers (19)
The Steelers just keep miraculously finding ways to stay above .500, so maybe it's only right that they sit one spot above the middle of the Power Rankings too. Pittsburgh actually put together scoring drives of 10, 10, 15, and 11 plays against a solid Titans defense, and the underlying numbers say this team is pretty good. The Steelers rank 13th in DVOA, including league average on offense.
So why doesn't it feel that way? Perhaps the schedule is to blame. Pittsburgh has played the league's toughest schedule so far. Games against the 49ers and Ravens were always going to be tough, but the Browns, Texans, and Jaguars look much better with hindsight. Unfortunately for Pittsburgh, the tough division means the Steelers still get the Browns, Ravens, and Bengals (twice!) on the back end.
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17. New Orleans Saints (16)
Another pretty uninspiring win for the Saints after allowing the Bears to have more yards, more first downs, and more yards per play.
Taysom Hill remains the only real efficient offense for New Orleans. So doofus Dennis Allen decides on fourth-and-1 on the 17 with eight minutes to play up 17 against Tyson Bagent to eschew a field goal and a two-score lead AND to run a QB sneak, but with Derek Carr — not his one-man-Tush Push weapon. The sneak predictably failed but Chicago just turned it over again and the Saints survived with a 5-0 turnover margin.
And yet! The Saints remain a good futures investment, because the NFC South.
Last week in this space, I asked you to invest in the Saints at +145 to win the division. Since then, they won and the entire rest of the division lost. Now New Orleans is -145 instead (DraftKings), one week later. The good news is there's still value! The Saints are 72% to win the division at FTN versus that implied 59%.
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18. New York Jets (14)
The Jets defense more than did its job against the Chargers, holding them to 191 yards and a meager 3.4 yards per play, but Zach Wilson simply is not an NFL quarterback. He does not have that ticking clock in his head that tells him when to get rid of the ball and thus took a ridiculous eight sacks against a pass rush that had not been good most of the season.
Sacks are a QB stat! Each sack is worth about one-third of an interception by expected points lost. Makes sense if you think about it, considering how many promising Jets drives were effectively turned over when Wilson ate yet another sack and buried New York's field position.
Don't look at Wilson's line of 33-for-49 passing for 263 yards and no picks and think he is improving. Wilson fumbled three times, losing two of them, so add in the sacks and he's responsible for 4.7 turnovers. The Zach Wilson experiment is over. It was over a year ago.
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TIER VI — A GLIMMER OF HOPE FOR THE FUTURE
19. Las Vegas Raiders (29)
The Raiders get a reprieve at least for one week after finally ditching Josh McDaniels and Jimmy Garoppolo and turning toward the future, or at least the present. Antonio Pierce has clearly has the locker room, and rookie QB Aidan O'Connell was fine playing what was effectively a college team.
I promise it's not as impressive as you think dominating Tommy DeVito and no offensive line, but you know what? Light up those stogies in the locker room and have your fun. You get one week!!
For Raiders fans itching to get a piece of this team's futures, might I suggest Josh Jacobs at +2800 (bet365) to lead the league in rushing yards?
He's leading the league in carries and only 146 yards off the lead and had his best game of the season at 26 carries for 98 yards and two scores. It would be no surprise to see a tough guy like Pierce invest in attitude by pounding the run, and that means even more carries for the defending rushing champ.
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20. Indianapolis Colts (23)
The Colts coasted to victory despite a pretty anemic offensive performance, just 3.5 yards per play and under 200 yards total against a Panthers squad with half its defense in the hospital.
This is the 20th-best team in the NFL?! Oh, buckle up folks.
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21. Tennessee Titans (18)
The Titans played the Steelers pretty even on Thursday night and had every chance to win, and it certainly looks like rookie QB Will Levis is at least worth finding out more for the rest of the season.
The playoffs are probably a long shot at this point considering the strength of the AFC, but if Tennessee comes away from the year with its QB of the future, this season was a slam dunk win.
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22. Denver Broncos (24)
The Broncos probably should've moved up more after beating the Chiefs last week, so we'll slide them up a couple spots on their week off to make up for it.
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TIER VII — WILL THE REAL NFC SLEEPER PLEASE STAND UP?
23. Atlanta Falcons (21)
I'm done with Arthur Smith. Just done. This man is bad at play calling and worse at game management. If I see one more end-around to Jonnu Smith with Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Kyle Pitts on the roster, I'm gonna flip out.
The Falcons were practically gift-wrapped Sunday's game against the Vikings, playing a fourth-string QB acquired five days earlier playing without the best WR in the league or their best offensive lineman.
So what does Smith do? He has the ball on Minnesota's 36 early, takes a sack, and chooses to punt. He gets the ball on Minnesota's 1-yard line and kicks a field goal, kicks another from the 24. He punts from the 45 down three late. The Falcons were gifted the ball on Minnesota's 1- and 30-yard lines and didn't pick up a first down on either "drive." This team stinks, and Smith's inadequate coaching cost his team a win.
This was a hugely damaging loss for the Falcons, who now get the opposite of that lucky break when they face the Cardinals with a real QB in Kyler Murray. Atlanta still has both games against the Saints, but this was a freebie win and a chance to put distance between itself and the rest of the NFC in the playoff picture. Instead, the Falcons lost to the team they're directly competing with for the NFC 1-seed now, losing the tiebreaker in the process.
If Minnesota does slip back to the pack, one of this tier of anemic NFC teams still has to make the playoffs. And Atlanta, sadly enough, still probably has the best chance — no thanks to Arthur Smith.
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24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (22)
The Bucs played well on Sunday, well enough to win, but C.J. Stroud, Dare Ogunbowale, and the Texans are out here looking like a team of destiny. Tampa Bay keeps throwing away early chances, and this roster probably isn't talented or deep enough to overcome those type of mistakes.
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25. Washington Commanders (25)
Washington played New England mostly even but won the game on third down, converting 9-of-17 versus 3-of-12 for the Patriots.
The Commanders are 4-5 now, but that doesn't mean we have to take them seriously. Their wins are against the Cardinals, Broncos, Falcons, and Patriots, all by one score, and they've faced the easiest schedule in the league so far. Six of the remaining eight opponents are at .500 or better, so this should go sideways pretty quickly.
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26. Green Bay Packers (26)
The Packers lucked into Brett Rypien with Matt Stafford sidelined and still had just a 10-3 lead with nine minutes left. Credit a nice performance by the defense and a relatively easy win, but there's still something wrong with an offense that finds it so impossible to score points.
Green Bay is the youngest team in the league, and life is about to get very difficult with the Steelers, Chargers, Lions, and Chiefs the next four weeks. A tip for the Packers: maybe try scoring in the first half against those teams for a change.
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27. Los Angeles Rams (20)
How healthy can Matt Stafford get during the bye week, and how about the RBs and line? Brett Rypien was terrible, and non-Rypien Rams ran 23 times for 49 yards against a bad Packers run D, averaging 2.1 yards per carry. Sean McVay really punted from the Green Bay 36 in the second half with all his backups down 7-3 in a winnable game?! C'mon, man.
The numbers won't support me, and I have to bury the Rams in the Power Rankings after losing 20-3 to the Packers, but I still kinda sorta believe the Rams might be the team to snag that last NFC playoff spot. I just wish McVay believed in this team too.
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28. Chicago Bears (28)
The Bears got a morale victory hanging with the Saints all game before Tyson Bagent turned into a pumpkin in the fourth quarter, and they get a morale victory here by saying out of the bottom tier of the Power Rankings and sneaking into the, "Omg Brandon thinks they might actually have an outside shot at the playoffs still somehow in the awful NFC cellar."
Hang the banner!!
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TIER VIII — NOT TOTALLY DEAD YET
29. Carolina Panthers (30)
After a promising first win out of the bye with Thomas Brown calling the plays, the Panthers turtled again the following week and Bryce Young is back to looking terrible. He ate four sacks and threw three interceptions, including another pick-six, and the Panthers went three-and-out on three of their first four drives against a meh Colts defense.
It was never about this year for the Panthers with a rookie QB and new coaching staff, but it's still a failure for this team in a terrible division to not even be somewhat competitive at the midpoint.
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30. New England Patriots (27)
The Patriots scored two touchdowns three minutes apart in the second quarter against Washington and otherwise did very little else of note. It's starting to feel like that sentence could also work as an epitaph of a pretty meaningless, lost season for New England.
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31. New York Giants (32)
A bad season got worse for the Giants with Daniel Jones tearing his ACL, but that could turn out to be a good thing in the long term. Tommy DeVito is terrible, and he's going to lose this team a ton of games, especially with zero offensive line.
Jones was never supposed to be the long-term answer for this team, and the Giants are suddenly setup to finish with three or four wins, a top pick in the draft, and a real franchise QB. It's possible Jones has taken his last snap for this team.
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32. Arizona Cardinals (31)
We already covered most of the ghastly Cardinals numbers in the Browns section above. It was absolute malpractice throwing rookie QB Clayton Tune out there with no talent around him to make a road debut against Jim Schwartz and Cleveland's attacking defense.
Tune completed 11-of-20 passes for 58 yards, a ridiculous 2.9 yards per attempt. He had a 2.5 ADOT and a -17 CPOE, turned it over three times, and was sacked seven times. He also had -1.01 EPA per play, meaning every single time the Cardinals dared to call a pass play, Tune cost his team more than a point of value.
Not like running plays were any better. Non-Tune Cardinals ran 16 times for 13 yards, all three of them averaging under a yard per carry. Arizona had only four drives all game that did not end in a three-and-out, and those drives lasted four, five, six, and six plays.
This was one of the worst offensive performances you'll ever see. Your move, Kyler Murray.
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NFL Week 10 Power Rankings
- Philadelphia Eagles (Last week ranking: 1)
- Baltimore Ravens (2)
- Kansas City Chiefs (3)
- Cincinnati Bengals (7)
- Detroit Lions (4)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (5)
- San Francisco 49ers (10)
- Dallas Cowboys (6)
- Miami Dolphins (8)
- Buffalo Bills (11)
- Minnesota Vikings (12)
- Seattle Seahawks (9)
- Cleveland Browns (13)
- Houston Texans (17)
- Los Angeles Chargers (15)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (19)
- New Orleans Saints (16)
- New York Jets (14)
- Las Vegas Raiders (29)
- Indianapolis Colts (23)
- Tennessee Titans (18)
- Denver Broncos (24)
- Atlanta Falcons (21)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (22)
- Washington Commanders (25)
- Green Bay Packers (26)
- Los Angeles Rams (20)
- Chicago Bears (28)
- Carolina Panthers (30)
- New England Patriots (27)
- New York Giants (32)
- Arizona Cardinals (31)
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