Chiefs vs. Chargers Player Prop Betting Picks: Tyreek Hill Under Our Favorite Play

Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, is highlighting his favorite player prop for every primetime game throughout the 2021 season. Find out his top pick for Chiefs-Chargers on Thursday Night Football below. He has a 494-388-9 (55%) all-time record on NFL bets he’s tracked in the Action app.

NFL Props: Chiefs-Chargers

Tyreek Hill Under 79.5 Receiving Yards

This year, the Chiefs offense hasn't been as explosive due to opposing teams playing more two-shell coverage against them and forcing Patrick Mahomes to throw underneath more.

It's a trend that has prevented Hill from having any ceiling games this year and caused a significant dip in his yards per catch — going from 14.7 a year ago to 11.4 this season.

The Chargers play two-high shell at the third-highest rate in the league, and they've only allowed a QB rating of 56.6 on throws 20+ yards downfield. This matchup sets up better for Travis Kelce, especially if Derwin James in unable to suit up tonight. I'm projecting Hill closer to a median of 72.5 receiving yards tonight and would bet this down to 77.5.

Pick: Under 79.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at FanDuel

What Are NFL Player Prop Bets?

Bets on a player's statistics or various outcomes can be considered a player prop. Betting on the over or under on a quarterback's passing yards, over or under on a wide receiver's number of receptions, and whether a running back will score a touchdown are all considered player props.

To learn more about the various types of props you can bet on, check out our Betting 101 series.