Orlando Apollos-Birmingham Iron AAF Betting Guide: How to Play the League’s Best Offense vs. Defense

Orlando Apollos-Birmingham Iron AAF Betting Guide: How to Play the League’s Best Offense vs. Defense article feature image

Courtesy of @TheAAF/Twitter. Pictured: Orlando QB Garrett Gilbert, Birmingham CB Jamar Summers

Betting Odds: Orlando Apollos at Birmingham Iron

  • Spread: Orlando -3.5
  • Over/Under: 34
  • Time: 2 p.m. ET on Saturday
  • TV: TNT

Betting market: Bookmakers have made an annoying habit of not opening AAF lines until late in the week, so we don’t have much line movement to speak of for this weekend’s games.

The spread is one point lower than our resident Oddsmaker Sean Koerner projected (Orlando -4.5) in his power ratings, while the over/under is understandably low in a matchup featuring two of the league’s best defenses.

Week 4 Takeaways

Orlando’s 20-11 Win Over Salt Lake

  • Garrett Gilbert has led the Apollos to a spotless record through four weeks. His latest efficient performance saw him complete 22-of-32 (69%) passes for 244 yards (7.6 yards per attempt) and a touchdown despite playing in snowy conditions. Steve Spurrier and Co. boast a league-high +55 point differential.
  • D’Ernest Johnson (41%) started again at running back, but De’Veon Smith (29%) and Akeem Hunt (29%) were also plenty involved. Johnson is tentatively locked in as the starter, but Hunt is coming off his best performance of the season while Smith lingers as a potential goal-line vulture.
  • Charles Johnson (9 receptions-105 yards-0 touchdowns) continued to dominate while Rannell Hall (4-57-0), Jalin Marshall (4-27-0) and Donteea Dye Jr. (1-20-1) also made their presence felt. The Apollos have averaged a league-high 9.4 yards per pass attempt after a month of action.

Birmingham’s 12-11 Loss Against San Antonio

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