The Philadelphia Eagles (8-2) and Dallas Cowboys (4-5-1) meet in Week 12 on Sunday, Nov. 23. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The game will broadcast live on FOX.
The Eagles are 3.5-point favorites over the Cowboys on the spread (Eagles -3.5), with the over/under set at 47.5. Philadelphia is a -170 favorite to win outright on the moneyline while Dallas is +145 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Week 12 preview and Eagles vs Cowboys prediction for today's NFC East clash.
Eagles vs Cowboys Prediction
- Eagles vs Cowboys pick: Cowboys +3.5 (-115)
My Cowboys vs Eagles best bet is on Dallas to cover the spread. Find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Eagles vs Cowboys Odds
| Eagles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -105 | 47.5 -110o / -110u | -170 |
| Cowboys Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -115 | 47.5 -110o / -110u | +145 |
Eagles vs Cowboys Week 12 Preview
First, let’s talk about the Eagles offense.
At this point, I don't think they are going to figure it out; two straight weeks, coming off their bye, and we've seen nothing good.
This whole season, the Eagles haven't been able to build a margin against anyone. They have eight wins, and seven of them have come by one possession. They are 7-1 in one-possession games.
I do think the Eagles defense is trending up. They are getting some guys back healthy and they added linebacker Jaelan Phillips, which is important.
However, I also think the Dallas defense is trending up.
Of course, the Cowboys faced the Raiders last week, but I think they will be better against the run, and with their trade-deadline acquisitions, it makes sense.
Dallas added DT Quinnen Williams in the middle of that defensive line and should be more stout against the run — though the back end is still going to be leaky for Dallas.
This is still a flawed Cowboys defense, but they're going to play a ton of zone coverage — and that's what you want to do against Jalen Hurts and this lackluster Eagles passing attack.
Hurts has been significantly worse against zone coverage this year. And now starting center Cam Jurgens is banged up, and they won't have RT Lane Johnson, which might prevent them from using some of their jumbo packages that unlocked some potential for this offense.
Johnson is vital to the Eagles offense.
According to Evan Abrams, Philly is 96-41-1 straight up (SU) when Johnson starts and 12-23 SU when he doesn’t over the last decade. And since 2013, including the playoffs, Philly is 120-62-1 SU when Johnson plays and 15-24 SU when he doesn’t.
The Eagles have done some nice things with those looks, but Johnson is also arguably the best right tackle in the NFL.
The Cowboys can get pressure. They're going to be better against the run. They play zone on the back end. Now, on the other side, the Eagles' defense is nasty, but this is an elite Cowboys offense at home. I trust them to put up points in this spot.
I know the Cowboys are on a short week, but this is the third game in 13 days for the Eagles after hard-fought wins against the Packers and Lions. So, it kind of washes that out.
Since 2018, the Cowboys have faced the Eagles on short rest three times. They are 3-0 SU/ATS in those games.
This season, two teams have faced the Eagles on short rest – Broncos and Giants – and they went 2-0 SU/ATS against them.
Dallas had a bye before the Monday night game, and it was a pretty easy win without exerting much energy.
Eagles vs Cowboys Prediction, Betting Analysis
I think Dallas can score enough points to keep this game close.
We'll probably see the Eagles win by a field goal and run out the clock with something like an 8-minute drive late, which would still cash this bet at +3.5.
I make the spread for this game under +3, and I'll take anything at +3.5 or better, even if you have to pay the -120 juice.
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott has been great against division rivals for whatever reason. It’s basically an ATM: 31-13 against the spread, 70.5% covering by seven points per game.
However, this is a decent matchup for the Cowboys defense in their current form since they can stop the run much more effectively.
I know the Eagles' defense is good and only getting better, but I think the Cowboys offense will keep them in this game at home, given the weapons at their disposal and how well Prescott is playing right now.
In the end, I don’t really trust Philly's offense to win by margin. I'll take my chances with the Cowboys +3.5.
Pick: Cowboys +3.5 (-115)
Spread
My Cowboys vs Eagles betting prediction is on Dallas to cover the spread at +3.5.
Moneyline
No play on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I will be staying away from the total in this spot.
