Seahawks vs Lions Pick, Odds, NFL Week 2 Prediction

Seahawks vs Lions Pick, Odds, NFL Week 2 Prediction article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Geno Smith (left) and Jared Goff (right).

Seahawks vs Lions Odds

Sunday, Sept. 17
1 p.m. ET
Seahawks Odds
-110o / -110u
Lions Odds
-110o / -110u
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

We start Week 2 with a Seahawks vs. Lions pick in the Motor City.

Week 2 is known as “Overreaction Week” in the NFL, and this line is a perfect example. The Lions are flying high after that Thursday Night Football upset over the Chiefs, while the Seahawks got embarrassed by the Rams. But these things have a way of evening out.

Let's break down the Seahawks vs. Lions odds and make a pick below.

Seahawks vs. Lions

Matchup Analysis

The Seahawks and Lions are remarkably similar teams in many ways.

Both squads outperformed expectations last year; both in the same way. Journeymen quarterbacks in Geno Smith and Jared Goff had career years thanks to excellent playcalling, doing just enough to overcome subpar defenses to make a playoff push.

Heck, Seattle literally got in on the final game of the season when Detroit beat Green Bay, but lost the tiebreaker to the Seahawks.

These teams are quite even. But that's not how it looked in Week 1, with Detroit beating the Super Bowl champs and Seattle losing by 17 to a Rams team many left for dead.

Those results have pushed the line too far in Detroit's direction.

Bet Seattle vs. Detroit at FanDuel

Seahawks +4.5

Lions -4.5

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The Lions were the worse team against the Chiefs and benefited from Kansas City injuries and a number of drops, one of which led to a pick-6 (hello, Kadarius Toney), in a one-point win. Detroit ranks No. 2 in our Luck Rankings, the second-luckiest team from Week 1.

Seattle ranks near the bottom. The Seahawks played mostly even through three quarters in a tough divisional game that got away late as injuries piled up.

The injury report is not kind for Seattle. Both starting tackles are out, and it had to coax 41-year-old Jason Peters out of retirement this week. The secondary is banged up, too.

Still, this is a classic overreaction to Week 1. These two played last October and Seattle was the superior team, winning 48-45 in a game that featured over 500 yards of offense from each side.

Road underdogs coming off a double-digit loss are 18-3 (86%) against the spread (ATS) in Week 2 since 2014, and there are a barrage of other trends backing Seattle. Pete Carroll is outstanding after a loss (61% ATS) and as an underdog (60%).

It's not like the Seahawks are missing All-Pro tackles, and the Lions were a bottom-five DVOA defense last season. Seattle's offense should rebound.

Seahawks vs. Lions

Betting Picks & Predictions

Seattle +5.5 was my Week 2 Hot Read pick on Sunday night, and the line is slowly drifting back down as expected — but it's still a touch high.

I like Seattle a bit less due to the injuries, but this number is worth betting at +4 or longer.

Play the number and bet the Seahawks to cover.

Pick: Seahawks +4.5 | Play to +4

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