Titans-Cowboys MNF Betting Preview: Bank on a Low-Scoring Slugfest?

Nov 05, 2018 06:30 PM EST
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Marcus Mariota, Ezekiel Elliott

Betting odds: Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys

  • Spread: Cowboys -4.5
  • Over/Under: 40
  • Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN

>> All odds as of Sunday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: This line has been on the move from the get go. The Cowboys opened at -4/-5, gradually moved all the way to 7-point favorites at some books before being bet back down.

The Titans are receiving 46% of the bets at the time of writing (see live data here), accounting for 76% of dollars. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Dak Prescott is 10-3 straight-up and 8-4-1 against the spread (+3.6 units) in his 13 prime-time starts.

Since being drafted in 2016, Prescott is the second-most profitable quarterback in prime time behind Russell Wilson (7-2-2 ATS, +4.6 units), according to our Bet Labs data.

Prescott is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS at home in prime time. He’s been especially efficient at AT&T Stadium this season with five touchdowns, zero interceptions, one rushing TD and a 107.5 Passer Rating. Evan Abrams

Metrics that matter: When two teams that have both scored and allowed fewer than 21 points per game have faced each other since 2003, the over is 75-54 (58.1%), clearing the total by more than a field goal per game (3.2) and profiting bettors 16.6 units.

  • Titans: 15.1 PPG (30th), 18.1 PPG allowed (third)
  • Cowboys: 20 PPG (26th), 17.6 PPG allowed (second)

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