Last week we hunted big value with Watford +460 at home against Liverpool and Bournemouth +205 away to West Brom. Neither of the two sides came through as Watford handed away two leads before earning a last-gasp draw and Bournemouth couldn’t muster up anything against a well-organized Baggies side.
Watford (+265) at Bournemouth (-105), Draw (+240)
This week, the two sides we backed last week will meet at Dean Court.
In their opening match, Watford showed they could be a dangerous team going forward and that was without their new signing, Andre Gray.
But the Hornets were also disjointed in the back and could be vulnerable traveling to Bournemouth.
After failing to gain any sort of momentum at West Brom, Bournemouth should have more to offer in front of their home supporters on Saturday. Jermain Defoe should be ready to play a full 90 minutes and Eddie Howe’s side play an open style of football that will ask a lot of questions of Watford’s ability to keep the ball out of the net.
The home side provide the value in this one and the over 2.5 (-120) isn’t a bad pick either.
West Brom (+191) at Burnley (+156), Draw (+205)
Burnley pulled off what may well be the biggest upset of the season in their 3-2 win at Chelsea in their opener and that has the public excited to back the Clarets against Tony Pulis and the Baggies at Turf Moor on Saturday.
The reality is that Burnley were very lucky to come away with the win against Chelsea as the champions saw Gary Cahill sent off early in the game and then Cesc Fabregas hit the showers later. Still, the Blues almost were able to rescue a point against Sean Dyche’s side, who were also the benefactors of a wonder-goal from an unlikely source in Stephen Ward.
xG map for Chelsea – Burnley. Burnley made the most of their chances here. pic.twitter.com/uGbmMer1n1
— Caley Graphics (@Caley_graphics) August 12, 2017
West Brom did what West Brom does in their opener against Bournemouth. They suffocated Bouremouth’s attack and scored a goal from a set piece.
There is definitely good value on a draw here as both sides play a structured game and will clog things up in the middle of the pitch from whistle to whistle. The over/under is set at just two goals so that should tell you all you need to know about what’s to be expected in this one.
The value in what should be an ugly match lies with the draw.