Chelsea vs. West Ham United Monday Premier League Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions (Dec. 21)
Chris Lee – Chelsea FC/Chelsea FC via Getty Images. Pictured: Chelsea star Christian Pulisic, right, celebrates his goal with teammates.
- Chelsea hosts West Ham United in Premier League action Monday at Stamford Bridge.
- The Blues have lost back-to-back matches in England's top flight. Jeremy Pond gives his detailed analysis and top plays.
Chelsea vs. West Ham Odds
|Chelsea Odds||-220 [BET NOW]|
|West Ham Odds||+550 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+370 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-180/+143) [BET NOW]|
|Time||Monday, 3 p.m. ET|
|TV||NBCSN | fuboTV|
Things could get pretty interesting in Premier League action Monday when Chelsea hosts West Ham United in the final fixture on the week’s loaded card.
The Blues are in desperate need of a win following back-to-back losses, which have landed them all the way back in eighth place in England’s top flight. Chelsea suffered a 2-1 setback against Wolves in its most recent outing, which came on the heels of a 1-0 shutout loss to Everton.
On the other side, the Hammers have put together a string of solid results as of late. West Ham, winners of four of its last six games, settled for a 1-1 home draw against Crystal Palace midweek at London Stadium.
Let’s take a look at these sides and see what could be on deck in this match.
Manager Frank Lampard and his lads have hit a bit of a rough patch, dropping six possible points in their last two contests.
The Everton setback snapped Chelsea’s 14-match unbeaten tear (nine wins and five draws), dating all the way back to Sept. 29 in a fourth-round EFL Cup loss to Tottenham Hotspur. And that defeat came via a shootout defeat, so it didn’t come in the full run of play.
The Blues actually didn’t play that poorly in that midweek surprise against Wolves, where it wound up with a 1.3 xG-0.5 xG edge at the final whistle.
Olivier Giroud continued his scoring hot streak, giving Chelsea a 1-0 lead early in the second half. However, Wolves responded with two unanswered goals, highlighted by Pedro Neto’s winner five minutes into stoppage time that delivered the shock win at Molineux Stadium.
When it comes to statistical data, Chelsea’s overall numbers are exactly what you’d expect from a club not only contending for a Champions League berth The Blues sit on a solid 21.8 expected goals and impressive 12.8 expected goals against, resulting in a stellar +9.0 xGDiff and +0.68 xGDiff/90 minutes.
Chelsea’s xGDiff and xGDiff/90 minutes are some of the league’s best, putting the club third overall behind defending champion Liverpool (+10.6/+0.76) and Manchester City (+9.1/+0.70) out of 20 teams.
The Hammers have enjoyed a solid run through their fixtures thus far, putting together a 6-3-4 record that has them just a point behind Chelsea in the league standings.
West Ham’s current ninth-place standing has it going in a much better trajectory than last season’s tumultuous campaign, when it finished only five points clear of the relegation zone in 16th place.
As previously mentioned, the Hammers have been in form as of late. They’re unbeaten in five of their last six contests, going 4-1-1 along the way. That lone blemish came four matches back via a 3-1 setback against Manchester United.
As for West Ham’s advanced metrics, they could not get any more flatter across all similar categories.
The Hammers have generated a respectable 17.7 xGs and middle-of-the-road 17.7 expected goals against, resulting in a +0.0 xGDiff and +0.0 for xGDiff/90 minutes. The latter two stats are the definition of a wash, which is a big reason why they’re sitting smack dab in the middle of the table.
Betting Analysis & Picks
I fully expect this to be a wide-open affair at Stamford Bridge.
That said, I am going to avoid picking a side and back the total going over the number. I will also play both teams to score at a fair price, making these my top selections.
West Ham has scored at least one goal in 15 of its 16 matches (yes, your read that correctly) across all competitions. That lone shutout came in the Hammers’ season-opening 2-0 loss to Newcastle United. Additionally, Chelsea has only been blanked twice in its last 11 games across all competitions.
Throw in the fact five of West Ham’s last six away league tilts have finished with at least three goals, and we could be in for a profitable day on the pitch when its comes to these wagers.
Picks: Total Over 2.5 Goals (-180) | Both Teams To Score — Yes (-141)