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Saturday Premier League Updated Odds, Picks & Prediction: Arsenal vs. Leicester City Betting Preview

Saturday Premier League Updated Odds, Picks & Prediction: Arsenal vs. Leicester City Betting Preview article feature image

Marc Atkins/Getty Images. Pictured: Arsenal standout Gabriel Jesus.

Arsenal vs. Leicester Odds

Arsenal Odds -200
Leicester Odds +525
Draw +350
Over/Under 2.5 (-160 / +115)
Day | Time Saturday | 10 a.m. ET
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Odds updated as of Saturday morning via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.

Fresh off its road win against Crystal Palace, Arsenal returns home to Emirates Stadium to battle Leicester City in Saturday’s Premier League match.

The Foxes settled for a draw with Brentford at King Power Stadium to open the scoring and travel to North London hoping to end a three-game losing streak against the Gunners.

A win for manager Mikel Arteta’s squad would be its fourth consecutive at home dating back to last season. Last year, Arsenal finished the campaign with a third-best home xGDiff in the English top flight, easily cruising past Leicester in a 2-0 victory.


Despite losing the match on expected goals, Arsenal escaped from Selhurst Park with a 2-0 victory to kick off its campaign.

Dating back to last season, that win represents the sixth for Arsenal across its previous eight matches. as well as revenge over Palace for a 3-0 defeat on last time around at Selhurst Park.

For Arsenal, it was dominant in the first half, winning the xG batttle by a 0.65-0.22 margin against manager Patrick Vieira’s squad, which created 1.21 xG against the Gunners’ defense, per

Now, Arsenal goes against a Leicester defense which has created at least two xG in two of the last three matches. Just across their last 10 head-to-head EPL meetings, the Gunners have generated 1.62 xG/90 against the Foxes.

By The Numbers

  • 3 — Consecutive number of wins for Arsenal against Leicester City.
  • 35.8 — Home expected goals created by Arsenal last season.
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Leicester City

Manager Brendan Rodgers’s squad stormed out to a 2-0 halftime lead against Brentford, but ultimately conceded two second half goals to settle for the tie.

Luck ran amok for Leicester City in that match, as its two goals came on shots that combined for only 0.19 xG overall.

Now, the Foxes hope to repair their road record from last season with a visit to Emirates Stadium. In the 2021-22 campaign, Leicester had the 12th-best road xGDiff while conceding the sixth-most road xG, per

The Foxes also struggled mightily away from home against the Big Six last season. In such tilts, it went 0-4-2 (W-L-D) and conceded 2.13 xG/90 minutes.

By The Numbers

  • 1.65 — Expected goals per 90 minutes conceded by Leicester City away from home during the 2021-22 season.
  • -1.3 — Road goal differential minus Road xGDiff for the Foxes last campaign.
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Betting Analysis & Pick

Don’t overthink this match one bit. Arsenal is no match for Leicester City and should dominate affairs.

Last season at home against non-Big Six opposition, the Gunners finished 11-1-2 (W-L-D) and created no fewer than 1.2 xG in any of those 14 matches. In those games, Arteta’s squad generated 2.20 xG per 90 minutes, which was up from a season-long average of 1.58 xG per 90 minutes.

Those same 14 fixtures also saw Arsenal’s defense concede 0.75 xG or fewer in all but four of them and only 0.65 xG per 90 minutes.

Lastly, six of those 11 wins came by at least two goals, with Arsenal triumphing by at least 1.5 xG In eight of 14 fixtures. Against a Leicester defense that proved incapable of handling the league’s best attacks, back Arsenal to roll.

The Pick: Arsenal -1 (-120)

Bonus Play: Sprinkle on Arsenal -2.5 (+370) 

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