Women’s World Cup Quarterfinal Odds, Betting Preview: How Sharps Bet USA-France Right Away
Presse Sports-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Germany celebrating
- The Women's World Cup quarterfinal is set with matchups between England-Norway, USA-France, Germany-Sweden and Netherlands-Italy.
- Early betting action has come in on two favorites and two underdogs to cause market-wide movement.
The Women’s World Cup quarterfinal features seven European squads and the United States. Although USA are now the clear favorites to lift the trophy, they’ll have to get through hosts France first.
2019 Women’s World Cup Odds
England vs. Norway (Thursday, 3 p.m. ET on FOX)
- Odds to Advance: England -170, Norway +150
- England Odds: +105
- Norway Odds: +225
- Draw: +215
- Spread: England -0.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (u-125)
England routed Cameroon, 3-0, in a feisty Round of 16 affair filled with VAR decisions. They’ve deservedly won all four matches at this World Cup but will still need to play better against Norway in order to advance.
They’re also dealing with key injuries/illnesses to both center-backs, Steph Houghton and Millie Bright.
Norway slipped past Australia in a penalty shootout as +130 underdogs to reach the quarterfinal and they’re now +150 ‘dogs to advance against England although odds are moving away from them.
The early smart money got behind England as soon as possible to shift the 90-minute moneyline from +120 to +105, and their odds to advance from -160 to -170. I’m concerned about Houghton and Bright being out for England but still lean toward the Three Lionesses winning and advancing.
As is the case in every quarterfinal matchup, sharp bettors jumped on the under (2.5) and under (2.25).
USA vs. France (Friday, 3 p.m. ET on FOX)
- Odds to Advance: USA -160, France +140
- USA Odds: +135
- France Odds: +230
- Draw: +210
- Spread: USA -0.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (u-140)
USA and France will meet in the quarterfinal matchup that everyone was hoping to see when the bracket was set. It wasn’t easy though, as USA edged Spain in the Round of 16 on a late penalty kick while it took extra time for hosts France to knock off Brazil.
Once again more than 80% of the bets has come in USA but their odds have drifted to +135 since opening at +115. Sharp bettors wasted no time taking France on both the moneyline and spread, but the public will continue to pound USA until kickoff Friday.
Netherlands vs. Italy (Saturday, 9 a.m. ET on FS1)
- Odds to Advance: Netherlands -160, Italy +140
- Netherlands Odds: +120
- Italy Odds: +255
- Draw: +225
- Spread: Netherlands -0.5 (+120)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (u-135)
Italy and the Netherlands have taken similar roads to the quarters. They both won their group and then knocked out Asian opponents in the Round of 16. Netherlands opened 15-1 to win the title and are now down to 8-1 while Italy’s odds have improved from 70-1 to 23-1.
Netherlands haven’t quite put a full 90-minute performance together and could have easily lost to Japan in the Round of 16 as they were outperformed on xG.
As soon as the market released lines for this quarterfinal matchup, all the action came in on Italy.
Le Azzurre improved to +255 to win in regulation and +140 to reach the semifinal, but I’m fading the trendy underdogs and continuing to back Netherlands.
Germany vs. Sweden (Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET on FS1)
- Odds to Advance: Germany -240, Sweden +200
- Germany Odds: -135
- Sweden Odds: +350
- Draw: +230
- Spread: Germany -0.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: 2 (o-125)
Germany have yet to concede a goal at the World Cup, outscoring opponents 9-0 thus far. They went unbeaten in the group stage and then beat Nigeria, 3-0, in the Round of 16. And now they get their best player back from a broken toe, Dzsenifer Marozsán.
Sweden’s only loss in this tournament came against the USA in the group stage. They survived against Canada, 1-0, in the Round of 16.
This will be the fifth all-time meeting between these two countries and all of them have come in the knockout stage.
Early line movement for Saturday’s match has been toward Germany from -115 to -135 due to a mix of sharp bets and the return of Marozsán.
Teams have struggled to get quality scoring chances against Die Nationalelf and bettors are anticipating a 1-0 victory here.