Tuesday French Open Odds: A Trio of WTA Bets Worth a Look

Tuesday French Open Odds: A Trio of WTA Bets Worth a Look article feature image
Credit:

Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Katerina Siniakova

  • French Open first-round WTA betting action will continue on Tuesday in Paris.
  • Brett details his three favorite plays, including two underdogs and a short favorite.

Hopefully, we get a full day of French Open action on Tuesday with rain in the forecast. Let’s dive right in to my three favorite WTA bets on Day 3 as we finish up the first round at Roland Garros.

Elena Rybakina (+190) over Katerina Siniakova

10:55 a.m. ET

Rybakina is a young player who has spent most of her five-year pro career on the ITF circuit. This is only her fourth main draw appearance in a Tour event — and her first Grand Slam.

While the stage could be too bright, she does have some prior class wins. Just last year, she had a three-set victory over then top-10 player Caroline Garcia.

Rybakina’s clay court form is a mixed bag, though she has performed well this year. Her notable clay win this season came against this very opponent, Siniakova, in Istanbul. She won that match as a +171 underdog.

Siniakova is very much a form player. If she’s in the midst of a cold streak, it tends to linger. Having made the semifinal in Nurnberg last week, it would appear she’s in good form. But did she really beat anyone of note? She took out Mandy Minella, Johanna Larsson and Madison Brengle — none of whom are ranked inside the top 90. Plus, it took her three sets to defeat each opponent.

Siniakova is just 1-3 in Paris as a favorite and I believe this is another ripe spot for her to get upset. I make Rybakina a +155 underdog, so there is definitely value on the 19-year-old.

Anna Blinkova (-135) over Margarita Gasparyan

Gasparyan coming back from injury in 2018 and subsequently winning a WTA event was one of the best stories on Tour. Unfortunately, a return to clay competition for the first time since 2016 has not treated the Russian well.

She owns a mediocre 5-4 record on clay this season with two of her losses coming via retirement. Her first came as a result of exhaustion against Petra Martic. And her most recent occurred two weeks ago in a qualifying match versus Samantha Stosur in Rome due to an unknown injury. I’m very skeptical Gasparyan will be at peak conditioning for her French Open campaign.

Blinkova is a young Russian who came on Tour with high expectations. She hasn’t figured it all out yet but is a solid competitor who does well on clay. She made it through qualifying last week and is currently the more fit of the two Russians.

Blinkova opened as a -122 favorite, so money has backed her consistently in the early going, which I agree with. Anything under -140 is worth a wager.

Chloe Paquet (+117) over Magda Linette

Considering Paquet’s ranking (currently No. 166 in the world), she has had a very nice clay season so far. She has gone 12-10 overall on the dirt, including an impressive 7-5 record as an underdog. Paquet doesn’t have the veteran experience on Tour that Linette has, but she will have the French crowd behind her.

Linette has had a horrid clay campaign to date (1-6 overall and 1-2 as a favorite). She also hasn’t had much success in Paris, having lost in the first-round in three of her appearances in the French Open main draw.

Simply put, Paquet comes into this in better form after a run to the semifinals in Strasbourg last week and the support of the Paris crowd won’t hurt. I have this as a 50/50 match, so the extra 17 cents of value on Paquet is worth a play here.