The Las Vegas Aces (17-7) and Toronto Tempo (10-13) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EDT at the Coca-Cola Coliseum in Toronto. The game will be broadcast live on Peacock.
The Aces are favored by -11.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 183.5 (-112o / -108u). The Aces are a -575 favorite to win outright, while the Tempo are +425 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Aces vs. Tempo predictions and WNBA picks.
Aces vs. Tempo Odds, Pick
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-11.5 -108 | 182.5 -120o / -102u | -600 |
| Tempo Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+11.5 -112 | 182.5 -120o / -102u | +420 |
- Aces vs. Tempo Spread: -11.5 (-102), +11.5 (-118)
- Aces vs. Tempo Over/Under: 183.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Aces vs. Tempo Moneyline: Aces -575, Tempo +425
- Aces vs. Tempo Best Bet: Tempo +11.5 (-118, DraftKings)
Aces vs. Tempo Preview
Las Vegas rolls into Toronto as one of the WNBA's best teams, fresh off a win over Indiana and sitting second in the league at 17-7. Toronto, meanwhile, has hit a rough patch.
The Tempo have dropped back-to-back games by lopsided scores, falling 79-62 to Washington before getting run off the floor 111-92 at Atlanta.
That skid has this line ballooning to 11.5, one of the widest spreads Toronto has faced all season.
Aces vs. Tempo Prediction
This game has triggered our Bet Labs system, "Bet Bad Teams Off Loss as Big Dogs."
Toronto is a massive 11.5-point home underdog tonight, and it's fair to ask whether the market is overreacting to a rough stretch.
The system behind this pick fades the public's habit of piling onto a bad team right after a loss. When a weak club is a big underdog, it's usually because of a recent blowout or a cold run, and when that prior loss was by a modest margin, the resulting spread often overshoots the team's actual level, leaving backdoor value on the dog.
Toronto checks some of those boxes tonight: a bad recent record, a wide number, and a national name on the other side. Where the fit gets shakier is the "modest margin" piece. Toronto's last game wasn't a close loss; it was a 19-point blowout at Atlanta, their second straight double-digit defeat.
Still, there's a case for the number. Toronto gets to play this one at home after two rough outings away from Coca-Cola Coliseum. Marina Mabrey has kept the Tempo within shouting distance of tough opponents even in losing stretches, and an 11.5-point number already prices in a near-blowout. Toronto just needs to avoid a total collapse to cash.
Best Bet: Tempo +11.5 (-118, DraftKings)
