The Phoenix Mercury (15-6) and Minnesota Lynx (19-4) will meet in the WNBA this afternoon. Tipoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The game will broadcast live on FDSN.
The Lynx are 11.5-point favorites over the Mercury on the spread (Lynx -11.5), with the over/under set at 158.5 total points. Minnesota is a -600 favorite to win outright, while Phoenix is +450 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Mercury vs. Lynx predictions and WNBA picks for Wednesday, July 16.
Mercury vs. Lynx Picks, Prediction
My Lynx vs. Mercury best bet is on Phoenix to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live WNBA odds page.
Pick: Mercury +11.5 (-110)
Mercury vs. Lynx Odds
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+11.5 -110 | 158.5 -110o / -110u | +450 |
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-11.5 -110 | 158.5 -110o / -110u | -600 |
- Mercury vs. Lynx Spread: Lynx -11.5
- Mercury vs. Lynx Over/Under: 158.5 tota points
- Mercury vs. Lynx Moneyline: Mercury +450, Lynx -600
- Mercury vs. Lynx Best Bet: Mercury +11.5 (-110)
Mercury vs. Lynx Preview
This system targets large underdogs in the WNBA regular season when the betting public shows significant support, which appears to be the case in today's matchup between the Lynx and Mercury.
When underdogs of 11.5 points or more receive at least moderate spread backing, it suggests public perception may be driven by recent performance, star power, or market bias rather than true team quality.
This creates inefficiency in heavily lopsided lines.
By siding with these big 'dogs — despite the public support — you’re capturing inflated lines that overcompensate for public sentiment, particularly in a league where game margins tend to tighten late.
Mercury vs. Lynx Best Bet
- Mercury +11.5 (-110)
