The Phoenix Mercury (2-0) and Seattle Storm (1-1) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10 p.m. ET at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA. The game will be broadcast live on ION.
The Storm are favored by -5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 158 (-112o / -108u). The Storm are a -230 favorite to win outright, while the Mercury are +184 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Mercury vs. Storm predictions and WNBA picks for Friday, May 23.
Mercury vs. Storm Odds
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+5 -110 | 158 -112 / -108 | +184 |
| Storm Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-5 -110 | 158 -112 / -108 | -230 |
Mercury vs. Storm
Betting Pick & Prediction
While the Mercury have already beaten the Storm this season (81-59 on May 17 in Phoenix), Seattle is favored by five points here at home in a nice revenge spot.
But rather than a side, RotoGrinders' Prop Model has keyed in on a player prop for this game's best bet: Alyssa Thomas (PHX) under 15.5 rebounds and assists at -110.
This rebounds and assists prop for Thomas looks like a strong under wager based on the current data. The line of 15.5 compares favorably based on our WNBA simulations.
The prop projects to hit 56.43% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 7.41% edge.
You can find all WNBA props in RotoGrinders' prop tool.
Pick: Alyssa Thomas Under 15.5 Rebounds + Assists (-110)
