Sun vs Mercury Prediction, Odds, Pick for Tuesday, August 5

Sun vs Mercury Prediction, Odds, Pick for Tuesday, August 5 article feature image
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Photo Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images. Pictured: Alyssa Thomas

The Connecticut Sun (5-22) and Phoenix Mercury (17-11) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at PHX Arena in Phoenix, Ariz. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-BOS.

The Mercury are favored by -15 on the spread, with the over/under set at 168.5 (-112o / -109u). The Mercury are a -1200 favorite to win outright, while the Sun are +750 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Sun vs. Mercury prediction and WNBA picks.

Quickslip

Sun vs. Mercury Odds, Pick

Sun Logo
Tuesday, August 5, 2025
10:00 p.m. EDT
NBCS-BOS
Mercury Logo
Sun Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+15
-110
168.5
-112o / -109u
+750
Mercury Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-15
-110
168.5
-112o / -109u
-1200
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute WNBA odds here.
BetMGM Logo
  • Sun vs. Mercury Spread: Mercury -15 (-110 ), Sun +15 (-110)
  • Sun vs. Mercury Over/Under: 168.5 (-112o / -109u)
  • Sun vs. Mercury Moneyline: Sun +750, Mercury -1200
  • Sun vs. Mercury Best Bet: Mercury 1st Half -8.5
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Sun vs. Mercury Preview

The Mercury, coming off a road win over the Sky, host a Sun team that recently split games against the Liberty, but has also lost seven of its past 10.

Phoenix is deservedly favored in this game and is looking to move to 10-4 at home. These teams met earlier this season in Connecticut, a game in which the Mercury won by eight.

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Dano Mataya's Sun vs. Mercury Prediction

I am taking the Phoenix Mercury -8.5 in the first half.

Connecticut is coming off a six-game home stand. I was looking at all the schedules for all the teams this year that have had at least four games at home before going on the road, and they are 4-8 against the spread when they go on the road for that first game. Also, the Mercury have already had a close one against Connecticut, so I know they'll take them somewhat seriously.

Additionally, I think the window of opportunity for Alyssa Thomas to win MVP is wide open. I don't care what people say, it's wide open, so I think a big game from Thomas is in order.

Best Bet: Mercury 1st Half -8.5



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