WNBA Wednesday Odds, Predictions: The 12.4% ROI Algorithm Pick That Applies to Just 10 Games Per Year

WNBA Wednesday Odds, Predictions: The 12.4% ROI Algorithm Pick That Applies to Just 10 Games Per Year article feature image

Center Sylvia Fowles #34 of the Minnesota Lynx puts up a shot against the Los Angeles Sparks in the first half at Crypto.com Arena.

Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Odds

Lynx Odds-170
Mercury Odds+138
Over/Under162.5 (-108 /-112)
DateWednesday, August 10
Time10 p.m. ET

*Odds via FanDuel as of Wednesday morning

The Action Network has developed a historically profitable betting system that jibes with this WNBA game on Wednesday night.

If you had bet $100 on the moneyline for the 202 WNBA games that have fit this system since 2005, you'd be up $2,500.

That's over $150 per year, good for a 12.4% return on investment (ROI) over a solid sample size.

Only about 10 WNBA contests per season fit this algorithm, which factors in betting data across major American sportsbooks. That data is also proprietary to the Action Network.

This algorithm targets road teams that are poorly rested and coming off of a time zone change from EST or CST in their previous game to then playing a game on Pacific time.

These sorts of teams are undervalued in the market due to travel constraints — especially in the WNBA, where teams don't have charters and are forced to fly commercial.

There, they're privy to delays and supply chain issues that mess with scheduling. Not to mention the relative lack of comfort.

In addition, road housing for WNBA teams tends to be worse in comparison to other American professional sports leagues.

Still, these factors don't generally seem to affect players as much as the market suggests it does.

"Poorly rested" is defined as two or three days between games. In the NBA, that's normal, but in the WNBA — which has far fewer contests per season — that's solidly below average.

Teams in these situations do lose about 73% of the time, but because they're usually underdogs, the ROI has been 12.4% since 2005. (With a record of 74-128.)

In this instance, the algorithm is rolling with the Minnesota Lynx. They're coming off of a home contest on Sunday, followed by a travel day, then just one full day of rest.

The best price on the market is with BallyBet, which is pricing this contest at Lynx -160.

As aforementioned, this betting system has returned 12.4% of your initial stake since 2005. But while Wednesday may be the day to cash in, keep in mind that the $150 per year profit is accrued over a season-long sample size.

The best way to maximize that 12.4% ROI is to bet on every game that fits this system for as long as possible.

Pick: Lynx -160 or better

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