Everton (1-0-3) hosts newly-promoted Ipswich Town (2-2-0) on Saturday for a Premier League showdown at the Hill-Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool, England, with kickoff set for 10:00 a.m. ET.
Both sides have started the season with the same point total, setting the stage for a competitive match. Everton is favored at a -130 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-140o / +110u) goals.
Let's get into our Ipswich Town vs. Everton prediction, and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Ipswich Town vs. Everton Prediction
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-140)
Our Ipswich Town vs. Everton best bet is Over 2.5 goals, capitalizing on Ipswich's high-scoring fixtures and both teams' recent form.
Ipswich Town vs. Everton Odds
| Ipswich Town Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +105 | 2.5 -140o / 110u | +350 |
| Everton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -145 | 2.5 -140o / 110u | -130 |
Ipswich Town vs. Everton Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Over 2.5 Goals (-140, DraftKings)
Leg 2: Both Teams To Score (-150, DraftKings)
The case for a high-scoring game is compelling, driven largely by Ipswich Town's style of play. Through four matches, their games have seen an average of 4.25 goals, the third-highest mark in the Premier League.
This trend is backed by strong attacking metrics; the Tractor Boys have generated 6.29 expected goals (xG) and scored seven times. Their only failure to score came against Liverpool, a match where they still managed to create quality chances and match their opponent's xG output.
They further confirmed their ability to score against top-tier opposition when they netted twice against a formidable Arsenal defense in the EFL Cup.
Everton's home form also points toward goals. Five of their last six Premier League matches at the Hill-Dickinson Stadium have produced over 2.5 goals.
The Toffees have struggled to keep opponents off the scoresheet at their new ground, securing just three clean sheets in their last 12 home league fixtures. During that stretch, they have both scored and conceded an average of over 1.5 goals per game, indicating an open style of play in front of their fans.
Defensive vulnerabilities on both sides further strengthen the Everton vs Ipswich pick for goals. Ipswich has already conceded 10 goals this season, one of the worst defensive records in the league. This should provide opportunities for an Everton attack that, while not prolific, features a high-volume shooter in Thierno Barry.
Conversely, Ipswich’s proven attack should be able to exploit an Everton backline that is far from impenetrable at home. The historical context supports this, with four of the last five head-to-head meetings finishing with over 2.5 goals, including their most recent 2-2 draw.
Ipswich Town vs. Everton Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 24.6% | 23.4% | 52.0% |
Projected Total Goals
| Ipswich Town | Total Goals | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | 2.79 | 1.69 |
Ipswich Town vs. Everton Betting Analysis
Both clubs enter this match on six points, looking to establish a foothold in the top half of the table. Everton remains unbeaten but has been hampered by three straight draws, revealing an inability to turn solid defensive performances into wins.
With only three goals conceded, their foundation is strong, but their attack has yet to fire consistently. The Toffees rank in the bottom half of the league for expected goals with just 5.08, and their main striker, Thierno Barry, has converted only one of his 14 shots this season. This lack of clinical finishing is a primary concern for the home side.
In contrast, Ipswich Town brings a more chaotic and dynamic energy. Fresh off an exciting 3-2 victory at Crystal Palace, their matches have been characterized by relentless offense and defensive fragility. They average 1.75 goals scored per game but have allowed 10 at the other end.
While their expected goals against (xGA) of 6.74 suggests they have been somewhat unlucky defensively, the high number of goals conceded remains a significant weakness that Everton will aim to exploit.
The recent head-to-head record suggests a closely contested match. Although Everton has the historical edge over 61 meetings, the last five encounters have been even, with Ipswich winning two, Everton winning one, and two draws.
The most recent clash was a 2-2 stalemate, which aligns with both teams' current offensive potential and defensive issues. This matchup projects as a battle between Everton's structured approach and Ipswich's high-intensity, counter-attacking style, making for an unpredictable and potentially high-scoring affair.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Everton vs Ipswich picks.
