2020 U.S. Open Updated Odds and Market Insights: Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas and Phil Mickelson Getting Plenty of Support
Gregory Shamus, Getty Images.
The betting market for the 2020 U.S. Open is starting to become clearer by the minute and, believe it or not, Tiger Woods is not going to be the most popular bet on the board at Winged Foot.
Despite the tempting 45-1 odds on Tiger at DraftKings, it seems that bettors don’t trust The Big Cat’s form heading into what should be a challenging weekend in New York. Things could change as more and more money comes into the market, but right now it looks like Tiger will only be the fifth or sixth most popular outright bet at the U.S. Open, while FantasyLabs projects Woods’ ownership to be around 5-8% in DFS this weekend.
So if not Tiger, then who?
Despite having the shortest odds in the field at +850 ($10 bet wins $85), Dustin Johnson is currently the most popular play at DraftKings. The World No. 1 accounts for 9% of the total handle and 6% of the total bets in the outright market.
Johnson is one of two golfers, along with Jon Rahm (+900), with single-digit odds at Winged Foot. Rahm is also getting a considerable amount of support in the market, accounting for 6% of DK’s total handle and 4% of their total bets.
The second-most popular bet in terms of both handle and total bets is the third-choice, Justin Thomas, who sits at +1400 on Wednesday afternoon.
Johnson, Thomas and Rahm are joined by a few of the other favorites like Collin Morikawa (+1800), Xander Schauffele (+1500) and Rory McIlroy (+1700) in the betting popularity contest.
The only real longshot at the top of the list is Phil Mickelson (+9000), who not only accounts for 4% of the total bets at DraftKings but also 7% of the total handle. Needless to say that a Mickelson upset at Winged Foot would be bad news for bookmakers across the country.
Here are the most popular outright bets, in terms of both handle and number of tickets at DraftKings:
|Player||% Handle||% Bets|
|Dustin Johnson (+850)||9%||6%|
|Justin Thomas (+1400)||8%||6%|
|Phil Mickelson (+9000)||7%||4%|
|Xander Schauffele (+1500)||6%||5%|
|Jon Rahm (+900)||6%||4%|
|Collin Morikawa (+1800)||5%||5%|
|Rory McIlroy (+1700)||4%||3%|
|Tiger Woods (+4500)||4%||4%|
|Bryson Dechambeau (+2500)||4%||3%|
|Tony Finau (+3300)||4%||3%|
|Daniel Berger (+3300)||3%||3%|
|Matthew Wolff (+8000)||3%||3%|
|Webb Simpson (+2800)||3%||3%|
A couple of other notable market insights from DraftKings:
- Thomas Pieters has received some industry buzz as a potential sleeper and that is showing up in the betting market. According to DK, the Big Belgian has taken the most money in any matchup bet on the board. Pieters is currently -134 over Mike Lorenzo-Vera and is all the way out at +22500 to win the U.S. Open.
- The two most popular First-Round Leader bets in terms of tickets are Tony Finau (+4500) and Brendon Todd (+7000). Finau is always a popular bet across all markets in these big events but it may surprise some casual bettors to see Todd’s name at the top of this list. More seasoned golf punters would point out that “The ToddFather” is a card-carrying member of the Thursday Club on the PGA TOUR. Nobody loves a hot start like Todd lately.
- If you ever wanted to see how public perception can influence the betting market, look no further than Patrick Reed. Reed is expected to be one of the most chalky DFS plays according to FantasyLabs’ projected ownership tool, but is not getting that same kind of support in the betting market.
Updated 2020 U.S. Open Odds
|Si Woo Kim||+15000|
|Byeong Hun An||+16000|
|Charles Howell III||+16000|
|Erik van Rooyen||+16000|