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2021 PGA Championship First Round Leader Odds & Bets: Market Counting on Sergio Garcia

2021 PGA Championship First Round Leader Odds & Bets: Market Counting on Sergio Garcia article feature image

Ben Jared/PGA TOUR via Getty Images. Pictured: Sergio Garcia.

Sergio Garcia has strung together some strong first-round performances in recent tournaments, and bettors are hoping he does it again at this week’s PGA Championship at Kiawah Island.

Garcia opened the Byron Nelson with a 7-under round, falling just short of Jordan Spieth and JJ Spaun at 9-under for the opening round leader. He held the first-round lead on his own at THE PLAYERS in March. With odds north of 60-1, he’s one of the biggest liabilities at BetMGM.

According to data released by BetMGM, Garcia has taken more bets to be the opening round leader than any other golfer with 4.5% of all bets, ahead of Spieth and Keegan Bradley, who are each receiving 2.8% of bets.

First-round leader bets are fun, single-round wagers that often give players with worse odds a better chance. Bettors only have to sweat one round rather than four, and it’s oftentimes easier for a lesser player to compete for 18 holes compared to a full 72.

Bettors tend to target those longer odds, which is why someone like Bradley (66-1) is popular.

It’s also a chance to grab the best players at better odds than full-tournament plays. For example, Spieth is attracting the second-most bets at 25-1. But his odds to win the entire tournament are closer to 16-1 depending on the book.

Garcia and Bradley are in the top-three for total dollars taken on first-round leader, but it’s Cam Smith with the largest handle so far. Smith has put together strong performances in majors, notably the Masters. It seems one bad round has derailed his chances in the past, but with odds around 50-1, bettors are firing away.

Rory McIlroy, the consensus favorite to win the whole tournament, is also the favorite to lead after Round 1. However, his odds are almost double (+2200) to lead after the first round than they are to win the entire thing.

Odds to be First Round Leader

Odds via DraftKings 

GolferLeader After R1
Rory McIlroy2200
Jordan Spieth2800
Justin Thomas2800
Bryson DeChambeau3300
Viktor Hovland3300
Dustin Johnson3300
Jon Rahm3300
Xander Schauffele3300
Tony Finau4000
Hideki Matsuyama4000
Collin Morikawa4000
Daniel Berger4500
Patrick Reed4500
Scottie Scheffler4500
Abraham Ancer5000
Patrick Cantlay5000
Paul Casey5000
Brooks Koepka5000
Louis Oosthuizen5000
Webb Simpson5000
Will Zalatoris5000
Matthew Fitzpatrick5500
Cameron Smith5500
Sam Burns6000
Tyrrell Hatton6000
Keegan Bradley6600
Corey Conners6600
Tommy Fleetwood6600
Marc Leishman6600
Joaquin Niemann6600
Sungjae Im6600
Bubba Watson6600
Alexander Noren7000
Justin Rose7000
Stewart Cink8000
Jason Day8000
Harris English8000
Sergio Garcia8000
Emiliano Grillo8000
Brian Harman8000
Billy Horschel8000
Shane Lowry8000
Francesco Molinari8000
Charl Schwartzel8000
Adam Scott8000
Cameron Tringale8000
Matt Wallace8000
Lee Westwood8000
Gary Woodland8000
Lanto Griffin9000
Garrick Higgo9000
Charley Hoffman9000
Jason Kokrak9000
Ryan Palmer9000
Si Woo Kim9000
Kevin Streelman9000
Bernd Wiesberger9000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout10000
Cameron Champ10000
Rickie Fowler10000
Talor Gooch10000
Branden Grace10000
Max Homa10000
Zach Johnson10000
Matt Jones10000
Chris Kirk10000
Matt Kuchar10000
Robert MacIntyre10000
Kevin Na10000
Carlos Ortiz10000
Thomas Pieters10000
Steve Stricker10000
Brendon Todd10000
Joel Dahmen12500
Cameron Davis12500
Thomas Detry12500
Russell Henley12500
Martin Kaymer12500
Kevin Kisner12500
Kyoung-Hoon Lee12500
Denny McCarthy12500
Maverick McNealy12500
Phil Mickelson12500
Sebastian Munoz12500
Victor Perez12500
J.T. Poston12500
Antoine Rozner12500
Brendan Steele12500
Henrik Stenson12500
Harold Varner III12500
Danny Willett12500
Aaron Wise12500
Wyndham Clark12500
Dean Burmester15000
Byeong Hun An15000
John Catlin15000
George Coetzee15000
Dylan Frittelli15000
Adam Hadwin15000
Harry Higgs15000
Mackenzie Hughes15000
Martin Laird15000
Ian Poulter15000
Kalle Samooja15000
Richy Werenski15000
Erik van Rooyen15000
Sam Horsfield17500
Jason Dufner20000
Brian Gay20000
Tom Hoge20000
Rasmus Hojgaard20000
Jazz Janewattananond20000
Takumi Kanaya20000
Tom Lewis20000
Adam Long20000
Peter Malnati20000
Aaron Rai20000
Brandon Stone20000
Robert Streb20000
Padraig Harrington25000
Lucas Herbert25000
Rikuya Hoshino25000
Kurt Kitayama25000
Chez Reavie25000
Andy Sullivan25000
Sami Välimäki25000
Chan Kim30000
Jason Scrivener30000
Hudson Swafford30000
Jimmy Walker30000
Daniel van Tonder30000
John Daly35000
Jim Herman35000
Omar Uresti35000
YE Yang35000
Daniel Balin50000
Peter Ballo50000
Alex Beach50000
Rich Beem50000
Frank Bensel50000
Tyler Collet50000
Ben Cook50000
Mark Geddes50000
Derek Holmes50000
Greg Koch50000
Rob Labritz50000
Brad Marek50000
Shaun Micheel50000
Tim Pearce50000
Ben Polland50000
Patrick Rada50000
Sonny Skinner50000
Stuart Smith50000
Joe Summerhays50000
Brett Walker50000

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