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American Express Golf Betting Odds, Longshot Picks: 3 Dark Horse Bets, Including Phil Mickelson

American Express Golf Betting Odds, Longshot Picks: 3 Dark Horse Bets, Including Phil Mickelson article feature image
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Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images. Pictured: Phil Mickelson

  • The American Express takes place this week at PGA West in California.
  • Jon Rahm and Patrick Cantlay top the odds board, but there's value to be found at a tournament that has seen plenty of underdog winners.
  • Shane McNichol breaks down which golfers he sees value in down on the board below.

Updated American Express Odds

Click for full board via PointsBet.
Player Odds
Jon Rahm +600
Patrick Cantlay +800
Scottie Scheffler +1800
Sungjae Im +2000
Seamus Power +2500
Tony Finau +2500
Abraham Ancer +2800
Corey Conners +2800
Talor Gooch +2800
Matthew Wolff +3300
Russell Henley +3300
Patrick Reed +3500
Cameron Tringale +5000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5000
Justin Rose +5000
Rickie Fowler +5000
Si Woo Kim +5000
Will Zalatoris +6000
Alex Noren +6600
Jhonattan Vegas +6600
Luke List +6600
Adam Hadwin +7000
Carlos Ortiz +7000
Charles Howell III +7000
Michael Thompson +7000
Brian Harman +8000
Russell Knox +8000
Taylor Moore +8000
Jason Day +9000
K.H. Lee +9000
Lucas Glover +9000
Adam Long +10000
Adam Svensson +10000
Andrew Landry +10000
Brendan Steele +10000
Brendon Todd +10000
Cameron Champ +10000
Chez Reavie +10000
Chris Kirk +10000
Denny McCarthy +10000
Doug Ghim +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Harold Varner III +10000
Hayden Buckley +10000
Kevin Streelman +10000
Lanto Griffin +10000
Patrick Rodgers +10000
Phil Mickelson +10000
Sebastian Munoz +10000
Aaron Rai +12500
Alex Smalley +12500
Andrew Putnam +12500
Danny Lee +12500
Emiliano Grillo +12500
Kramer Hickok +12500
Patton Kizzire +12500
Tom Hoge +12500
Troy Merritt +12500
Vincent Whaley +12500
Adam Schenk +15000
Brandt Snedeker +15000
Chad Ramey +15000
C.T. Pan +15000
Davis Riley +15000
Dylan Frittelli +15000
Francesco Molinari +15000
Henrik Norlander +15000
Hudson Swafford +15000
John Huh +15000
Rory Sabbatini +15000
Scott Piercy +15000
Scott Stallings +15000
Taylor Pendrith +15000
Wyndham Clark +15000
Zach Johnson +15000
Dylan Wu +20000
Greyson Sigg +20000
Hank Lebioda +20000
Harry Higgs +20000
Joseph Bramlett +20000
Matthew NeSmith +20000
Nick Hardy +20000
Nick Taylor +20000
Robert Streb +20000
Andrew Novak +25000
Ben Kohles +25000
Brian Stuard +25000
Bronson Burgoon +25000
Cameron Young +25000
Doc Redman +25000
Graeme McDowell +25000
J.J. Spaun +25000
James Hahn +25000
Jason Dufner +25000
JT Poston +25000
Lee Hodges +25000
Max McGreevy +25000
Pat Perez +25000
Peter Uihlein +25000
Roger Sloan +25000
Ryan Moore +25000
Sahith Theegala +25000
Sepp Straka +25000
Tyler Duncan +25000
Tyler McCumber +25000
Wesley Bryan +25000
Anirban Lahiri +30000
Austin Smotherman +30000
Brandon Wu +30000
Brice Garnett +30000
Camilo Villegas +30000
Chan Kim +30000
David Lipsky +30000
Jonathan Byrd +30000
Kevin Chappell +30000
Kevin Tway +30000
Luke Donald +30000
Nate Lashley +30000
Peter Malnati +30000
Richy Werenski +30000
Sam Ryder +30000
Austin Cook +35000
Brandon Hagy +35000
Chesson Hadley +35000
Jim Herman +35000
Justin Lower +35000
Kurt Kitayama +35000
Sung Kang +35000
Trey Mullinax +35000
Brett Drewitt +40000
David Skinns +40000
Jimmy Walker +40000
Michael Gligic +40000
Nick Watney +40000
Paul Barjon +40000
Seth Reeves +40000
Seung-yul Noh +40000
Bill Haas +50000
Brian Gay +50000
Callum Tarren +50000
Chris Stroud +50000
Curtis Thompson +50000
Davis Love III +50000
Dawie van der Walt +50000
James du Preez +50000
Jared Wolfe +50000
John Pak +50000
Jonas Blixt +50000
Joshua Creel +50000
Kelly Kraft +50000
Kyle Mendoza +50000
Mark Wilson +50000
Martin Trainer +50000
Scott Gutschewski +50000
TJ Vogel +50000
Stephen Stallings Jr. +50000

The PGA TOUR returns to the mainland this week after two weeks in Hawaii. While much of the country still shivers through the chills of winter, the TOUR will once again be played under sun and palm trees, this week at The American Express at PGA West outside of Palm Springs.

Handicapping this event is more difficult than most, with three different courses in play throughout the four rounds of tournament play. Finding a player that fits three courses is a tougher task, but with years of data from this venue, we should be able to not just find some strong picks among the favorites, but also a few longshots who could compete this weekend.

The TOUR’s best players are beginning to emerge from their offseason hiatus, making things tougher for typical longshots. World No. 1 Jon Rahm is back in action this week, along with reigning FedEx Cup champion Patrick Cantlay.

Deeper down the board, there are a few names that pop out with the potential to sneak into the winner’s circle by Sunday night.

Bet the American Express and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

Adam Hadwin +6500

After missing seven of 10 cuts to end last season, Hadwin’s game appears to have rounded back into form. He’s begun this PGA TOUR season with five straight made cuts, including a top-10 back at the Shriners. The turnaround has been largely due to his putting, which ranks 29th worldwide over the last three months.

That form could continue this week as the Canadian returns to an event where he has seen heaps of success. In six appearances at the American Express, Hadwin is yet to miss a cut and boasted four straight top-10 finishes from 2016 to 2019.

Though this tournament is played at multiple courses, which can make it hard for a player to be better suited for the event that a single course set-up, Hadwin clearly likes something about this venue. Back in 2019, Hadwin fired a course record 59 in the third round at this event.

He’s worth a flyer this week, with hopes he can re-capture that magic.

Michael Thompson +11000

Whether you prefer finding players currently playing their best or players who have played well at this venue before, Thompson could be your guy.

The newly-bearded TOUR veteran is coming off a top-5 finish this week at the Sony Open. He’s also returning to the site of a top-5 finish last year at the American Express.

After starting his season with six straight made cuts, Thompson has announced himself as a factor in the early PGA TOUR campaign.

His recent strong play has been fueled by a hot short game. Thompson ranks 13th in the world in Strokes Gained: Around the Green over the last three months per DataGolf, a key statistic as the TOUR returns to different grass in the continental United States this week. His ability to adapt will be key.

Bet at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Phil Mickelson +10000

Sure, why not?

Aside from the PGA Championship, most of Lefty’s recent success has come on the Champions Tour, though his weekend at Kiawah proved that Mickelson can still catch lightning in a bottle for a four-round tournament. Especially at a venue that suits his eye and his penchant for hitting (and occasionally spraying) his driver, Phil can still be a factor a few times a year against the world’s best.

Mickelson has played well here in the past, with top-three finishes in 2016 and 2019. Those aren’t yesterday, but also aren’t ancient history. Phil’s next level thinking around a golf course where he has already played well is always a leg up on players with less experience.

Even in his fifties, Phil is able to compete on TOUR, making cuts in six of his last nine full-field events.

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