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Updated 2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds & 3 Picks for Keith Mitchell, Maverick McNealy, More

Updated 2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds & 3 Picks for Keith Mitchell, Maverick McNealy, More article feature image
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Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. Pictured: Keith Mitchell plays a shot from a bunker

  • The PGA TOUR moves to Bay Hill for this week's Arnold Palmer Invitational.
  • With Jon Rahm installed as the betting favorite, there's value for bettors a little further down on the odds board.
  • Joshua Perry breaks down his bets for this week below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds via Caesars

2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds

Golfer Odds
Jon Rahm +850
Rory McIlroy +1200
Viktor Hovland +1600
Scottie Scheffler +1800
Hideki Matsuyama +2500
Sungjae Im +2600
Will Zalatoris +2800
Matt Fitzpatrick +3000
Marc Leishman +3000
Paul Casey +3300
Keith Mitchell +3300
Tyrrell Hatton +3500
Adam Scott +3500
Jason Kokrak +4000
Billy Horschel +4000
Sam Burns +4000
Max Homa +4000
Justin Rose +4500
Sergio Garcia +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +5000
Talor Gooch +5000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5000
Gary Woodland +5000
Maverick McNealy +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Jason Day +5500
Cameron Tringale +5500
Keegan Bradley +6000
Corey Conners +6000
Chris Kirk +6600
Luke List +6600
Cameron Young +6600
Seamus Power +6600
Erik van Rooyen +7000
Lanto Griffin +7000
Tom Hoge +8000
Carlos Ortiz +8000
Kevin Na +8000
Thomas Pieters +8000
Si Woo Kim +8000
Sebastian Munoz +8000
Sepp Straka +8000
Ian Poulter +10000
Lucas Glover +10000
Patrick Reed +10000
Matthew Wolff +10000
Kevin Kisner +10000
Sahith Theegala +10000
Lee Westwood +10000
K.H. Lee +10000
Matt Jones +10000
Troy Merritt +12500
Sam Ryder +12500
Danny Willett +12500
Kevin Streelman +12500
Andrew Putnam +12500
Rickie Fowler +12500
Denny McCarthy +12500
Brendon Todd +12500
Taylor Moore +12500
Garrick Higgo +12500
Martin Laird +12500
Aaron Wise +12500
Adam Svensson +12500
Aaron Rai +15000
J.J. Spaun +15000
Takumi Kanaya +15000
Taylor Pendrith +15000
Chez Reavie +15000
Lee Hodges +15000
Cam Davis +15000
Patton Kizzire +15000
Dylan Frittelli +15000
Patrick Rodgers +15000
Lucas Herbert +15000
Charles Howell +15000
Alex Smalley +15000
Nicolai Hojgaard +15000
Nick Taylor +15000
Beau Hossler +15000
Pat Perez +17500
Danny Lee +20000
Brendan Steele +20000
Hudson Swafford +20000
Cameron Champ +20000
Sean O’Hair +20000
Doug Ghim +20000
Min Woo Lee +20000
Michael Thompson +20000
Henrik Stenson +20000
Zach Johnson +20000
Matt Wallace +20000
Branden Grace +20000
Scott Stallings +20000
Brandt Snedeker +20000
Greyson Sigg +25000
Vincent Whaley +25000
Rory Sabbatini +25000
Trey Mullinax +25000
Padraig Harrington +25000
Stephan Jaeger +25000
Hayden Buckley +25000
Davis Riley +25000
Graeme McDowell +30000
Nick Watney +30000
Peter Malnati +30000
Adam Long +30000
Henrik Norlander +30000
Charl Schwartzel +30000
Scott Piercy +30000
Adam Schenk +30000
Kevin Tway +40000
Davis Thompson +40000
Jonathan Byrd +50000
James Piot +50000
John Pak +50000
Anirban Lahiri +50000
Sam Bennett +50000
Paul Barjon +50000
Greg Koch +100000

There wasn’t much to show for the Honda Classic. Chris Kirk flirted with the top of the leaderboard most of the week, but it never really felt like he was in contention. Then a late triple ended up costing him the top five by a stroke.

With the next stop on the Florida swing, we head to Bay Hill and the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

The Course

Bay Hill is the longest track we will see during the Florida swing, measuring just over 7,400 yards for a par 72. With the added length and extra par 5s, this course plays to the strengths of the bombers a little bit more than most Florida courses. There is water in play on about half of the holes, so accuracy will matter as well. Bay Hill can play pretty tough if the wind blows, but there are a lot of birdies available if you can stay out of trouble.

Past champions Jason Day and Rory McIlroy finished just short of 20-under par in more benign conditions, but scores around 10-under can get the job done if the wind picks up. Last year’s champion, Bryson DeChambeau, lifted the trophy with a score of 11-under par.

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The Favorites

Jon Rahm will make his debut at the API this week and opens as the betting favorite at around +800. Like just about every course it seems, Bay Hill should suit him nicely if he can avoid the water.

Rory McIlroy is up next at +1200 and this has been one of the better spots for him. He’s finished inside the top 10 each of the last five years, including a win in 2018.

Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland are right behind at +1600 and +1800, respectively. Hovland’s results have been mediocre at Bay Hill. He’s made the cut all three times, but never finished better than 40th. Scheffler was 15th here two years ago and backed up his win in Phoenix with a seventh at Riviera, so I’d expect him to keep up his strong play.

Hideki Matsuyama closes out this range at +2500. He’s usually going to make the weekend here, but hasn’t really been much of a factor after that. He’s made the cut seven straight times, but finished inside the top 15 just once.

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The Mid-Tier

We’ll open up the card here with Keith Mitchell at +4500 on PointsBet. Mitchell has been in a good run of form with four top-15 finishes in his last five starts. Bay Hill has also been a good spot for him, finishing fifth in 2020 and sixth in 2019. This was the spot I’ve had down for him on the outright card since his return to form.

I’m also going with Maverick McNealy at +6600 on bet365. He’s coming off a good week at Riviera where he placed seventh. He relied a lot on his short game that week, but he’s usually a good ball striker and is long off the tee so I could see him having a good result here.

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The Longshots

This hasn’t been much of a longshot course. Outside of when Matt Every defended his title in 2015, triple-digit winners have been few and far between at Bay Hill.

I will take one shot here though with Beau Hossler at 200/1 on PointsBet. Hossler was 16th at the Honda Classic last week and also finished third earlier in the year at Pebble Beach. He’s played decent here as well, making the cut three times, highlighted by a T-24th finish in 2020. He’s at least worth a top-20 type play this week.

It’s a bit of a light card with the Puerto Rico Open also on tap for this week.

The Arnold Palmer Invitational Card

  • Keith Mitchell +5000 (.66 units)
  • Maverick McNealy +6600 (.5 units)
  • Beau Hossler +20000 (.17 units)

Total Stake: 1.33 units

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