2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds & Picks: Ian Poulter, Lanto Griffin Among 3 Longshots To Target

2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds & Picks: Ian Poulter, Lanto Griffin Among 3 Longshots To Target article feature image

Sam Greenwood/Getty Images. Pictured: Ian Poulter.

  • The PGA TOUR moves north in Florida to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
  • Longshots winning have been a common theme on TOUR so far in 2022.
  • Shane McNichol breaks down which three he sees value in this week.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds via PointsBet

2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds

Jon Rahm+800
Rory McIlroy+1200
Scottie Scheffler+1600
Viktor Hovland+1600
Im Sung-jae+2200
Hideki Matsuyama+2500
Matthew Fitzpatrick+2500
Will Zalatoris+2800
Tyrrell Hatton+3000
Adam Scott+3500
Marc Leishman+3500
Paul Casey+4000
Sam Burns+4000
Jason Kokrak+4500
Keith Mitchell+4500
Max Homa+4500
Billy Horschel+5000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+5000
Russell Henley+5000
Seamus Power+5000
Sergio Garcia+5000
Talor Gooch+5000
Corey Conners+5500
Justin Rose+5500
Maverick McNealy+5500
Gary Woodland+6000
Luke List+6000
Tommy Fleetwood+6600
Cameron Tringale+6600
Cameron Young+6600
Chris Kirk+6600
Jason Day+6600
Kevin Na+6600
Tom Hoge+6600
Lanto Griffin+7000
Erik Van Rooyen+8000
Sebastian Munoz+8000
Sepp Straka+8000
Thomas Pieters+8000
Keegan Bradley+9000
Ian Poulter+10000
Kevin Kisner+10000
Lee Westwood+10000
Matthew Wolff+10000
Patrick Reed+10000
Si Woo Kim+10000
Aaron Wise+12500
Andrew D. Putnam+12500
Brendon Todd+12500
Carlos Ortiz+12500
Denny McCarthy+12500
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+12500
Lucas Glover+12500
Martin Laird+12500
Matt Jones+12500
Rickie Fowler+12500
Sahith Theegala+12500
Troy Merritt+12500
Aaron Rai+15000
Adam Svensson+15000
Cameron Davis+15000
Charles Howell III+15000
Chez Reavie+15000
Dylan Frittelli+15000
Garrick Higgo+15000
Kevin Streelman+15000
Lee Hodges+15000
Nick Taylor+15000
Patrick Rodgers+15000
Patton Kizzire+15000
Sam Ryder+15000
Takumi Kanaya+15000
Taylor Moore+15000
Nicolai Højgaard+15000
Alex Smalley+20000
Beau Hossler+20000
Brendan Steele+20000
Cameron Champ+20000
Danny Willett+20000
Doug Ghim+20000
Henrik Stenson+20000
Hudson Swafford+20000
J. J. Spaun+20000
Lucas Herbert+20000
Matt Wallace+20000
Min Woo Lee+20000
Pat Perez+20000
Taylor Pendrith+20000
Zach Johnson+20000
Branden Grace+25000
Brandt Snedeker+25000
Danny Lee+25000
Davis Riley+25000
Greyson Sigg+25000
Michael Thompson+25000
Padraig Harrington+25000
Rory Sabbatini+25000
Sean O'Hair+25000
Adam Long+30000
Charl Schwartzel+30000
Hayden Buckley+30000
Peter Malnati+30000
Scott Stallings+30000
Stephan Jaeger+30000
Trey Mullinax+30000
Vincent Whaley+30000
Scott Piercy+30000
Graeme McDowell+35000
Henrik Norlander+35000
Adam Schenk+40000
Kevin Tway+40000
Nick Watney+40000
Anirban Lahiri+50000
Davis Thompson+50000
Greg Koch+50000
James Piot+50000
John Pak+50000
Jonathan Byrd+50000
Paul Barjon+50000

Last week's Honda Classic was a paradise for longshot hunters.

Sepp Straka topped the leaderboard after starting the week at +10000 to win. The top 10 featured a host of other players who began the week with odds of +5000 or higher, including Chris Kirk, Kurt Kitayama, Brian Stuard and John Huh. For bettors who troll for value in the back-half of the board, it was an unpredictable, but potentially lucrative week.

As the PGA Tour turns to the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill, this week looks more precarious for a potential dark horse winner. Many of the world's best are back in action, including Jon Rahm and past champion Rory McIlroy.

While that likely lowers our chances of seeing an unlikely winner, it does push the odds of some very talented golfers into a more enticing range for flyer bets. Sam Burns, the 16th-ranked player in the world, is available as high as +5000 to win. Other players in the world's top 50 can be had for even longer odds.

In looking for a longshot, that moves our eyes much further down the board than in most weeks. These three players, all offered at +8000 or higher as of writing, will have a chance to compete at Bay Hill on Sunday.

Bet API at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Lanto Griffin +8000

Very quietly, Lanto Griffin has been playing some excellent golf in 2022. Since flipping the calendar to start January, the 33-year-old American has played four tournaments and finished in the top 40 in each of them.

Griffin peaked with a tie for third last month at the American Express. Over the past three months, he ranks 20th in the world in True Strokes Gained, per DataGolf. Though his putting has been fine, if you remove the most high-variance piece of the strokes gained puzzle and just look from tee to green, Griffin has been the 13th best golfer in the world over the last 90 days.

He returns to Bay Hill for just the third time in his career, though he has played well at this venue in his previous appearances. Last year, he finished T21, dragged down by a final round 77. In his first trip to Bay Hill, Griffin made the cut and finished T36.

I expect him to carry his current strong play into this event and have a chance to compete on the weekend.

Ian Poulter +10000

It's been nearly three years since Ian Poulter won a professional golf tournament. Now that he's entering the later stages of his career, that likely feels like a lifetime ago.

If he's going to find his way back into contention for a win, a familiar venue might help. Poulter certainly has that here at Bay Hill, with 56 career rounds under his belt at this event.

Some of his advanced numbers don't jump out at Bay Hill, largely because they are dragged down by some early failures at the course. In his first five trips to Bay Hill, Poulter made the cut only once and finished T48.

Since 2011, however, Poulter has made 11 consecutive cuts at this event. In seven of those 11 outings, Poulter finished T26 or better. He might not have the length to compete on every course on Tour, but Poulter is able to make up that gap at a place like Bay Hill with some course knowledge and a hot putter.

Bet API at Caesars and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

Matt Wallace +25000

We'll keep our minds across the pond and highlight another Englishman.

Wallace has been hot and cold over the last few years, but there's a chance Bay Hill can reignite his game. He's missed each of his last two cuts, yet that was the exact same situation he faced last season entering this event. He still managed a T18, his first of five top-20 finishes in a span of seven starts.

Wallace's game limped in to the end of 2021, but has shown some signs of life in the 2022 season. He finished T14 at the Shriners Children's Open and T4 at the ZOZO Championship.

Wallace clearly eyes Bay Hill as one of his favorite stops on the calendar. He's played the event three times and never finished lower than T24. Paying at +25000, I like his chances to earn his first career PGA Tour win.

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