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2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds: Justin Rose & Kevin Kisner Among 5 Outright Picks

2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds: Justin Rose & Kevin Kisner Among 5 Outright Picks article feature image
Credit:

Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images. PIctured: Justin Rose

Click here for AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am odds via PointsBet
Player Odds
Patrick Cantlay +550
Jordan Spieth +1600
Jason Day +2000
Justin Rose +2000
Maverick McNealy +2000
Seamus Power +2200
Cameron Tringale +2800
Matthew Fitzpatrick +3000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +4000
Lanto Griffin +4000
Ryan Palmer +4000
Brian Harman +5000
Denny McCarthy +5000
Kevin Kisner +5000
Mackenzie Hughes +5000
Mito Guillermo Pereira +5000
Kevin Streelman +6000
Matt Jones +6000
Matt Kuchar +6000
Michael Thompson +6000
Russell Knox +6000
Tom Hoge +6000
Aaron Rai +6600
Lucas Glover +6600
Min Woo Lee +6600
Andrew D. Putnam +7000
Charley Hoffman +7000
Brandt Snedeker +8000
Chez Reavie +8000
Chris Kirk +8000
Joel Dahmen +8000
Keith Mitchell +8000
Pat Perez +8000
Taylor Moore +8000
Dean Burmester +9000
Greyson Sigg +9000
Nick Taylor +9000
Patrick Rodgers +9000
Sahith Theegala +9000
Troy Merritt +9000
Adam Hadwin +10000
Alex Smalley +10000
Brandon Harkins +10000
Brendon Todd +10000
Cameron Champ +10000
Joseph Bramlett +10000
Matthew NeSmith +10000
Scott Stallings +10000
Stewart Cink +10000
Taylor Pendrith +10000
Adam Svensson +12500
Charl Schwartzel +12500
Davis Riley +12500
Dylan Frittelli +12500
Matthias Schwab +12500
Vincent Whaley +12500
Wyndham Clark +12500
Chad Ramey +15000
David Lipsky +15000
Doc Redman +15000
Hayden Buckley +15000
J. J. Spaun +15000
Kyle Stanley +15000
Peter Malnati +15000
Satoshi Kodaira +15000
Scott Piercy +15000
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Austin Eckroat +20000
Austin Smotherman +20000
Bo Hoag +20000
Camilo Villegas +20000
Kevin Chappell +20000
Kevin Tway +20000
Lee Hodges +20000
Mark Hubbard +20000
Nate Lashley +20000
Nick Hardy +20000
Peter Uihlein +20000
Ryan Armour +20000
Ryan Moore +20000
Trey Mullinax +20000
Aaron Baddeley +25000
Andrew Novak +25000
Beau Hossler +25000
Brandon Hagy +25000
Brandon Wu +25000
Brian Gay +25000
Brian Stuard +25000
Bronson Burgoon +25000
Dylan Wu +25000
Jimmy Walker +25000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +25000
Paul Barjon +25000
Tyler McCumber +25000
Vaughn Taylor +25000
Bill Haas +30000
Brice Garnett +30000
Cameron Percy +30000
Chan Kim +30000
Chase Seiffert +30000
Chesson Hadley +30000
Kurt Kitayama +30000
Luke Donald +30000
Scott Brown +30000
Ted Potter Jr +30000
Tyler Duncan +30000
Andrew Landry +30000
Ben Kohles +35000
John Murphy +35000
Sean O’Hair +35000
Sung Kang +35000
Alex Cejka +40000
Austin Cook +40000
Grayson Murray +40000
Jared Wolfe +40000
Jonathan Byrd +40000
Martin Trainer +40000
Max McGreevy +40000
Nick Watney +40000
Greg Chalmers +40000
Ben Crane +50000
Bo Van Pelt +50000
Brad Marek +50000
Brett Drewitt +50000
Callum Tarren +50000
Chris Stroud +50000
Curtis Thompson +50000
Darren Andrew Points +50000
David Hearn +50000
David Skinns +50000
Davis Love III +50000
Dawie Van Der Walt +50000
Jim Knous +50000
John Merrick +50000
John Senden +50000
Johnson Wagner +50000
Jonas Blixt +50000
Joshua Creel +50000
Justin Lower +50000
Kelly Kraft +50000
Mark Baldwin +50000
Michael Gligic +50000
Peter Jacobsen +50000
Richy Werenski +50000
Ricky Barnes +50000
Robert Garrigus +50000
Ryuji Imada +50000
Sang-Moon Bae +50000
Scott Gutschewski +50000
Seth Reeves +50000
Seung-yul Noh +50000
Tom Lehman +50000
D.J. Trahan +50000
Richard S. Johnson +50000
Tommy Gainey +50000

We came close at Torrey Pines. Will Zalatoris gave us a chance, but in the end, it was a playoff loss to Luke List.

Now we move on to Pebble Beach for the AT&T Pro-Am. With this one, we tend to see one of the favorites take it down, or we get someone from out of nowhere.

The Courses

Monterey Peninsula returns after a one-year hiatus to join Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill. Each course will be used once over the first three rounds, followed by the final round at Pebble.

Scoring here is usually pretty easy, but the wind can make it tricky if it picks up. Monterrey usually plays the easiest of the three, but if the wind picks up, the par-72 Spyglass Hill has more trees that protect it and becomes much more playable than Pebble.

All the courses measure around 7,000 yards and play as some of the shortest on TOUR.

It’s one of the few events where length off the tee isn’t really a big factor. It usually comes down to a good iron player who can handle putting on bumpy and fast poa annua greens.

It tends to be an event where a star is dialed in and takes it down, or we get someone to pull off a massive surprise. The last 10 events were all won by a player under +3000 or over +15000.

The Favorites

Patrick Cantlay opens at the top of the board between +700 and +800 depending on where you look. He’s had a spotty record here in the past but was third a year ago.

The defending champ Daniel Berger is next in line at +1200. This has been a good fit for Berger who has never finished outside the top 10 in three starts.

The familiar names of Jordan Spieth, Justin Rose and Jason Day headline the +2000s range. Day and Rose are fresh off a solid week at Torrey Pines, while Spieth has played great here for almost a decade. He’s finished inside the top 25 in eight of his nine starts, including the win back in 2017. Day has been even better than Spieth, but he is missing that victory. He’s placed 11th or better in eight of the last nine years.

Bet Justin Rose at Caesars and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

But my play is actually going to be Rose here at +2800 on Caesars. Rose doesn’t play here much but was sixth in 2016 and placed third in the 2019 U.S. Open. Rose has stalled out over the last year or so because the driver just isn’t as good as it used to be. But this course doesn’t require much in that area, and with the irons and putter in good shape following Torrey, he’s worth a look here.

The Mid-Tier

I’ll start here with Kevin Kisner at +5000 on BetMGM. Kisner had two top 10s in Hawaii where his approach and putting game were dialed in. He’s played better in recent years here, making three of his last four cuts. He finished 10th in 2017 and lost three strokes putting during his two rounds at Pebble. If the irons and putter can line up again like they did for two weeks in Hawaii, he can finish near the top of this leaderboard.

Bet Kisner and Kuchar at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Next I’m going to take a chance with Matt Kuchar at +6600 on BetMGM. Kuchar showed up cold to Sony, gained strokes in every category, finished seventh and hasn’t been seen since. But when distance isn’t a factor, Kuchar can compete, so at that number, I’ll take a chance with him. His record here is spotty, and it’s been more than 10 years since his last top 10. But a 16th at the 2019 U.S. Open on Pebble is good enough for a recent result to get me to buy in.

I’ll also go with Aaron Rai at +9000 on bet365. I imagine he’ll be popular after the solid week at Torrey Pines, but this event should be a much better fit. His wins in Europe have all come on shorter courses. He’s been riding some good form for a while now, finishing 2021 with three top 20s. Prior to that, he probably should have won the Korn Ferry playoff event in Boise.

Bet on Aaron Rai and get $500 in bet credits. NJ only.

The Longshots

This is a course where we can take a few chances, so my final play will be Pat Perez at +11000 on Bet365. He was sixth last week where he gained a little over 10 strokes between approach and putting at Torrey Pines. That’s the recipe for success here. He’s shown he can play well here by making six of his last eight cuts with three top 15 finishes.

The Pebble Beach Card

  • Justin Rose +2800 (1.18 units)
  • Kevin Kisner +5000 (.66 units)
  • Matt Kuchar +6600 (.5 units)
  • Aaron Rai +9000 (.37 units)
  • Pat Perez +11000 (.3 units)

Total Stake: 3.01 units

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