2022 Sony Open Betting Preview: Odds & 5 Picks, Highlighted by Kevin Kisner & Seamus Power

2022 Sony Open Betting Preview: Odds & 5 Picks, Highlighted by Kevin Kisner & Seamus Power article feature image

Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Kevin Kisner

  • The PGA TOUR gets its first full-field event of the season in at the Sony Open this week.
  • Waialae Country Club will be a tougher test than players had last week in Maui, where Cameron Smith won at 34-under.
  • Joshua Perry breaks down his betting card for Honolulu below.
Click for full Sony Open odds as of Tuesday night via PointsBet.
Cameron Smith+900
Webb Simpson+1400
Sungjae Im+1600
Hideki Matsuyama+1700
Corey Conners+2000
Marc Leishman+2000
Abraham Ancer+2500
Kevin Na+2800
Talor Gooch+2800
Russell Henley+3000
Charles Howell III+3300
Harris English+3300
Kevin Kisner+3300
Billy Horschel+4000
Matt Jones+4000
Maverick McNealy+4000
Seamus Power+4000
Christian Bezuidenhout+5000
Jason Kokrak+5000
Cameron Davis+6000
Chris Kirk+6000
Erik van Rooyen+6000
Joel Dahmen+6000
Si Woo Kim+6000
Brendan Steele+6600
Brian Harman+6600
Brendon Todd+7000
Keith Mitchell+7000
Matt Kuchar+7000
Ryan Palmer+7000
Aaron Rai+8000
Denny McCarthy+8000
Keegan Bradley+8000
K.H. Lee+8000
Stewart Cink+8000
Branden Grace+9000
Patton Kizzire+9000
Tom Hoge+10000
Adam Long+10000
Emiliano Grillo+10000
Takumi Kanaya+10000
Alex Smalley+12500
Brandt Snedeker+12500
Brian Stuard+12500
Harry Higgs+12500
Hayden Buckley+12500
Henrik Norlander+12500
Robert Streb+12500
Rory Sabbatini+12500
Russell Knox+12500
Taylor Pendrith+12500
Zach Johnson+12500
Adam Schenk+15000
Chad Ramey+15000
Graeme McDowell+15000
Greyson Sigg+15000
Hank Lebioda+15000
Hudson Swafford+15000
J.J. Spaun+15000
John Huh+15000
Kramer Hickok+15000
Lucas Glover+15000
Mark Hubbard+15000
Max McGreevy+15000
Michael Thompson+15000
Nick Hardy+15000
Stephan Jaeger+15000
Tyler Duncan+15000
Vincent Whaley+15000
Andrew D. Putnam+17500
Adam Svensson+20000
Brandon Wu+20000
Cameron Young+20000
Chan Kim+20000
Davis Riley+20000
Jim Furyk+20000
Keita Nakajima+20000
Kyle Stanley+20000
Nate Lashley+20000
Peter Malnati+20000
Rikuya Hoshino+20000
Roger Sloan+20000
Ryan Moore+20000
Sahith Theegala+20000
Sung Kang+20000
Andrew Novak+25000
Austin Cook+25000
David Lipsky+25000
David Skinns+25000
Dawie van der Walt+25000
Dylan Wu+25000
Jim Herman+25000
Jimmy Walker+25000
JT Poston+25000
Kevin Tway+25000
Lee Hodges+25000
Sam Ryder+25000
Sepp Straka+25000
Seth Reeves+25000
Ryan Armour+25000
Chase Seiffert+25000
Camilo Villegas+25000
Cameron Percy+25000
Beau Hossler+30000
Ben Kohles+30000
Chesson Hadley+30000
Hao Tong Li+30000
Jim Knous+30000
Joshua Creel+30000
Justin Lower+30000
Kurt Kitayama+30000
Satoshi Kodaira+30000
Trey Mullinax+30000
Wesley Bryan+30000
Vaughn Taylor+30000
Austin Smotherman+35000
Brian Gay+35000
Curtis Thompson+35000
Jerry Kelly+35000
Joseph Bramlett+35000
Luke Donald+35000
Richy Werenski+35000
Scott Gutschewski+35000
Bill Haas+40000
Brett Drewitt+40000
Callum Tarren+40000
Kelly Kraft+40000
Kevin Chappell+40000
Michael Gligic+40000
Paul Barjon+40000
William McGirt+40000
Garret Okamura+50000
Jared Wolfe+50000
Kevin Carll+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Parker McLachlin+50000
Peter Jung+50000
Brent Grant+50000
Bo Hoag+50000
BJ Doucett+50000
Jared Sawada+50000
Koichiro Ishika+50000
Andy Ogletree+50000
Bo Van Pelt+50000

Kapalua was left defenseless in the 2022 PGA Tour opener and the players took full advantage.

It's not too often your three bets will shoot a combined 59-under par and not scare cashing a ticket, but that's where we were last week with Cameron Smith setting a new scoring record at 34-under par.

Now on to the Sony Open, where most people are aware of the angle this week. The winner will usually come from the group who just finished up at the Sentry Tournament of Champions.

Whether those four rounds help them get back into rhythm or they just happen to be better than the rest of the field because they're coming off a win in the season prior, they definitely have a edge here.

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The Course

Length off the tee doesn’t play too much of a factor at Waialae Country Club, which measures just over 7,000 yards for a par 70. We’ve had shorter, inaccurate drivers like Smith, Patton Kizzire and Fabian Gomez come out on top in recent years. It’s really a second-shot golf course where a player who can get hot putting on Bermuda greens will come out on top.

It’s a vastly different course than Kapalua, which is more of a bomber’s paradise and favors strength from tee to green. Because of that, you shouldn’t just look at players who finished strong last week.

We saw that with a player like Kevin Na last year. He closed with a 79 and isn't really the best fit for Kapalua, but shaking off that competitive rust is important for this week heading to a course that better suits his style of play.

It tends to play pretty easy by TOUR standards unless the wind picks up. In five of the last six years, the winner needed to reach at least 20-under.

Bet the Sony Open at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

The Favorites

Smith opens at the top of the odds at +1100 fresh off the victory last week. Couple that with a win here in 2020 and it's easy to see why he's getting respect from the books this week.

Webb Simpson and Sungjae Im are next in line at +1600 after the withdraw of Bryson DeChambeau. Simpson is a strong fit here as well despite not playing last week and Im will likely be a popular selection in this range after a solid eighth-place finish last week where he gained strokes across the board.

Hideki Matsuyama would be where I'd look that if you want to back a favorite at +1800. He was fifth in approach last week and the other four players ahead of him aren't in the field this week. He wasn't as good of the tee as usual and that held him back. But with this course, that isn't as big of a factor.

The Mid-Tier

I'll start my card with Kevin Kisner at +3500 on DraftKings. Kisner played about as well as he can on a course with the length of Kapalua. He really struggled toward the end of 2021 with the approach. But his irons were back to normal last week and heading to a course that should fit his game, he's worth a look at this price.

Bet Kevin Kisner at DraftKings and get a $1,000 sign-up bonus.

We'll also go back to Seamus Power at +5000 on bet365. Power was on the card last week and played well to finish in 15th. He'll be a common selection in this range. He's backed up a hot summer with a good start to the 2021-22 season with four top 15s in his last five starts.

Bet Seamus Power and get $500 in bet credits. NJ only.

I'll also play Joel Dahmen at +7500 on FanDuel. The ball striking was solid last week, but he lost a little more than five strokes with the short game. He's another player who has been riding consistent form of late, missing just one cut since the start of June.

Bet Joel Dahmen at FanDuel and get a $1,000 risk-free bet.

The Longshots

We'll open with Stewart Cink here at 100-1 on bet365. Cink finished 19th a year ago here after playing the TOC. This time, he played much better at the TOC, finishing 21st compared to 31st and had a strong ball-striking week. The putter let him down, but he's usually above-average on Bermuda with that club, so he could be primed to bounce back this week.

I'll finish up here with Branden Grace at 110/1 on bet365. Grace had a bad third round where he lost almost five strokes with the approach that threw off his numbers for the week. But he led the field with the irons in the opening and bounced back Sunday with a strong ball striking day to close out the event. At the price, I'll take a look here at a guy who has his other two PGA Tour wins on coastal tracks.

Bet on Cink and Grace, get $500 in bet credits.

The Sony Card

  • Kevin Kisner +3500 (.94 units)
  • Seamus Power +5000 (.66 units)
  • Joel Dahmen +7500 (.44 units)
  • Stewart Cink +10000 (.33 units)
  • Branden Grace +11000 (.3 units)

Total Stake: 2.67 units

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