2023 the Memorial Tournament Updated Odds & Expert Picks: Bet Hideki Matsuyama, Shane Lowry & Si Woo Kim at Muirfield Village
Via Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images. Pictured: Hideki Matsuyama of Japan looks on after hitting his shot from the fourth tee during the final round of the 2023 PGA Championship at Oak Hill Country Club on May 21, 2023 in Rochester, New York.
Click arrow to expand the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday odds via bet365
|Si Woo Kim||+5500|
With the PGA Championship and the Charles Schwab Challenge in the rearview mirror and the U.S. Open on the horizon, the PGA Tour features another elevated event this week with the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday.
Muirfield Village Golf Club has been the host of the Memorial since 1976. It plays fairly long, clocking in at just over 7,500 yards for a par-72.
The length may make people think distance will trump all, but the rough and water hazards still make precision off the tee important. Success has typically come from players with strong all-around games like Patrick Cantlay. Justin Rose and Hideki Matsuyama have also put together strong track records here.
Those guys are all solid off the tee, but I wouldn’t really classify them as bombers. Even Matt Kuchar has figured out how to plot his way to a win and a handful of top-five finishes at Muirfield Village.
Distance helps as always. but not at the expense of accuracy, and players usually need to find a happy medium between the two.
Scottie Scheffler sits atop the board here at +600 with his game in perfect shape and as an excellent fit for what is required this week. He's long and accurate off the tee, the approach game is dialed in and he's great around the greens. The putter is the only concern with him, but this is a course where the greens are challenging anyway.
Jon Rahm is right behind at +700 and already has a win here (and he would have two if not for the Covid WD in 2021 when he was leading by six strokes after 54 holes). These two at the top will definitely make it even more challenging down the board than it already is.
If that wasn't enough, we have two-time winner Patrick Cantlay at +1000 (albeit one of those wins was the Rahm WD), but he's shown that this is one of his best courses — if not the best — on tour.
Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele and Viktor Hovland all come in at that next range between +1200 and +1800. McIlroy has some decent results here, but his last top five was back in 2016. Schauffele has been his usual consistent self with four straight top 20s but no top 10s in that span. Hovland has yet to play well here at the Memorial, and this is a course where the around-the-green game needs to be in good shape. He's obviously struggled with that aspect in the past, but we'll see if it's improved enough to make a jump here.
The +2000s include Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jason Day, Tyrrell Hatton, Jordan Speith and Cameron Young. Morikawa won on this course during the COVID year at the Workday Charity Open (although it wasn't this event).
I'd look to him more than any other player in this range, although we haven't seen the best golf from the rest of this talented group. No one really has a string of results up to their standards, and with three players ahead of them who clearly like this course, it's tough to bet any of them when it appears they may not be at their best.
I'll take a couple shots down here and hope that Scheffler and/or Rahm don't run away with this thing.
We'll start with Hideki Matsuyama at +4000 at FanDuel. This is where Hideki got his breakthrough win in 2014, and he's also had a few other strong finishes in 2015 and 2019. The course fits well because of the emphasis on a complete ball-striking game. Hideki is also great around the greens, even though he tends to miss more of the 4-footers he creates than most.
I'll follow up with Shane Lowry at +5500. Lowry had a great ball-striking week at the PGA, where he finished 12th, and has a couple top-15 finishes here. Short game has been the concern, with the putter really not cooperating very often of late.
Next up, I'll go with Si Woo Kim at +6600. Si Woo has been accurate with the driver this year and solid with his irons. He's also found a bit more success in recent years at the Memorial with three straight top 20s.
I'm also playing Russell Henley at +7000 as well. This is more of a form play here, as Henley has five top 20s in his last six starts. He hasn't played well here recently, but his skill set should fit, and he did finish sixth once at the Memorial, although it was a decade ago in 2013.
It's tough to dig too deep with the star power here, but I'm going to try Harris English at 125/1. He played well at Colonial until about the final 12 holes, which saw him drop out of the top 10. However, his irons have been in great form during his recent uptick in performance. The results are mixed here, but he has a couple of top 20s on the resume at Muirfield Village as well.