2019 Arkansas Derby Odds, Preview: How to Bet the Final Kentucky Derby Prep Race


Oaklawn Race and Casino.

Apr 13, 2019, 12:31 PM EDT
  • The 2019 Arkansas Derby takes place today at 7 p.m. ET on NBC Sports Network.
  • Improbable is the betting favorite to win the race, but Adam Staple is searching elsewhere for better value.

It’s getting very close.

Kentucky Derby Day is right around the corner and the last day of major prep races take place today, headlined by the Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Ark.

If you’ve been following the races over the last month you may have noticed that nothing has been predictable so far. No matter what happens today, the Derby will be a wide-open affair with the favorite going off around 3-1 or higher. That’s great for bettors looking for value but it will make for a very wide open field.

2019 Arkansas Derby Odds and Picks

  • No. 1 Improbable, 8-5
  • No. 2 Six Shooter, 30-1
  • No. 3 Omaha Beach, 2-1
  • No. 4 Tikhvin Flew, 30-1
  • No. 5 Laughing Fox, 20-1
  • No. 6 Grey Attempt, 8-1
  • No. 7 Galilean, 10-1
  • No. 8 Country House, 12-1
  • No. 9 One Flew South, 50-1
  • No. 10 Jersey Agenda, 30-1
  • No. 11 Long Range Toddy, 5-1

On paper this appears to be a two-horse race.

If you recall from the split divisions of the Rebel Stakes, No. 1 Improbable ran well to just get nipped at the wire by No. 11 Long Range Toddy, who was a longshot on that day.Trainer Bob Baffert will add blinkers and change riders for Improbable, the likely favorite, and Jose Ortiz should make Improbable tough to beat.

In the other division of the Rebel Stakes, No. 3 Omaha Beach outlasted big favorite Game Winner (who just lost by a neck at the Santa Anita Derby last weekend). Omaha Beach seems to be steadily improving in every start and this race is another step up, but he seems ready for what should be a tough race. He’ll be a bit more value than Improbable and given that they’re pretty even on that track, and on paper he’ll be my choice.

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