Cubs vs Reds Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - April 4, 2023

Cubs at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH

Chicago Cubs

66-49

12 - 5

Cincinnati Reds

55-58

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L. Cessa			9.00	1-4
H.Wesneski			4.63	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 66-49	N/A	N/A	N/A
Reds 55-58	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

April 04, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

T.Stephenson o0.5 HR+700

0.2u

Stephenson has a lot of untapped power with his 6’4” 225 frame and I think this is a good time to buy in at this price. He hasn’t been a big fly ball hitter but with a 16.7 launch angle on the young season I think he is trying to put a bit more lift on the ball and the home runs will eventually come. Wesneski has allowed a fairly high fly ball rate (41.4%) in limited MLB action. Projecting this closer to +420 so I love the price we are getting here

CIN +118

0.5u

L.Cessa u5.5 Hits Allowed-115

DK: Cessa only threw 6 innings in spring and 2 at the WBC. The Reds had him throw 5 innings in an exhibition game last week due to worries about his lack of usage heading into the season. They could limit him to 4-5 innings today and he isn’t a lock to stay in the rotation. He’s allowed a .277 BABIP w/ a shift compared to .269 BABIP w/o a shift so the new rules may not impact him much. Projecting this closer to 4.9 with a 61% chance of staying under 5.5

CIN +110

CHC -0.5 (F5)-102

CHC -127 (F5)

0.6u

Best bet incoming

CIN o4.5+110

1.1u

CHC -130 (F5)

CHC -125 (F5)

0.63u

H.Wesneski o4.5 Ks-120

0.25u

CHC -127 (F5)

1.27u

Under 9-107

CHC -125

0.32u

Under 4.5 (F5)+100

0.5u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 32-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 30 of Reds' 59 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	60-53	28-31	32-22	17-18	43-34
Cubs	55-60	25-33	30-27	32-42	23-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	59-52-2	30-28-1	29-24-1	22-12-1	37-39-1
Cubs	61-54	31-27	30-27	39-35	22-18

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	55-58	28-31	27-27	20-15	35-42
Cubs	66-49	34-24	32-25	43-31	22-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	CHC	W 7-6	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	PIT	W 3-1	-	-	-
Apr 1st	PIT	W 6-2	-	-	-
Mar 30th	PIT	L 4-5	-	-	-
Mar 26th	@COL	W 7-5	-	-	-

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Wesneski, P	87	4.2	4	3
RM.Rucker, P	8	0.1	0	0
RA.Alzolay, P	44	2.2	5	2
RB. Boxberger, P	6	0.1	0	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	3-6	3	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-3	2	0
3I.Happ, LF	3-4	2	1
4C.Bellinger, CF	3-5	1	1
5T.Mancini, DH	1-5	2	3
6P.Wisdom, 3B	3-5	2	3
7E. Hosmer, 1B	2-5	0	2
8Y.Gomes, C	0-5	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, RF	1-5	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL. Cessa, P	83	5.1	2	2
RI.Gibaut, P	8	0.2	2	0
RB.Farmer, P	9	0	0	3
LR.Sanmartin, P	13	0	0	1
RJ.Kuhnel, P	37	2	0	3
RF.Cruz, P	19	1	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	2-4	2	0	0
2T.Friedl, CF	2-2	1	1	1
2S.Fairchild, PH	1-1	1	1	2
2S.Fairchild, CF	1-1	1	1	2
3J.Fraley, DH	1-4	0	0	1
4T.Stephenson, C	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Vosler, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
6W. Myers, RF	1-2	0	0	0
7S.Steer, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Newman, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-4	0	0	0