Mets vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2024

Mets at Reds

10:40 pm • Apple TV+

New York Mets

0-0

3 - 2

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 0-0	+1.5-185	o8.5-121	+114
Reds 0-2	-1.5+154	u8.5+100	-135

Friday 10:40 p.m.

April 05, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

CIN -125

$4.00

NYM +106

1.06u

... visitor off 1 run game 1st game of road trip Overall: 384-318-0,55% (ROI:14%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Under 9-115

0.25u

Small at -115

Under 9-110

$9.09

J.Quintana u5.5 Ks+105

0.53u

-172 odds on ballpark pal and 6.57% ev

NYM +107

0.54u

Bet to +105

CIN -122

1.22u

Featured Insight
Mets have won 58% of their games at home since the 2022 season -- tied for sixth best in MLB. Reds have won just 44% of their games at home since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth worst.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the RedsRPs since the 2022 season -- tied for ninth best in MLB. Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% since the 2022 season -- ninth worst in MLB.

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The Reds are just 38-18 (.679) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Jeff McNeil has a miss rate of only 12% on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Hunter Greene has located his fastball up 57% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for 16th highest among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Jeff McNeil had a miss rate of only 14% on elevated fastballs in the 2022 season -- tied for 15th best in MLB-- 87th Percentile. Hunter Greene located his fastball up 55% of the time last season -- tied for 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

49% of Hunter Greene's strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

Hunter Greene has thrown 27 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season -- most among pitchers in MLB -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Reds' 79 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	@PHI	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CIN +158
Apr 2nd	@PHI	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8	PHI +120
Apr 1st	@PHI	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 8	CIN +122
Mar 31st	WSH	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN -175
Mar 30th	WSH	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 10.5	WSH -188

Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
RP
Sanmartin is out with elbow
Out
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	102	5.2	4	1
RD.Smith, P	16	1	1	0
LB.Raley, P	10	0.1	1	0
RA.Ottavino, P	9	1	2	0
RE.Diaz, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	0-2	0	0	1
2P.Alonso, 1B	0-5	0	0	1
3F.Alvarez, C	0-4	0	0	0
4B.Baty, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Taylor, LF	0-3	1	0	0
7J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
8H.Bader, CF	1-3	1	0	0
9D.Stewart, DH	0-1	0	0	0
9Z.Short, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9Z.Short, DH	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	99	6	6	1
RF.Cruz, P	35	1	2	1
RE.Pagan, P	14	1	2	1
RT.Antone, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	3-5	1	0	0
2S.Steer, LF	1-3	1	1	1
2B.Thompson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
4J.Candelario, DH	1-3	0	0	1
5S.Fairchild, CF	0-3	0	0	0
5T.Stephenson, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	1-4	0	0	0