Padres vs Reds Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - May 21, 2024

SD @ CIN

10:40 pm • SDPA

San Diego Padres

55-50

0 - 2

Cincinnati Reds

49-53

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Abbott			3.19	9-6
J.Musgrove			5.66	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 55-50	-1.5+130	o9-119	-120
Reds 49-53	+1.5-155	u9-102	+100

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

May 21, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Featured Insight
The Padres scored first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB. The Reds allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games last season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 7-19 (.269) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Reds are just 9-15 (.375) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are just 1-89 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Reds are 22-9 (.710) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

Jake Cronenworth has a miss rate of only 11% on outside fastballs since last season -- eighth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Andrew Abbott has located his fastball away 49% of the time since last season -- tied for eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth is slugging .667 on non-fastballs this season -- third best among hitters with at least 66 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Andrew Abbott has allowed a SLG of .444 non-fastballs this season -- ninth worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .304 (24-for-79) against Andrew Abbott when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 -- ninth Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of .631 (41 Total Bases / 65 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .382 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (63/228) against Andrew Abbott on non-fastballs since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 0 Percentile.

CIN

SD ML

CIN ML

Over

Under

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date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	@LAD	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	LAD +142
May 19th	@LAD	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	LAD +160
May 18th	@LAD	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +160
May 17th	@LAD	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CIN +250
May 15th	@ARI	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI +130

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 31-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Reds' 53 last games at home

MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	56-46	25-28	31-18	23-24	33-22
Padres	53-50	21-32	32-18	24-33	27-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	46-52-4	22-28-3	24-24-1	24-21-2	22-31-2
Padres	53-49-1	32-20-1	21-29	32-24-1	19-23

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	49-53	25-28	24-25	25-22	24-31
Padres	55-50	26-27	28-22	29-28	22-20

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out with triceps
Out
Fernando Tatis
OF
Tatis is out with quad
Out
Jake Cronenworth
IF
Cronenworth is day-to-day with calf
Day-to-Day

Jake Fraley
OF
Fraley is day-to-day with leg
Day-to-Day
Nick Martini
OF
Martini is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with shoulder
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Musgrove, P	66	3	3
LA.Morejon, P	35	2	1
RJ.Brito, P	16	1.2	2
LY.Matsui, P	24	1	0
RS.Kolek, P	1	0.1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Profar, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Solano, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	0-3	0	0	0
9H.Kim, SS	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LA.Abbott, P	92	7	2
RF.Cruz, P	16	1	2
RA.Diaz, P	9	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Hurtubise, LF	0-3	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-4	0	1
3J.Candelario, 1B	0-3	0	0
4J.Fraley, RF	0-0	0	0
4S.Fairchild, CF	0-3	0	0
5T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0
6M.Ford, DH	0-3	0	0
7J.India, 2B	0-2	1	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0
9W.Benson, CF	1-2	1	0
9W.Benson, RF	1-2	1	0

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MatchupOverUnder
Padres 55-50	N/A	N/A
Reds 49-53	N/A	N/A

SD @ CIN

San Diego Padres

Cincinnati Reds

Padres vs. Reds Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Padres

Reds

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Keys to the Game

Matchup Contrasts

Today's Starting Pitchers

Padres

Public

Reds

Bets%

Money%

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Padres Injuries

Joe Musgrove

Fernando Tatis

Jake Cronenworth

Reds Injuries

Jake Fraley

Nick Martini

Matt McLain

Brandon Williamson

Graham Ashcraft

Christian Encarnacion-Strand

Carson Spiers

Padres vs. Reds Team Totals