2021 World Series Odds Tracker: Dodgers and Yankees Emerge From Spring Training Still as Favorites | The Action Network
Norm Hall/Getty Images. Pictured: Mookie Betts of the Dodgers.
Odds to Win the 2021 World Series
|Los Angeles Dodgers||+350|
|New York Yankees||+550|
|San Diego Padres||+800|
|Chicago White Sox||+1000|
|New York Mets||+1000|
|Toronto Blue Jays||+2200|
|St. Louis Cardinals||+2200|
|Tampa Bay Rays||+2500|
|Los Angeles Angels||+4000|
|Boston Red Sox||+5000|
|San Francisco Giants||+8000|
|Kansas City Royals||+10000|
Odds as of Mar. 31 via DraftKings.
March 25 Update
What a surprise. The Dodgers went through spring training and still emerged as the favorite to repeat as World Series champion.
The only change in the top five was the Braves jumping the White Sox for the fourth- and fifth-best odds. Chicago was dealt the devastating news today that slugger Eloy Jimenez will miss five to six months with a ruptured pectoral tendon.
The Yankees remain the favorite to represent the American League and the Athletics remain as having the best odds out of the AL West despite having a lower projected win total than the Astros.
In the cellar, the Texas Rangers moved from second to last, up to the 27th best odds, ahead of the Orioles, Rockies and Pirates.
February 5 Update
The Los Angeles Dodgers won the World Series four months ago, are the consensus favorites to win the World Series again in 2021, and just landed the top free-agent pitcher on the market.
Trevor Bauer, the reigning National League Cy Young winner, agreed to a three-year deal with Los Angeles on Wednesday. The deal could pay him $102 million over three seasons, but the right-hander has opt-outs after both the first and second year of the deal.
After news of the signing broke, FanDuel adjusting the Dodgers — who were already the consensus World Series favorite — down to +350 from +450.
Overall, it doesn’t change much for Los Angeles from a betting standpoint. The Dodgers were already heavy favorites to win in any way possible — from the NL West to the National League to the World Series.
January 29 Update
The St. Louis Cardinals swung a blockbuster trade late Friday night, acquiring five-time All-Star and eight-time Gold Glove winner Nolan Arenado from the Colorado Rockies for a package of young players.
The market was quick to react to the trade, even though as of late Friday it was only agreed upon but not yet official. At BetMGM, the Cardinals’ World Series odds moved from 30-1 to 22-1, tied with the Houston Astros for the 10th-lowest odds in the league.
The move also made the Cardinals favorites to win the NL Central. While none of the non-Pirates teams in the division have separated themselves too far from the pack this offseason, the trade established St. Louis as +210 favorites, with the Reds and Cubs checking in at +275 and the Brewers at +300. Prior to the trade, the Reds were +225 favorites with the Cardinals right behind them at +250.
Other books have reacted similarly. At FanDuel, the Cardinals went from 35-1 for the World Series to 24-1, and their odds to claim the National League pennant went from +2000 to +1200.
The Rockies were not expected to be very competitive before trading their franchise third baseman, and their odds remain very high. At BetMGM, they are 80-1 for the World Series, tied for third highest in the league. In the NL West, where they compete with the defending champion Dodgers and upstart Padres, they are +3500, ranking only ahead of the +5000 Diamondbacks.
January 26 Update
When the Philadelphia Phillies traded a trio of young players to the Miami Marlins for catcher J.T. Realmuto nearly 24 months ago, it seemed unfathomable that they would let him walk in free agency after just two seasons in the City of Brotherly Love.
It took longer than was likely comfortable for the Philly faithful, but the star catcher is indeed sticking around, agreeing to a five-year deal on Tuesday that will pay him $115 million.
Perhaps it’s because the Phillies have long been the favorites to sign Realmuto, or maybe it’s because even with him, the team still has considerable question marks entering 2021, but the signing hardly registered in the betting market.
At DraftKings, the Phillies’ 30/1 World Series odds remained hours after the signing news broke, as did their 20/1 NL pennant odds and 7/1 odds to win the NL East. At FanDuel, the Phillies were 35/1 to win the World Series prior to news of the signing and moved … all the way to 33/1.
January 20 Update
The Toronto Blue Jays were a bit of a sleeping giant in free agency — a major market team with needs missing out on top options off the board.
They didn’t miss on perhaps the best.
The Blue Jays agreed to a six-year deal with former Astros outfielder George Springer, the biggest deal thus far this offseason.
The team is also interested in outfielder/DH Michael Brantley, but no deal has been finalized at time of publish.
The acquisition pushed the Blue Jays from 40-1 to win the World Series down to 30-1. They still have to compete with the Yankees and Rays, but indications are there’s more moves to be made north of the border.
At BetMGM, Toronto is now +450 to win the AL East after opening +600. The team is +1100 to win the AL Pennant, down from +1500.
The team also agreed to a deal with reliever Kirby Yates and earlier signed starting pitcher Robbie Ray.
Losing Springer caused a small adjustment from 18-1 to 20-1 for Houston. The White Sox hopped the Braves after signing closer Liam Hendriks. The Twins and Rays each dropped from 15-1 to 20-1.
January 7 Update
The New York Mets made their first big splash of the season acquiring Francisco Lindor and Carlos Carrasco from the Indians in exchange for Amed Rosario, Andres Gimenez and prospects.
The Mets are still behind the Dodgers, Padres and Braves in the NL on the World Series oddsboard, but New York’s line dropped from 14-1 at DraftKings to 12-1 following the announcement of the trade.
Cleveland’s sell-off is in full swing. The Indians dropped from 22-1 to 35-1.
December 28 Update
If the San Diego Padres weren’t all in before, they are now.
On consecutive days, the Padres agreed to deals for starting pitchers Blake Snell and Yu Darvish.
The Padres are sending a prospect package built around catcher Francisco Mejia and pitcher Luis Patino to the Rays for Snell, who has three years and $39 million left on his deal. That was enough to move the Padres up the World Series oddsboard and lengthen the odds of the Rays.
Darvish is next, according to multiple reports. San Diego is expected to send four prospects and starting pitcher Zach Davies to the Cubs; none of the prospects are considered top-10 for San Diego.
The Padres are down to +1000 at DraftKings, behind only the Dodgers and Braves in the National League. However, they’re as low as +750 at PointsBet.
In the first sign of some sort of rebuild, the Cubs dropped from +2500 to +3300.
The Rays, coming off a World Series berth, dropped from +1100 to +1500 behind the White Sox in the AL.
One other notable move unrelated to this trade is the New York Mets dropping to 14-1 from 18-1. Unrelated, that is, unless the Padres acquiring Snell and Darvish takes a Trevor Bauer option off the table.
December 25 Update
The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees are in a tier of their own on top of the World Series odds board heading into the new year.
With just James McCann off the board as far as significant free agents go, plenty will change between now and the start of spring training. But there doesn’t figure to be a change between the two currently at the top.
Not only are the Dodgers and Yankees arguably the two most talent teams in baseball, they’re public favorites on the futures market year in and year out.
The Dodgers are in on every key free agent and trade option because of their spending ability and savvy front office. The Yankees, meanwhile, are focused on bringing back batting champ DJ LeMahieu.
The Braves head the next tier of contenders at +1000. Atlanta needs to either bring back or replace Marcell Ozuna but has shored up the rotation with Charlie Morton and Drew Smyly.
The Rays are coming off a World Series loss to the Dodgers and are involved in cost-cutting rumors such as trading Blake Snell. Still, Tampa Bay always finds itself in the playoff conversation.
The Mets may be under the biggest spotlight this offseason with new owner Steve Cohen promising to bring change — and dollars — to New York’s other team. They’ve been linked to just about every top free agent and are expected to bring in at least one, if not two, of the top options.
Deeper down the odds board, the Washington Nationals (+3500) made a notable move acquiring former All-Star Josh Bell from the Pirates. Bell has big potential, as seen by his 2019 season, but his underlying numbers were worrisome in 2020. If he bounces back, he’s a perfect complement in the lineup with Juan Soto.
The Blue Jays are ‘in’ on many top free agents, signaling a willingness to spend and compete. That won’t be easy in the AL East with the Yankees, Rays and what should be an improved Red Sox team.
The bottom of the list has three teams at 100-1. Those odds will likely lengthen for the bottom teams once the season nears if you’re feeling a longshot.