The Athletics host the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. First pitch from Sutter Health Park is scheduled for 10:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on NBC Sports CA and FanDuel Sports South.
Continue below to find my Braves vs Athletics prediction for Wednesday night.
My Braves vs Athletics Prediction
- Braves vs Athletics picks: A's F5 Team Total Over 2.5 (-120 to -125)
My Braves vs Athletics best bet is on the A's to score over 2.5 runs over the first five innings (F5). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Braves vs Athletics Odds
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 11 -101o / -120u | -120 |
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -152 | 11 -101o / -120u | -101 |
Braves vs Athletics Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Bryce Elder (ATL) | Stat | RHP Mitch Spence (ATH) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | W-L | 2-4 |
| -0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 5.92 / 6.00 | ERA /xERA | 4.06 / 5.01 |
| 5.51 / 4.00 | FIP / xFIP | 4.32 / 3.94 |
| 1.52 | WHIP | 1.31 |
| 10.7% | K-BB% | 13.2% |
| 50.4% | GB% | 43% |
| 90 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 106 | Location+ | 101 |
Charlie Wright’s Braves vs Athletics Betting Preview, Prediction
Bryce Elder has been a disaster over his last four starts, allowing 22 earned runs across 15 2/3 innings.
His ERA estimators for the season are interesting — Elder’s 6.00 xERA is right in line with his 5.92 ERA, but his SIERA is all the way down at 4.21.
SIERA regresses HR/FB rate to league average, which is a boost for Elder given his massive 24.2% HR/FB. xERA sees a league-average fly-ball rate and huge hard-hit numbers and says Elder deserves a bloated ERA.
Given that Elder’s career HR/FB rate is an elevated 14.6%, I’m siding with xERA and expecting Elder to keep giving up dingers.
The Athletics have been middling against right-handed pitching over the past 30 days, ranking 16th in OPS and wOBA.
The big key for them is their home venue. Statcast’s Park Factors have Sutter Health Park tied with Coors Field as the most favorable hitting environment.
It’ll be nice and warm in Sacramento at game time. We should see some fireworks from the Athletics.
Pick: Athletics First 5 Innings o2.5 Team Total (-120 to -125)
Moneyline
I have no moneyline bet for this game.
Run Line (Spread)
I have no bet for the run line.
Over/Under
I have no bet for the game total.
