The Boston Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles on May 24, 2025. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MASN.
Find my Orioles vs Red Sox prediction for Game 1 of this Saturday doubleheader below.
My Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction
- Orioles vs Red Sox picks: Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs (+420)
My Orioles vs Red Sox best bet is on Rafael Devers to hit a home run. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Red Sox Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -192 | 9.5 -101o / -119u | -102 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +160 | 9.5 -101o / -119u | -120 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | Stat | Hunter Dobbins (BOS) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | W-L | 2-1 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 5.08 / 3.47 | ERA /xERA | 3.62 / 3.75 |
| 5.16 / 4.55 | FIP / xFIP | 3.38 / 3.65 |
| 1.13 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 12.2 | K-BB% | 14.6 |
| 34.8 | GB% | 45.7 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 107 | Location+ | 105 |
Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction, Betting Analysis
Boston's Rafael Devers got off to a slow start this season, and although he decided he's not playing anywhere he doesn’t want to, he's decided that he's going to hit home runs.
Devers is in the 90th percentile for all key statistics, such as exit velocity, hard-hit percentage and barrel rate.
On top of that, he's in the 85th percentile for chase percentage.
Not only is he coming off of a two-home run game, he has two four baggers against Zach Eflin in his career.
With winds blowing out to right field at Fenway Park, I expect him to add to that total on Saturday in Game 1 of this doubleheader.
Pick: Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs (+420)
Moneyline
I have no play on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I have no play on the run line.
Over/Under
I have no play on the total, as I'm targeting a home run prop.
Orioles vs Red Sox Betting Trends
