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Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Friday, May 29

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Friday, May 29 article feature image
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Photo Credit: Jamie Sabau-Imagn Images
Pictured: Trevor Rogers pitches

The Baltimore Orioles host the Toronto Blue Jays on May 29, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SN1.

The Blue Jays are favored by -117 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Blue Jays are -102 on the moneyline and -1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Blue Jays vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction

  • Blue Jays vs Orioles Pick: Trevor Rogers To Record Win (+160 or Better)

My Blue Jays vs Orioles best bet is Rogers to record the win. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Blue Jays vs Orioles Odds

Blue Jays Logo
May 29, 2026
7:05 p.m. EDT
SN1
Orioles Logo
Blue Jays Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+168
8.5
-115o / -105u
-102
Orioles Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+149
8.5
-115o / -105u
-117
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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  • Blue Jays vs Orioles moneyline: Blue Jays -102, Orioles -117
  • Blue Jays vs Orioles over/under: 8.5 (-115o / -105u)
  • Blue Jays vs Orioles spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+149), Blue Jays -1.5 (+149)

Blue Jays vs Orioles Probable Pitchers

TBDStatTrevor Rogers
28-29W-L26-31
fWAR (FanGraphs)0.5
ERA / xERA6.96 / 4.53
FIP / xFIP4.52 / 4.69
K-BB%9.2
GB%36.4
BABIP.336
Stuff+100
Location+100

Blue Jays vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview

By Derek Carty

Editor's note: This article was transcribed from the latest episode of the Payoff Pitch podcast.

Regarding the Orioles and Trevor Rogers, I did not believe in him last year. He looked totally fake, and I just didn’t see how he could keep doing what he was doing. Yet he kept doing it.

Then this season started, and everything flipped. He has regressed hard, and now we’re at the point where we have to bet the other side of it.

Just like last year, I kept saying Rogers is not this good. Right now, I’m saying Trevor Rogers is not this bad.

Instead of being a 6.50 ERA pitcher, which is roughly what he’s been this year, he’s probably more like a 4.50 ERA pitcher. The Stuff+ model actually thinks his stuff has gotten a little better this year than it was last season.

He is the epitome of a regression candidate, so I’m expecting Rogers to improve.


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Blue Jays vs Orioles Pick, Betting Analysis

I think we’re getting prices that reflect Rogers being much worse than he actually is, which is why I’m on this bet today.

I’m betting on him to record the win at +218 on DraftKings, good down to +160.

Go Trevor Rogers.

Pick: Trevor Rogers To Record Win (+160 or Better)


Blue Jays vs Orioles Weather


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