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Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Monday, July 27

Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Monday, July 27 article feature image
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Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images. Pictured: Payton Tolle.

The Athletics host the Boston Red Sox on July 27, 2026. First pitch from Sutter Health Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NBCS-CA.

The Red Sox are favored by -158 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Athletics are +132 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs Athletics prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Red Sox vs Athletics Prediction

  • Red Sox vs Athletics Pick: Payton Tolle Under 5.5 Strikeouts

My Red Sox vs Athletics best bet is a prop on Boston SP Payton Tolle. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Red Sox vs Athletics Odds

Red Sox Logo
July 27, 2026
9:40 p.m. EDT
NBCS-CA
Athletics Logo
Red Sox Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-120
9.5
-110o / -110u
-158
Athletics Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-100
9.5
-110o / -110u
+132
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
FanDuel Logo
  • Red Sox vs Athletics moneyline: Red Sox -158, Athletics +132
  • Red Sox vs Athletics over/under: 9.5 (-110o / -110u)
  • Red Sox vs Athletics spread: Red Sox -1.5 (-100), Athletics +1.5 (-120)

Red Sox vs Athletics Probable Pitchers

LHP Payton Tolle (BOS)StatRHP Jack Perkins (ATH)
5-6W-L2-5
2.3fWAR (FanGraphs)0.4
3.31 / 2.94ERA / xERA6.75 / 4.07
3.24 / 3.94FIP / xFIP4.45 / 4.15
19.1%K-BB%18.2%
35.0%GB%33.7%
.275BABIP.323
114Stuff+99
98Location+104

Red Sox vs Athletics MLB Betting Preview, Analysis

The Boston Red Sox made an interesting splash on the trade market recently, parting ways with one of their top young arms in Connelly Early to land Curtis Mead.

However, today they hung onto Payton Tolle — a clear sign of how highly the organization values him. Tolle has enjoyed more success this season than Early, but today, Action PRO thinks sportsbooks are overvaluing the big left-hander as he takes the mound against the Oakland Athletics in Sacramento.

It is tough to gauge the exact environmental impact of pitching in Sacramento relative to a venue like Coors Field, but the market seems slightly too high on Tolle’s profile for this matchup. My colleague Derek Carty is fully on the Tolle fade train today and Action PRO points in the same direction for his strikeout total.

As of when I grabbed these numbers, Payton Tolle Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105) shows a massive 18.1% edge according to Action PRO.

Pick: Payton Tolle Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105)


Red Sox vs Athletics Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.
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