The Cleveland Guardians host the Chicago White Sox on July 3, 2026. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on CLEG.
The Guardians are favored by -140 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The White Sox are +115 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and White Sox vs Guardians prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction
- White Sox vs Guardians Pick: Gavin Williams Under 17.5 Outs (+120)
My White Sox vs Guardians best bet is on Gavin Williams to record under 17.5 outs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
White Sox vs Guardians Odds
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 8 -115o / -105u | +115 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 8 -115o / -105u | -140 |
- White Sox vs Guardians moneyline: White Sox +115, Guardians -140
- White Sox vs Guardians over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- White Sox vs Guardians spread: White Sox +1.5 (-190), Guardians -1.5 (+155)
White Sox vs Guardians Probable Pitchers
| Anthony Kay (LHP, CHW) | Stat | Gavin Williams (RHP, CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | W-L | 9-4 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.7 |
| 4.50 / 5.38 | ERA / xERA | 3.81 / 4.54 |
| 5.00 / 4.87 | FIP / xFIP | 3.79 / 3.27 |
| 9.3 | K-BB% | 20.0 |
| 43.7 | GB% | 45.9 |
| .294 | BABIP | .285 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 102 | Location+ | 104 |
White Sox vs Guardians MLB Betting Preview
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 16.44 pitching outs for Guardians starter Gavin Williams compared to 17.86 pitching outs implied by the oddsmakers in this matchup against the White Sox, so I believe there is value here.
If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 56% of the time, resulting in a 31% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $31.29. This play is good down to at least -103.
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Pick: Gavin Williams Under 17.5 Outs (+120, BetMGM)
